United States

also referred to as: u s · us · usa

84 statements across 43 episodes · 27 bullish · 26 bearish · 37 people on the record · first statement Nov 6, 2022 by Saagar Enjeti · said 1,170 times in 180 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (584), Ryan Petersen (47), Ranjan Roy (47), Alex Stamos (37), Grace Shao (28), Michael Horowitz (22), Johann Hari (18), Brian McCullough (14)

tap a year for its mentions
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04080202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
005401080202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 355 mentions in 56 episodes 6 per episode
2025 528 mentions in 69 episodes 8 per episode
2024 139 mentions in 29 episodes 5 per episode
2023 68 mentions in 14 episodes 5 per episode
2022 60 mentions in 7 episodes 9 per episode
2021 20 mentions in 5 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about United States, oldest first

Nov 6, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Enjeti: Ukraine's economy and budget would collapse without US aid
“If tomorrow we cut off our aid from them, they would literally collapse in terms of their economy, their bonds, their budgets. Everything is American.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 34:17 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Nov 6, 2022 bullish
Prediction Held up
Kosloff predicts a U.S. TikTok ban or forced spinout is inevitable
“For me, the question isn't like, Is there gonna be some form of TikTok spin out disinvestiture ban? It's gonna happen at some point.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 54:36 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Feb 15, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Latin America exports twice as many calories as the US
“And Latin America as a region exports twice as many calories as the U.S.”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2023 ▶ 18:58 David Friedberg — How Technology Solves Our Climate Crisis
Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Stronger US deterrence would have changed Ukraine, Taiwan, and Hong Kong
“And if we had been in a better place, not just the United States, but our partners, I think that things would, I think things would be very different in Ukraine. They would be very different in Taiwan. Maybe they'd even be different in Hong Kong.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 34:34 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 positive
Insight
Luckey: Overwhelming military superiority is the best deterrent to war
“The best way to deter warfare is to have such an overwhelming advantage that there's no question as to the outcome.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 34:12 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: US will avoid large-scale ground deployments in our lifetimes
“I think the big change you're going to see going forward, and this has really been because of Ukraine, the, I think the United States within our lifetimes is not going to get boots on the ground in a big way in major conflicts.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 37:14 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: US will never face a ground invasion due to armed citizens
“There's never going to be a ground invasion of the United States because everyone in the United States has a lot of guns and loves, loves America.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 35:19 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Jun 29, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Teller: Missing digital grid maps cause 10-year delays for connecting solar power
“If you go to a system operator and say, show me the digital map of where every inverter, every transformer, every wire is in your grid, they will just say, we don't have that. And that's why it takes them 10 years. When you wonder why there are 10 year waits i…”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 17:12 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Apr 4, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Roy: Yahoo Ranks Number One in US News and Finance Traffic
“Meanwhile, Yahoo is the number one news site in the country still per traffic, number two in sports, number two in email, number one in finance. Eight out of 10 Americans visit a Yahoo property every month.”
Ranjan Roy Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 1:18 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Web is Still a Great Business
Apr 29, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Lazimi: French engineers cost four times less than US engineers
“And we also have the best engineer and they are not expensive. I mean, it's four times less expensive than in the US.”
Sasha Lazimi Apr 29, 2024 ▶ 26:52 Yubo Wants To Replace Performative Social Media With Real Time Social Discovery
May 15, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
China developing AGI first would grant massive military leverage over the US
“In the world where they happen within a few years, I think what you're looking at is China has a ton of leverage over the United States because they, one of the things future AI could unlock is things like pocket nukes, right? And so China is ahead. They could…”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 16:16 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
Sep 4, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hari: Harvard research finds obesity causes 680,000 annual US deaths
“Professor Gerald Mand at Harvard calculates that obesity and food caused illnesses caused 680,000 deaths every year in the United States.”
Johann Hari Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 17:21 How Ozempic Changes Our Bodies, Minds, and Economy — With Johann Hari
Sep 4, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hari: US obesity doubled by 2000 and severe obesity doubled again by 2020
“Between the year I was born and the year I turned 21, obesity doubled in the United States, and then in the next 20 years, severe obesity doubled again.”
