The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 293 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Vought: The Trump administration will use impoundment to withhold appropriated funds
“We've got a lot of executive tools up to using impoundment that we intend to use And are looking for opportunities to do so.”
Mandia's startup is building an offensive nation-state hyper-attack platform
“We want to build the whole hyper attack platform. Everything a nation state would build on offense. We want to build.”
Loeffler: SBA Cut Headcount by 53% and Canceled $3B in Contracts
“I've cut my own agency's headcount by 53%. That's about three hundred million a year just in salary and expense. We've cut three billion dollars of contract, needless contracts out of their”
Atkins: SEC Will Allow IPOs with Mandatory Arbitration Bylaws
“So, and so what we're doing is so I made it explicit that the commission will not turn away and the staff will not turn away those sorts of would be IPOs if they have a bylaw With either of those two provisions.”
Atkins: SEC to clarify meme coins and stablecoins are not securities
“That's our goal is to come out with rules that differentiate between what's the stock,
Security, and what is a commodity where the CFTC, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, can oversee.
So meme coins and all that, and stable coins, those are not
for the…”
Vought classifies 90% of OMB staff as at-will employees to enact reforms
“The reform to make it so that if you are a career individual that's engaged on policy matters, and I, I've classified my organization OMB as 90% of the people at OMB are engaged in policy matters on behalf of the president, being in a situation where you are e…”
Isaacman: NASA will launch every 10 months, scrapping Artemis III plan
“We are going to get in a cadence of launching every 10 months. We are going to add a new mission. You know, Artemis III is supposed to land on the moon in, in, in, in, in twenty-twenty-eight. Not doing that anymore. We're going to launch Artemis III in twenty-…”
Kupor: OPM Is Implementing Forced Curve Ratings Across Federal Government
“We're doing this in our, in the, across the government is you have to kind of effectively legislate you know, effectively a force curve in order to change this behavior. So you have done that at senior levels of the organization. Yeah, we're doing it. We're do…”
Carvalho: UATX curriculum is explicitly designed to uphold Western civilization
“No, no, but an university has a duty, I believe, in especially where we sit here in America, to be an institution that is pro-decivilization, that is trying to uphold the civilization and move the civilization forward. So that's a very opinionated position. Th…”
Stitt deployed Oklahoma Highway Patrol to give Tulsa campers an ultimatum
“I sent my highway patrol in to clean up Tulsa. And we first went in and told them, you're not allowed to camp here. Ah, we gave them one day to get away, and then the next day we showed up, and we basically said, we're going to give you a couple options. We wi…”
Stitt says Oklahoma plans to institute long-term civil psychiatric commitments
“That's one thing Oklahoma's looking at is, if you have some serious mental issues, we are going to get you into, we're going to prosecute you, that's part of Trump's executive order, we're going to commit you long term.”
Vought: White House will make DOGE spending cuts permanent unilaterally if necessary
“We're gonna make these cuts permanent. We've got a lot of different options. We would love to have Congress as a willing partner. But they need to prove that they can pass these bills because otherwise we're gonna have to look at other options.”
Lonsdale: Collaborating with federal agencies to target NGO funding networks
“So I think studying SF and studying Austin, Led me to understand the NGO thing, which I then was very helpful with DC, and we actually are working with people running a lot of agencies in DC to go after the NGOs and based on things we've learned in the last se…”
Lonsdale: The SEC Investigated My Brother to Target Me
“I have two younger brothers and one of them, there were multiple, Kind of quiet SEC investigations. They never found anything wrong. And I hired the guy used to run the SEC in San Francisco to look into it. What's going on? He said, he came back kind of sheepi…”
Scott Wu: Cognition engineers no longer type code
“For us at Cognition, for example, our engineers don't type code anymore.”
Atkins: SEC and DOL reviewing rules to expand retail private access
“So we are undertaking, and there's an executive order the president signed, asking the
Department of Labor and us to, ah, you know, to make it so, to look at these various rules and, ah, and to try to see what makes sense for you know, normal people to be able…”
Gebbia: Tech workers privately backed my administration work but feared speaking up
“Certain people reached out and said, you know, I'm excited that you're doing this, and I could never really speak up in my company. You know, I kind of always stayed a little bit quiet. Because I couldn't promote my support for this administration. And so a lo…”
Gebbia: Former peers sent hate mail and cut ties over administration role
“I call them, like, hate mail. It's probably the right way to put it. And so, I don't know, like, hey guys, I'm fixing retirement in the government. Yeah. To make it better for federal employees. Do you really have an issue with that? Like, come on, like, if yo…”
Gebbia: TrumpRx.gov will offer Americans access to lowest-cost prescription drugs
“And TrumpRx will be the storefront For Americans to access the lowest cost drugs on the internet.”
Pentagon Office of Strategic Capital has 200 billion dollars in loan capacity
“So what that does is it gives government loans to companies that can scale a technology that already exists. So we'll take a minute. It's for the defense industrial base. Half of it, half of two hundred billion dollars. So a hundred billion dollars is to make …”
Lonsdale: Donors are using nonprofits to supplement federal tech salaries.
“Like he actually is bringing in a lot of other talent, but he's actually finding a way to pay them more using a nonprofit, which actually I happen to be a donor. I think Mark and others are donors to that as well.”
Kupor: OPM Is Eliminating Degree and Tenure Requirements in Federal Job Classifications
“And so if we, and we're doing this, by the way, we're going to go eliminate all those requirements in the job classifications so that we can at least hire people at the level that's appropriate for their skills.”
Howard: Common Good Preparing Constitutional Lawsuit Against Public Union Power
“We're at the beginning of doing this white paper, which we hope to do in the next two or three months on unmanageability, and then we have, we already have a draft complaint that we're working on, that we've developed, and so then we're going to go to the Trum…”
Liemandt: Withdrawing $1 billion in cash to fund education reform
“Well, I'm taking a billion dollars cash out of the company so I can fund.”
