The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,273 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 18 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Schmitt: Missouri holds a $24B legal judgment against China
“Missouri has currently a twenty four billion dollar judgment against communist China that is, you know, can, you can seize assets.”
Schmitt: Coca-Cola held training sessions on being 'less white'
“Coca-Cola, for example, was having sessions about how people had to explain how they wanted to be less white.”
Lonsdale: Venezuela is manufacturing weapons for United States adversaries
“It's producing with manufacturing plants, weapons for our adversaries.”
Machado: Iran Operates Military Attack Drone Facility in Venezuela
“And the Iranian regime has production a facility that products drones military drones, attack drones in Venezuela. It's the only country in the region.”
Machado: DEA Estimates 24% of Global Cocaine Passes Through Venezuela
“Well, the DEA estimates that 24% of cocaine that it's a deal worldwide goes through Venezuela.”
Machado: Russian agents and Iranian Quds forces train Venezuelan military
“And many of the, of their agents are freely operate in Venezuela, have trained Venezuela army and militias, as well as the Iranian could army.”
Lonsdale: Former SF DA Chesa Boudin Worked with Hugo Chavez
“Our recent DA in San Francisco, who we threw out of power chase a boot, and I guess worked with Chavez as did many other of the far left in the U S.”
Machado: Chavez Confiscated Over 5,000 Businesses Without Paying Owners
“And when Hugo Chavez came to power, he took over more than 5000 ongoing companies and enterprises and business, and he confiscated them without paying the owners.”
Machado: Chavez Seized 22M Acres Totaling 30% of Venezuela's Productive Land
“He took over twenty two million acres of productive land, over 30% of the total amount of productive land in Venezuela, and he destroyed everything.”
Lonsdale: Protesters targeting Palantir are paid by the political left
“The protesters get paid by the left to do it, but then they're actually just encouraging you.”
Lonsdale: Palantir caught Chinese intelligence blackmailing employees to steal IP
“Obviously, you know, at Palantir, we catch them in the old days trying to steal stuff. And it's, it was interesting. The thing that really I've mentioned before, but that shocked me was there's people we knew and trusted from PhD programs who are working with …”
Lonsdale: Majority of Young People Taught Critical Frameworks Resent Jews
“19 and twenty-five-year-olds who've gone through the system, who have these frameworks, the majority of them have problems with Jews right now, which is terrifying to me.”
Vought: Reconciliation bill's $1.5T mandatory cuts nearly double 1997 record
“There's a one in .5 trillion dollar in savings to mandatory reforms, which is some of the big structural drivers that we have. If you looked at the biggest mandatory reform in history, it would have been 1997 and eight hundred billion dollars adjusted For infl…”
Sofman: Waymo has driven 70M+ miles and is 5x safer than humans
“Today, like there's over seventy million miles and statistically it's five times safer than a human. It's like genuinely like it is saving lives from a, on a, from a statistical basis.”
Hilton: 70% of UK policy came from EU directives and internal bureaucracy
“And it turned out that about 70% of it, I said, what proportion of it is necessary for the implementation of what we're supposed to be here to do, the actual program of the coalition government? The answer is 30%. The rest of it was either implementing EU dire…”
Hilton: Lawyers and government unions are California Democrats' primary funders
“Lawyers, along with government unions, are the main funders of Democrat politicians in California.”
Hilton: Many California restaurants budget $1M annually for PAGA workplace lawsuits
“Many restaurant owners I meet, they say they factor into their cost of doing business a million dollars a year for PAGA lawsuits.”
Hilton: California government unions spend $1 billion annually on political contributions
“The government unions, by the way, it's a billion dollars a year. So one billion dollars a year. To politics. Just from the unions.”
Hilton: San Francisco Homeless Housing Costs Up to $1M Per Unit
“They defined shelter as what they call permanent supportive housing, which is an apartment unit costing because of all the other Corruption and regulation involved in house building in California, 700,000 dollars, 800,000 dollars, a million dollars now in San …”
Hilton: California Failed to Apply for Trump-Era Federal Mental Health Waiver
“The first Trump administration created a waiver from the IMD rule that states could apply for. Guess what? California hasn't applied for the rule.”
Hilton: Over 1 million approved California housing units are blocked by lawsuits
“You've got over a million housing units in California that have been approved by local government, gone through zoning, compliant with CEQA and all the other environmental rules, blocked by lawsuits.”
Hilton: 70% of CEQA Lawsuits Are Filed to Block Housing
“70% of lawsuits under CEQA are used to block housing.”
Wu: Devin routinely delivers 6x to 20x efficiency gains for enterprise customers
“We pretty routinely see spots where we can make things like anywhere from six X to 20 X more efficient.”
Wu: The duration of autonomous AI coding tasks doubles every three months
“And the crazy thing is over the last like three, four years, that number has basically, it's doubled approximately every three months.”