Johann Hari Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 3:07 How Ozempic Changes Our Bodies, Minds, and Economy — With Johann Hari
Sep 4, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Hari: Ozempic costs $250 monthly in Britain versus $1,000 in America
“So I buy my Zen pick here in Britain. It's the equivalent of, 250 dollars a month. When I, I've had to get it in Vegas a few times, it's like a thousand dollars a month, right?”
Johann Hari Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 26:36 How Ozempic Changes Our Bodies, Minds, and Economy — With Johann Hari
Sep 6, 2024
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: DOJ Indictment Implies RT Manages Multiple Covert US Channels
“So the DOJ in its indictment Said the RT employee running this project actually manages, and I'm quoting from the indictment, multiple RT covert distribution channels in the United States.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 13:00 Russia Funds Tenet Media YouTubers
Nov 20, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Scaringe: Rivian R1S is the best-selling premium SUV in California
“The R one S is actually the best selling premium SUV in the state of California, not the best selling premium electric SUV, the best selling premium SUV period in California across the whole U S it's the best selling premium electric vehicle.”
RJ Scaringe Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 10:02 Rivian's CEO on Elon Musk's Influence, Affordable EVs, and The Grid's Risky Future — W/ RJ Scaringe
Dec 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang predicts China will deploy military AI faster than the US
“So, my expectation is that they will actually deploy AI to their military faster than the U.S., even though the U.S. Is ahead on the core technology.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 7:41 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wang: US leads China in AI algorithms and compute, but data contested
“If we were to rack and stack versus China, we're ahead on algorithms. We're ahead on compute computational power, thankfully due to a lot of the export controls that the commerce department has put in place. And then on data, it's a little bit of a jump ball.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 6:24 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Dec 11, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang: Exporting AI stacks will define the next decades of geopolitics
“I think this is going to be One of the under the line battles that really defines the course of the next few decades of geopolitics.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 3:12 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang: Incoming US administration will help US surpass China in AI
“I do expect that the new admin will come in and help accelerate things to enable the US to compete more aggressively with China and ultimately come out ahead on the technology.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:44 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Wang: US must possess superior AI to prevail in conflict with China
“If you believe that there's some potential of some kind of conflict over Taiwan or other, some kind of other, like, hot conflict between the US and China then we really, the United States needs to ensure that we have the best possible AI technology to ensure t…”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 4:14 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Jan 27, 2025 neutral
Insight
U.S. chip restrictions forced Chinese AI innovation through compute scarcity
“The constraints that were put in place by the US because of the, you know, everything going on with chip constraints and sort of forcing AI companies not to export to China you know, led to sort of this very interesting cauldron that I think could only happen …”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 9:57 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 29, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hoffman: Precautionary regulation causes Europe to lag the US and China
“The problem with most people's default modes of regulation, including a lot of regulators and including a lot of European regulators is you say, well, our job is to protect bad things from happening. And by the way, the simplest way to do that is to prevent an…”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 38:13 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Jan 29, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hoffman: US export controls are right response to Chinese mercantilism
“And I do think that the, it's the right thing for the U S to be doing, given that China is generally taking a kind of a mercantilist competitive position. And I think that's something that the U S and other you know, kind of countries Europe and everything els…”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 25:45 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Opinion
Enjeti: David Sacks is among America's most influential outside Ukraine voices
“And I would say he is probably one of the single most influential outside voices on the Ukraine conflict in all of the United States.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 25:19 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Feb 19, 2025
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2030
Enjeti: US Will Enforce Much Tighter Export Controls on AI
“So we're going to see literal walls begin to go up, much tighter export control, a recognition that these companies and this technology is vital and of interest.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 31:42 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Mar 28, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Russia and China may threaten US data centers over superintelligence progress
“If the US were pulling ahead both Russia and China may have a substantial interest in saying, hey, cut this out. Pulling ahead to develop super intelligence, which could give it a huge advantage and an ability to crush crush them. They'd say, you don't get to …”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 49:57 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Mar 29, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: European AWS Risk From US Geopolitics Is Far-Fetched
“A world where the US, things get so bad between the US and Europe that your AWS stack is at risk is to, I mean, maybe I'm not imaginative enough, but is to me so far-fetched that I can't fully I wouldn't say a company would begin to change its strategy on it”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 50:27 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Apr 7, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Petersen: April 17 fees on Chinese-made ships will disrupt ocean freight
