The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Trump states he will close the Department of Education early in administration
“One other thing I'll be doing very early in the administration is closing up the Department of Education in Washington, D.C., And sending all education and education work and needs back to the states. We want them to run the education of our children.”
Donald Trump Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 1:16:29 American Policymaker Reveals How Politics REALLY Works | Ryan Streeter
Opinion
Brooks: Polyamory is nonsense because humans are built for pair-bonding
“All of the nonsense about, I don't know, polyamory that are coming around. That's all Nonsense. And again, I mean, look, no judgment, different strokes, but look, I'm a behavioral scientist, and the truth of the matter is that we are built for pair-bond mating”
Arthur Brooks Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 2:59 You Need To Be Bored. Here's Why. | Dr. Arthur Brooks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Daymond John: AI disruption will trigger civil war in the US
“Because AI is going to turn this country into a civil war. Because when the have-nots don't have anything, they're coming after us.”
Daymond John Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 37:44 My Billion Dollar Shark Tank Investment: Daymond John
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gary Vaynerchuk predicts some people's grandchildren will marry AI robots
“Well, I've gone pretty viral lately because I, my craziest prediction is that most people's grandchildren will marry an AI robot. Some of them will, not everyone's going to”
Gary Vaynerchuk (Gary Vee) Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 1:06:19 The Biggest Bets I Made — And How They Paid Off: Gary Vee
Opinion
Lonsdale: Government regulators target Elon Musk to punish public speech
“If they want to go to attack Elon to punish him for speaking up, they will, and they do.”
Joe Lonsdale Oct 1, 2024 ▶ 21:45 Billionaire Entrepreneur: “America Will Collapse Without A Recession” | Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
Sanchez: Khosla backs open borders while suing to block public beach access
“He is going out there saying that we should have an open border when he has a private mansion on a beach trying to block public access to the beach for normal people, is in a lawsuit for like five or seven years while trying to say that we should have open bor…”
Codie Sanchez Oct 1, 2024 ▶ 1:23:41 Billionaire Entrepreneur: “America Will Collapse Without A Recession” | Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
Sanchez: Anyone Saying Elon Musk Harms Economy Is Lying or Dumb
“Anyone who thinks he's bad for the economy is either lying or so dumb as to be irrelevant.”
Codie Sanchez Sep 24, 2024 ▶ 8:12 How the Debt Crisis ACTUALLY Affects You
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gabbard: DNC leadership rigged the 2016 primary for Hillary Clinton
“The party leadership was heavily waiting and tilting the scales and essentially rigging the primary for Hillary Clinton, much in the same manner that we have seen occur in this 2024 election for Joe Biden”
Tulsi Gabbard Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 13:18 Tulsi Gabbard: Who Actually Runs the U.S. Government (And What We Should do About it)
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