The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2036
Marshall: Most compute will move to space within 10 years
“I think no question within 10 years, most compute will be putting in space, which, to give you a sense, is a lot of money, like trillions, and will be bigger than any of the other space businesses today, comms, earth imaging, this is why we're getting into thi…”
Will Marshall Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 17:36 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Marshall: Starship will drastically lower space launch costs in 2-3 years
“On the current trajectory with Starship in particular, I would expect it, the launch costs come down there in two to three years.”
Will Marshall Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 15:59 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
Assertion Contradicted
Marshall: Rocket launch costs dropped 4x to 5x over 10 years
“Rocket costs have come down about four or five X over the last 10 years, which has helped tremendously.”
Will Marshall Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 12:28 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
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