“We have on April 17th, no one's talking about it right now, but they're in 10 days, they're going to impose fees on ships made in China when they make a port call in the US. It's going to totally rearrange the shipping networks and make ocean freight incredibl…”
Ryan Petersen Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 24:35 Tariffs and Turmoil: Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen on What Trump Is Thinking, And What Comes Next
Apr 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Shao: US LLMs decisively led China until DeepSeek breakthrough
“In terms of frontier models, the U S companies, like you mentioned, the open eyes and the tropics of the world have definitely led China's LLM development by far for a long time until deep sea made a breakthrough.”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 17:54 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shao: US GDP is 60% knowledge-worker driven unlike China's labor-based economy
“China's still not a very heavily depend is not heavily dependent on knowledge workers, Compared to the U S where it's like, 60% of GDP is driven by knowledge workers.”
Grace Shao Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 6:48 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 16, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: US has seen very little consumer AI deployment compared to China
“We've seen very little consumer AI in the U S very little. And so they're actually putting it into play, which is interesting.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 22:43 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
May 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Half of iPhones sold in the US were made in India
“Half the iPhone sold in the U S were made in India.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2025 ▶ 31:41 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
Jun 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Scaramucci: US will probably hold Bitcoin on its fiscal balance sheet
“We'll probably end up having Bitcoin on the corporate, on the fiscal balance sheet of the United States.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 59:46 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Scaramucci advises buying Bitcoin amid rising US deficit spending
“Well, first thing I'm going to say is buy Bitcoin. That's the first thing I'm going to say. And a lot of people that really analyze and study this understand why.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 30:41 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scaramucci: Deficit spending plus trade isolation will drive capital from US
“So, if you have big, beautiful spending, And you have an American Brexit at the same time where you're trying to isolate us from the rest of the world. You're going to cause capital movement on the margin to move away from the United States.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 38:44 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 4, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Scaramucci: U.S. held 26% of global GDP despite continuous trade deficits
“If what this gentleman was saying is a hundred percent true, we would have had a downward shift in our economic supremacy. We would have had a downward shift in the supremacy of the dollar, and we didn't have that. You've had, 1980 to today, 45 years, 26% of t…”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 43:30 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 25, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lee: Only China, US, Japan, and Germany will build humanoid robots
“Yeah, it's gonna only be three, maybe four countries. It's China, USA, Japan, and Germany.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 45:58 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
Jun 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tom Lee: AI Innovation Is Only Happening in the US and China
“Really, there are, there's only two places where AI innovation's taking place, is the United States and China.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 1:27 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
Jun 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Tom Lee: Nearly 60% of stablecoin trading occurs in East Asia
“Stablecoin usage is only 20% in the US. Almost 60% of stablecoins trading takes place in Hong Kong, China, and Japan.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 59:29 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
Jul 2, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Smith: Trump immigration crackdown will have negative but modest economic impact
“I think the net impact of the Trump immigration crackdown will be fairly economically will be negative, but not huge.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 40:32 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Jul 2, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Noah Smith: US Wage Inequality Has Decreased for Over Ten Years
“Right around the time that this thesis started becoming very well accepted and popular, wage inequality started to go down and wages started rising more at the bottom of the distribution than at the middle or top. And so we've seen that for now over 10 years. …”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 21:03 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Jul 2, 2025 negative
Insight
Noah Smith: Social media drove polarization by eliminating geographic and ideological segregation
“I think it's primarily social media. I think that social media so, so I think that Americans, America was this very big, diverse country. You had ideological diversity. We had geographic diversity, not just like racial diversity, which is what we typically thi…”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 25:38 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Jul 11, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: A dozen US manufacturers recently decided to stop domestic production
“I've seen a dozen examples in the last few months of companies that are, were producing in the U.S. And decided to stop.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 14:46 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Petersen: US-China container shipping costs jumped from $2,000 to $5,000
“I didn't check this week, I've been traveling, but it's probably 5000 or so from China to the United States. States. ... It was at two a couple months ago. Before the tariffs hit.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 3:19 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Supported
Petersen: US tariffs on China will jump to 54% in August without a deal
