why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vinod Khosla predicts the need to work will disappear in 25 years
“25 years from now. I think the need to work will disappear.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosla: The need for human labor will disappear within 25 years
“20, 25 years from now. I think the need to work will disappear. People will work because they want to work, not because they need to work”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vinod Khosla: AI will drive abundance, making human meaning our biggest challenge
“AI will cause great abundance, but meaning for human beings will be the largest problem we face.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosla: Commonwealth Fusion Systems is more likely to succeed than fail
“You'll be hearing from Bob Mumgaard, you know, four or five years ago invested in fusion. Now we may fail. I think we are much more likely to succeed sitting here today than fail, but it's possible.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2038
Khosla predicts multiple fusion energy companies will succeed within 15 years
“In fact, I guess, 15 years from now, we'll be looking at one, more than one company that's successful.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2048
Khosla predicts most cars in cities will be replaced in 25 years
“I actually think we are very much on track to replace most cars in most cities in 25 years.”