Liemandt: Alpha School pays middle schoolers $1,000 for top 1% performance
“We pay every kid in middle school at Alpha a thousand dollars if they get to top one percent. And, but it funds their Robin Hood for Kids account to teach them how to earn, save, invest spend, and donate.”
Liemandt: Education reform requires a sub-$1,000 on-device AI tablet
“Sometime in the next three to five years, we need a tablet that's less than a thousand dollars, so on-device AI to, you know, hit the cost target, on-device AI that teaches every kid on this planet everything they need to know in two hours a day or less.”
Machado: In Hiding for Over a Year Following Maduro's Terrorism Accusations
“Yes, I've been in hiding for over a year, just because after the elections, Maduro accused us, everybody involved in the election, which we won by a landslide, as you said, of terrorism.”
Cinnamon: Building anything less than a $100B company is a failure
“So for me, success is I want to go build a hundred billion dollar company. Anything smaller than that in my mind is a failure.”
Vought: CFPB is dismissing enforcement cases and withdrawing regulatory guidances
“So we've been doing a lot of dismissing cases. We pulled down all the regulations that or the guidances that were kind of being used as The enforcement mechanism. And then now we're going through the process of deregulating where we have to actually send out a…”
Andreessen purchased four times Manhattan's acreage for a new Solano County city
“We have a project to build a new city in California. We've bought, you know, four times the acreage of Manhattan in Solano County.”
Thiel: EdTech and healthcare IT yielded Founders Fund's worst software returns
“The two worst areas are educational software related companies and healthcare IT companies.”
Lonsdale: Stocks of 2019 Business Roundtable Holdouts Outperformed Massively
“You know, at the time when they did that, there were only like four companies that where they wouldn't sign their statement. And I bought all of those stocks and all four of those overall have outperformed massively”
Joe Lonsdale Avoids Hiring Engineers in China Due to CCP Concerns
“Originally, there was a lot of talent in China was number two. I don't really like to work with them as much right now, given the CCP issues.”
Lonsdale: Saronic will produce thousands of AI-enabled weaponized naval vessels
“For example, one of our companies, Sironic, we're going to producing thousands of weaponized vessels to compliment the fleet, and we're teaching them how to use AI.”
Stitt: Oklahoma pursues constitutional cap limiting spending growth to inflation
“One of the things we're gonna do is a contract with Oklahoma, and we're gonna roll this out, it's probably, I'm probably spoiling it here for, if it's on TV, if we're recording this, but, ah, it's a contract with Oklahoma that we're gonna get in our Constituti…”
Greenblatt: ADL warned 200 universities about student groups supporting foreign terror
“We reported to law and to law enforcement in October of last year that we saw things that indicated that many of these student groups were providing material support for a foreign terror organization. I wrote a letter to 200 university presidents on this.”
Ross: Commerce Department was first to restrict dual-use exports to Chinese companies
“So we were the first ones to put a lot of controls on the exportation to certain sanctioned Chinese companies of militarily sensitive products. We call them dual-use products, because a lot of them had some commercial use, but also could be military use.”
Lowery: Epirus built automated targeting, but military rejects fully automatic mode
“The system now is in its infancy, but those hooks and those basically that fully automated mode is dialed into the way we architected it. So today, the military is not willing to go fully automatic”
Langone: Receiving $3,600 monthly Social Security checks proves system is flawed
“I have a charming life with everything I could imagine a human being could want. And I get a check from the government every month for 3600 dollars. Something's wrong with that system.”
Pahlavi: I am not seeking any personal position in post-regime Iran
“I'm not looking for any personal interest out of it or any position for myself, but if you trust me to be your transition agent, that's what I'm here for, and it's the only thing that preoccupies me day and night. Help manage this transition to a successful en…”
Gallagher: Open to forced TikTok sale if US company gets algorithm
“As long as it comes with algorithmic control, By an American company, I would be fine with a forced sale, and that way American investors who own a bunch of ByteDance don't totally lose a ton of money”
Andreessen: Only a lethal real-world incident will prove existential AI risk
“And so you know, the minute one of these things tries to take out, you know you know, one of these AI risk people, you know, develops a, you know, custom unique pathogen and, you know, somebody drops dead in the street and it turns out a rogue AI did it. Like …”
Lonsdale: Collapsed bank board mistakenly believed it was adequately hedged
“I actually have a friend on the board of one of the two big banks that went under, and they thought they were hedging more than they actually were, so it seems like some of the hedging went wrong.”
Balaji Srinivasan prefers holding Bitcoin and foreign fiat over US dollars
“TLDR is, at least I personally prefer to hold Bitcoin and stable foreign fiat over USD.”
Pompeo: Not sure I left State Department materially better
“I must say, Joe, I, 70,000 people, a thousand days. I'm not sure I left that place materially better than where I began. We did a lot, but we had to work around and through what was the most resistant, unaccountable bureaucracy, the one that I've ever been a p…”
Kanelos: UATX Has No Intention of Starting a Conservative University
“We have no intention in starting a conservative university. In fact, our intention is to create a university that rises above politics.”
Lonsdale: Building a Stanford competitor in Austin with Ferguson and Weiss
“You probably heard where some of my friends and I with Neil Ferguson and Barry Weiss are trying to create a competitor to Stanford now in Austin here.”
Florence: Generalist trains on hundreds of thousands of interaction hours
“What this looks like more concretely, I would say, is, like, we just train a model on hundreds of thousands or millions of hours of data of Every single type of possible physical interaction in the world we can think of, and then we now have a model that we ca…”