“I mean, 30% from China, it's set to go back to 54%. On August 18th, I want to say 18th is the ninety-day, it's because it's just a pause on the China stuff, so you had a pause of 90 days from April eightth for rest of China. You had a ninety-day pause till Jul…”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 3:54 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025 bearish
Insight
Petersen: Component Tariffs Hurt US Manufacturers Producing for Export
“Well, you have to import the goods and pay duties on the components, and then, ah, your product is now more expensive to produce, and if you instead produce that, those goods in Mexico that didn't have the tariffs on Chinese goods, you wouldn't, your cost woul…”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 11:09 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Petersen: Fast-Changing Tariff Policy Paralyzes Corporate Reshoring Plans
“The result is we're not giving the market enough clarity of what the tariffs will be when, and so, if you did want to move back to the U.S., you're just kind of paralyzed right now, because the environment's changing so fast.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 11:38 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Petersen: De minimis volume grew from 100k to 4M daily packages
“It went from, see if I can remember my stats on this, it went from a 100,000 packages a day to four million packages a day in the last decade, clearing under de minimis. Now to, 70% of that was China, so now, you know, we've eliminated 70% of that in the last …”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 37:44 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Petersen: China produces 40% of global manufacturing output
“Right now, China produces 40% of the world's manufacturing output. U.S. Post-World War II, we were at 47%.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 6:29 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Ending de minimis is creating fulfillment jobs in the US
“And the immediate result is a huge surge of needing to put fulfillment, wanting to put fulfillment back in the United States. There's no reason to fulfill from Tijuana. It's pretty far. You're shipping to New York from Tijuana. You're better off having a fulfi…”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 35:49 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Tariff anomaly forced US bicycle maker overseas after ten years
“Bicycles can be imported duty free, but bicycle components cannot. so they've decided after a decade of manufacturing in the U.S. That they now have to produce overseas because they can import the finished goods and not pay duty, but if they import the compon…”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 14:31 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 16, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rice: Chip Export Controls Cannot Eliminate China's AI Capabilities
“We know that the Nvidia chip, which was prohibited for sale in China, it probably slowed it, but we would be on a fool's errand if we think it's going to eliminate the ability of the Chinese to do these things.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 6:37 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rice: US Does Not Train Enough Engineers and Needs H-1B Visas
“I hope that when it comes to bringing talent to the United States, we will recognize that, ah, we don't train enough engineers. We really need H-I-B visas to get people to come here.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 21:26 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rice: US Withdrawal Threats Are Pushing Allies to Share Defense Burden
“And now what you're seeing is that other countries with the United States threatening to step back, but maybe not fully stepping back, you're seeing other countries recognize that we need to spread the load a little bit more.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 42:33 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 positive
Insight
Rice: The US Has No 'Plan B' for Fundamental Research Outside Universities
“Commercial entities can't wait, and so having the fundamental research in universities, absolutely critical, and my concern is we don't have a plan B. You know, if it's not going to be done in universities, where is it going to be done?”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 16:57 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rice: US Will Win the Global Talent Race If Welcoming
“I still think we'll win on the battle for talent. If we don't say to people you aren't welcome, they're going to find the place that it's best to do this, because these researchers are driven by a sense of mission to do their work at the highest levels, and it…”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 20:40 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Rice: China excels at commercializing American scientific discovery
“China has done very well taking American discovery and innovation and then creating a market for it.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 1:25 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Rice: US invented battery technology but lost market leadership
“We actually invented battery technology, and somehow now we've lost the lead.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 1:04 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025
What-if
Rice: Stopping Indigenous Chinese Tech Required Action 10–15 Years Ago
“If we were going to stop Chinese indigenous development, we would have had to do that 1015 years ago before they really did Develop the ability to innovate indigenously.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 6:51 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rice: US Has Overpaid for NATO and Global Defense Commons
“I think what's happened over time is the United States has borne the brunt of, ah, what George Shultz called the security commons. We did We were the ones who defended the sea lanes. We more than overpaid for NATO's defense. We more for than overpaid for defen…”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 41:46 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 16, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rice: US Lacks Welders and Electricians Needed for Manufacturing Reshoring
“We need manufacturing back in the United States. We don't even have the skills. We don't have the welders and the electricians to do that.”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 26:46 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jul 28, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morris: US and Rest of World Lack Power for AI Data Centers, Except China
“There is just quite simply not enough power that exists in the United States or around the world or anywhere really apart from China to drive these data center ambitions. It just doesn't exist.”