Lonsdale: Harvard's Jewish population fell from 20% to under 5%
“One, it used to be for a long time based on merit, over 20% Jewish. It's very clear that along with this other kind of anti-Semitic stuff that was like not okay for the people running it, and they, and they've pushed that down to, I think, under five percent n…”
Lonsdale: Top 100 universities will not hire non-leftist historians
“You can't get hired as a historian at any of the top hundred universities anymore if you're not kind of on one side of things”
Thiel: China directly and indirectly accounts for half the US trade deficit
“I think the rough numbers are that about a quarter of the US trade deficit is bilaterally with China, but another quarter is indirectly with China. So China is, is sort of half the problem.”
Thiel: Silicon Valley experienced a rapid preference cascade away from left-wing orthodoxy
“And then you can get this, at some point, you can get this very, very fast preference cascade, and something like this happened in Silicon Valley in the last few years. It was a buildup that took a few years for people to realize that, you know, Things were ve…”
Cotton: Federal improper payments and entitlement fraud total hundreds of billions
“And we're not talking something here, Joe, that's in the millions of dollars, that the billions or tens of billions. We're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars.”
Cotton: China runs spies across Washington targeting U.S. government officials
“China has spies running all over Washington DC and elsewhere, targeting intelligence officers, military officers, high ranking government officials.”
Cotton: China pre-positions cyber tools in critical U.S. infrastructure
“They also are some of the most aggressive hackers in the world as well. Targeting government systems, targeting corporate systems, and placing tools in critical infrastructure for moments of tension in the future.”
Cotton: Local and state officials have lobbied him to appease China
“You can have mayors and city councilmen and county executives and state legislators come to Washington and ask their congressman, senator to take it easy on China. It's happened to me.”
Lonsdale: Palantir partnered with special operations to eliminate thousands of terrorists
“And I know what this means, because obviously building Palantir, we partnered to help you know, use a lot of very advanced techniques in partnership with special operations forces to wipe out Several thousand terrorists.”
Cotton: Trump views Mexican cartel terrorist designations as an initial step
“Declaring them foreign terrorist organizations, unlocking all the tools that we would use against Al Qaeda and ISIS. Around the world is an important step, and I know that President Trump and Pam Bondi and Kash Patel and others who are directly overseeing this…”
Frerichs: Anheuser-Busch Vetoed Black Rifle Coffee Deal as Too Controversial
“I tried to do a partnership with Black Rifle Coffee Company when I was at Anheuser-Busch. This made all the sense in the world. I mean, the guy who's drinking a six pack of Budweiser at night is a lot of times drinking Black Rifle Coffee in the morning. And, b…”
Frerichs: Bud Light Backlash Erased $40 Billion in Market Cap
“The company lost millions of customers, billions of dollars of shareholder value, and forty billion dollars have been erased since this happened. Thousands of people have lost their jobs. They work with tons of independent distributors, family owned distributo…”
Frerichs: Big Three Asset Managers Lead 95% of S&P 500 Companies
“BlackRock, State Street, Vanguard have 20 trillion dollars of capital. They are the single largest shareholder, 95% of the S&P 500, and they have an outsized influence with the 20 to 30% of the shares they can vote.”
Bookman: US aid sent shipping containers of laptops to illiterate Afghan councils
“Turns out we bought them a shipping container full of laptops. And he's like, the issue is we don't read and write. This is the type of stuff that was going on all over the place. It's actually good intentions, just preposterous executions.”
Sirota: Zero out of hundreds of CTOs believe AI will replace engineers
“And across hundreds of CTOs, the answer has been zero. No one thinks it's actually going to replace.”
Sirota: Tech companies see 95% fake applications among 5,000 applicants
“It's a really hard challenge, and we're seeing that today with many of our companies complaining that they're getting 5000 applicants, but then when they start sifting through, they realize that 95% of them are fake, and so they're getting fake resumes, fake a…”
Sirota: Companies unknowingly hire remote engineers logging in from China
“We've seen many companies hire folks and then all of a sudden that engineer's logging in from China Or from other markets.”
Raj Bhakta bought 85 percent of the world's remaining 19th-century spirit stocks
“19th century spirits, 85% bought. Hundred year plus spirits, 70%. And 50 year plus, almost half.”
Joe Lonsdale: Palantir helped locate over 10,000 terrorists for elimination
“And so Palantir ended up, as you probably know, helping find like over 10,000 terrorists to be eliminated in those years.”
Stitt: Oklahoma provides families up to $7,500 tax credits for school choice
“Now every single family has up to 7500 dollars of a refundable tax credit. To go to a school of their choice”
Lonsdale: US NGOs receive over $100B in government funding
“In this country, NGOs receive over a hundred billion dollars of funding from governments now. It's actually probably a lot higher than that.”
Gil: Curing all cancer and heart disease would only add 5-7 years
“If you got rid of all of cancer and all of heart disease, I think you add something like five to seven years”
Lonsdale: Anduril integrated with Saronic in three days versus legacy primes
“So we have this company, Sironic, I think you're also just invested in them, that we helped, I helped build, and it's growing really fast for the Navy, and the people, they asked us to weaponize some of the autonomous vessels, and they, and so we reached out t…”
Gil: Stanford, MIT, and Harvard founders created most recent startup value
“Somebody on my team actually went back and asked what are all, There are common schools that all the founders of the biggest companies went to, or the last decade, for example, right? And there's basically three schools that are like a huge chunk of the overal…”