Marshall Kosloff

Co-Host, The Realignment · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

hostanalyst@makosloff ↗therealignment.substack.com ↗

Marshall Kosloff is best known for co-hosting the political and tech-focused podcast The Realignment alongside Saagar Enjeti. He has hosted podcasts including Arsenal of Democracy and The Deep End, and previously served as Director of Outreach and Media at the Lincoln Network.

6statements → 5claims → 4claims resolved → 50%fully supported → 3.5/5average certainty → 2.83/5average debate potential → 3said about them ↓

2 supported 1 partly supported 1 contradicted 1 not checkable as stated how the 5 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

4 predictions · 1 assertion · 1 opinion · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertion are the 5 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Marshall argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up
Kosloff: Trump will run in 2024 and easily win GOP primary
“The thing that's weird for me, Trump is going to run. Trump easily wins the primary.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 47:18 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine

Their most notable contradicted claim

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kosloff: Democrats Will Likely Suffer Historic 2022 Midterm Losses
“Look what the Democrats are gonna most likely have another set of huge historic midterm losses”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 7:13 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
0% certainty 3
83% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Marshall Kosloff on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Marshall Kosloff said on Big Technology that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Held up
Kosloff: Trump will run in 2024 and easily win GOP primary
“The thing that's weird for me, Trump is going to run. Trump easily wins the primary.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 47:18 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Held up
Kosloff predicts a U.S. TikTok ban or forced spinout is inevitable
“For me, the question isn't like, Is there gonna be some form of TikTok spin out disinvestiture ban? It's gonna happen at some point.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 54:36 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kosloff: Democrats Will Likely Suffer Historic 2022 Midterm Losses
“Look what the Democrats are gonna most likely have another set of huge historic midterm losses”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 7:13 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kosloff: US aid to Ukraine will continue as long as counteroffensives advance
“And as long as the Ukrainians are able to do that, I think the aid packages are going to be pretty straightforward and continue.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 31:58 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Opinion
Kosloff: Social media censorship is no longer an animating electoral issue
“Social media censorship is a very, like, 2019 era issue. It's just not, even, like, separate from just, like, Twitter, separate from, oh, there's a reason I trove social has just not blown up. I think we are just in this weird moment where the broad electorate…”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 49:43 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Assertion Partly supported
Kosloff: Blake Masters Softened Abortion Platform With Zero Conservative Backlash
“Blake Masters in June deletes pretty extreme abortion language from his website just instantly. And other than a few random Twitter users, there's zero backlash on the right.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 15:41 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine

The other half of the tape: Marshall Kosloff's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 3 times in 3 episodes on Big Technology. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Alex Kantrowitz 3

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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011202120222023episodes it came up in
000.50.511202120222023episodesmentions per episode
2023 1 mention in 1 episode
2022 1 mention in 1 episode
2021 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine Nov 6, 2022 25m
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