Stephen Morris Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 34:20 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Sep 10, 2025 neutral
Opinion
China is neither ahead of nor behind the US in robotics technology
“I don't think China is ahead, but I don't think they're behind.”
Bill Vass Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 45:39 Booz Allen CTO: AI in Government, Autonomous Driving, Quantum's Promise
Oct 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Guthrie: Permitting takes longer than construction for US datacenters
“Candidly here in the U S the longest Part of building a data center is getting permitting. It's not actually the construction.”
Scott Guthrie Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 37:06 Microsoft's Cloud & AI Head on the AI Buildout's Risks and ROI — With Scott Guthrie
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
The US Loses $150 Billion in Economic Output Annually From Power Outages
“The stat that caught my eye was that there's a hundred and fifty billion output a year that's lost in the US as a result of outages, right?”
Mark Moffat Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 22:27 Will AI Make Its Biggest Splash In Industrial Use Cases? — With Mark Moffat, IFS
Nov 28, 2025
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Groq CFO: AI workloads will consume 25% of US energy by 2028
“I think I saw a statistic that says by twenty-twenty-eight in the United States, a quarter of all of the energy produced will be used to run AI workloads, right, which is an amazing statistic.”
Simon Edwards Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 8:12 Groq and Cohere CFOs: Can Artificial Intelligence Be Profitable?
Dec 10, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Half of the 100 Highest-Grossing US Law Firms Use Harvey
“Now, 50 of the 100 highest grossing law firms in the United States are on their platform.”
Melia Russell Dec 10, 2025 ▶ 47:13 AI Is Upending Law. Is That A Sign For The Rest Of Us? — With Melia Russell
Dec 23, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cramer predicts autonomous vehicles could cut US traffic deaths by two-thirds
“I bet you that could be cut by two thirds.”
Jim Cramer Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 20:04 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Jan 16, 2026
Disclosure
Mensch: Mistral is Paris-headquartered with significant US workforce and activity
“We're headquartered in, in Paris, but we have around the four, four, four workforce, which is actually in the U S and a lot of our activity is actually here.”
Arthur Mensch Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 1:22 Who Wins if AI Models Commoditize? — With Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch
Mar 6, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Autonomous weapons will be essential in communication-denied conflicts
“And in what the military would call a degraded or denied communication environment, something like an autonomous weapon system will be essential. For all the, for lots of different kinds of weapons to be able to operate, and, you know, algorithm, algorithmic o…”
Michael Horowitz Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 44:09 Pentagon Insider: What's Next For Anthropic and The Department of War — With Michael Horowitz
Mar 12, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Negative US sentiment toward AI will change as mainstream adoption grows
“I think it's going to change, and it's already changing.”
Olivia Moore Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 2:35 AI’s Unpopularity + Competing With ChatGPT — With Olivia Moore
Mar 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ranjan Roy: AI backlash will escalate during the US election year
“It's a combination Of all of the above that it's going to get, I mean, in an election year in the US here, like it's going to become more and more of an issue.”
Ranjan Roy Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 8:30 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 18, 2026
Insight
Sorkin: Post-WWII middle-class American dream was a historical aberration
“I actually think that was a historical aberration. That was not the way it used to be. If you look at the 19 twenties, it was not like that. You look at the 19 thirties, it wasn't like that. The leave it to be for American dream that I think this individual is…”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 45:00 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Mar 18, 2026
Insight
Sorkin: Prediction market speculation is driven by US wealth inequality
“One of the reasons why people are moving to prediction markets and moving to what I would describe as the sort of a lottery ticket approach to life. It's a little bit YOLO. Is a function of the inequality that we have in this country.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 43:37 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Mar 26, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Warner: Any data center regulatory deal in Virginia will be copied nationwide
“The state battle that's going on in Virginia right now, I've said to the industry, you guys got to watch this because we are the mother load of data centers. And if there is some adjustment of the kind of economic deal that's going to happen in Virginia, that …”
Senator Mark Warner Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 28:04 Senator Mark Warner: Nobody’s Ready for What AI Could Do To Us
Apr 15, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Pentagon incorporates Ukrainian companies to onshore drone manufacturing and tactics
“We just launched our drone dominance program, and I think there was two Ukrainian companies in it. We're gonna, like, you know, onshore manufacturing here and take some of the learnings with them here to help us with our kind of smaller drone you know scenario…”
Emil Michael Apr 15, 2026 ▶ 25:24 The Pentagon's AI Plan + Behind the Anthropic Fight — With Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
Apr 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Véliz: The safest countries globally are not the most surveilled
“The safest countries in the world are not the most surveilled ones. So Spain is one example. It has some of the lower statistics for any kind of crime, including homicide and so on, violent crimes. And it's not better surveilled Than the US or the UK. And in f…”
Carissa Véliz Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 25:54 Are We Too Obsessed With AI Predictions? — With Carissa Véliz
May 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Plouffe: Roughly 60% of Americans use LLMs for health research
“And of course, you know, a use case that probably 60% of the country is engaged in now is to use these LLMs for their own health diagnosis and research and people getting great value out of that.”
David Plouffe May 22, 2026 ▶ 6:15 How AI Changes Society, And Society Changes AI — With Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe
May 25, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI communication failures will cause political moratoriums and data center blocks
“Like, you're not, the botching of the storytelling on this front, and you know, we talk a lot about comms, so fine, get the criticism, but like, this is gonna have real implications. You're gonna have candidates talking about kill switches, moratoriums, you're…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 52:37 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
Jun 22, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Roy: Due to cost, DeepSeek is discussed in every AI agent conversation
“The conversation around moving towards deep seek and adding it into your agentic process or adding Chinese models did not exist in any conversation I was in 12 months ago and now is in almost every conversation, at least as an option, because cost has become s…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 29:36 Are AI Glasses Over? + Big Technology AI Summit Audience Questions
Aug 3, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Beck: AI will need India's power and US drinking water by 2030
“We estimate that in the next four or five years, by 2030, AI will need the incremental power of the whole of India and the incremental drinking water of the whole of the United States.”
Christophe Beck Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 1:18 How Much Water AI Data Centers Actually Use. And What Can Be Done About It. — With Christophe Beck
Aug 3, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Beck: AI Growth Will Halt Without Water Recycling and Renewables
“There will be no AI if we can't reuse the water, there will be no power if we can't use more renewables as well going forward, and there will be no data center if we don't have people in community in democratic countries like the United States that are saying,…”
Christophe Beck Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 34:37 How Much Water AI Data Centers Actually Use. And What Can Be Done About It. — With Christophe Beck
Aug 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Beck: Data center construction jumped from one yearly pre-COVID to one weekly
“When we started on that journey right before COVID it was roughly one data center a year. That was being built, and today, one a week, and 50% of them are in the United States, 30% are in China, and 20% everywhere else”
Christophe Beck Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 20:10 How Much Water AI Data Centers Actually Use. And What Can Be Done About It. — With Christophe Beck
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