why aren't all 38 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims US policy actively replaces native-born Americans with immigrants
“At exactly the moment when native-born Americans' birth rates are tanking, over a 100,000 people die of fentanyl ODs, and we're pushing euthanasia on the population, which we are, you're, you basically, you're saying, I've given up on the people who live here,…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims sexual orientation is driven primarily by nurture, not genetics
“Clearly it's not nature, at least primarily, or we wouldn't be having an absolute rise in it, and there would be some hint of a gene responsible for it. I mean, so many different you know, genetic manifestations have been isolated from the decoding of the huma…”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson claims Jeffrey Epstein was an intelligence asset involved in Iran-Contra
“Yes, well, no question. He was involved in Iran-Contra. American, French, Israeli, probably British.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Canada's MAID program funds suicide for non-terminal economic distress
“Native Canadians are encouraged to kill themselves at government expense for non-terminal illnesses up to and including economic distress. And that's sponsored by the government. It's called the Maids Program.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson warns the US is moving toward generational ethnic conflict
“The one thing you have to worry about in a multi-ethnic society is ethnic conflict, because it's enduring, it doesn't go away. It's generational, and we're moving toward that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson asserts Charlotte stabbing victim was targeted for being white
“She was stabbed because she was white, and everyone knows that, actually.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: Drug cartels are involved in LA riots and control California
“I do think the drug cartels are involved, flexing their authority in California. They have a lot of control in California, as I'm sure you know.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson predicts identity politics in America will end in violence
“And in its absence, then we get a lot of people popping up and being like, well, all white people over here, and all black people, or Jewish people, or whatever. That's not gonna work. That will end in violence. Everyone knows that.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Practicing identity politics inevitably produces white identity politics
“You know, if you have identity politics, at some point you're going to get white identity politics. I think I wrote a book about this almost 10 years ago, which was totally ignored, but that's inevitable. It's inevitable.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: AI displacement of lawyers and non-profit workers will trigger revolution
“If you do that to lawyers and nonprofit sector employees who I lived around in D.C., you will get a revolution, and I mean that.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Western demography will trigger totalitarian clampdown or severe reaction
“All of those nations, the Anglosphere specifically, but Western Europe in general, is poised for massive change, and I just hope it ends peacefully. But the story in the West is population change, period. That's the story. And following from that comes culture…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carlson: SSRIs restrict emotional range rather than fixing chemical imbalances
“They prescribe drugs which do not correct a chemical imbalance. They limit emotional range.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: Unrestricted interstate travel in US could end soon
“And I think the longer this continues, the greater the threat of disunion, the greater the threat of reaching a point where you, I don't know, you can't drive from New York to LA. We take a lot for granted in the country, and the main thing we take for granted…”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson: Nearly 50 million undocumented immigrants live in the US
“The real number is not twenty million, it's closer to fifty million, I think that's true illegals in the United States.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Engagement with Iran over two days would derail Trump presidency
“I think a protracted, meaning anything over a day or two engagement with Iran would derail the Trump agenda and the presidency. And I think it could really sink this administration.”
Assertion Supported
Carlson claims no U.S. intel shows Iran assembling a nuclear weapon
“There's no American intelligence, this is a statement of fact, that suggests Iran is in the process of assembling a nuclear weapon or within months of doing so.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims pharmaceutical TV ads are bought to shape news coverage
“Pharma's the biggest advertiser in television, as I know you know, and so, for sure, I mean, if, you know, Pfizer's sponsoring your show, you're not going to question the vax. I mean, it's kind of that simple. So absolutely, and of course, that's why they're t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Four Fox News staff resigned in protest over Carlson's January 6 coverage
“A number of people, including on-air people, four that I can think of, resigned in protest over my, over me suggesting that actually it was more complicated than it looked, and there were a bunch of federal agents in the crowd.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Abandoning national unity sets America up for violent conflict
“I think that's we've set ourselves up for something really, really scary for, again, for violent conflict, because I don't see how that, that resolves itself.”
Prediction Held up
Tucker Carlson predicts Joe Biden will not be the 2024 Democratic nominee
“I don't think Biden can be the nominee. His only point was to You know, stop Bernie Sanders, basically, and he's outlifted his usefulness, so I think he'll be, I'm pretty sure he'll be replaced”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Nikki Haley has no chance of winning a free presidential election
“If you get to a place where you think that Nikki Haley has a shot of getting elected in a free and fair election, like, you have no idea what's going on in your own country.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Social media platforms were riddled with salaried intel officers
“They were all locked down, and they were all riddled with intel, in some cases, actual salaried intel officers. Matt Taibbi's amazing reporting has shown this. Not just American, either, from foreign countries.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Opponents will try to shut down X in next 12 months
“I think this election, if that platform stays free for the next 12 months, You know, I think we have a shot at least of a real election, but if it does, and I think they're gonna do whatever they can to shut it down.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Economic populism will be the next major US political chapter
“I think this is a marker for what we're going to see a whole lot more of, which is economic populism. That's the actual next chapter. That's gonna scare the out of everyone in this room.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Trump told him 50 million uncounted people live in US
“Trump told me directly he thought it was fifty million.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson: One-fifth of Americans are on SSRIs
“One-fifth of the entire American population is on SSRIs”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson: U.S. spends over $20k per person on undocumented immigrant subsidies
“We spend a lot more than 20 grand a person right now in subsidies to people who aren't even allowed to be here.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: US cannot withstand an economic crisis without national cohesion
“If that happened now, when there is no broad agreement on what it means to be an American, no agreement at all on what we all have in common, I don't think we can withstand it. Actually, I really don't, and I'm not even convinced it matters as much what that c…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Relentless technological change without pauses will destroy society
“If you impose that on a society, And you don't ever have a period where you pause and let things settle, you will blow up that society.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carlson: Gavin Newsom will be 2024 Democratic nominee if Biden steps down
“Oh, it's Gavin. Gavin. It's Gavin, for sure.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims Disney CEO Bob Iger seriously considering presidential run
“I keep hearing from people, you know, mutual people I know who know Bob Iger very well, that he's like very serious about running for president.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Tucker Carlson predicts Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will not leave power
“This is all an effort to get Maduro to leave. I don't think he's leaving.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: US has no plan for debt and faces economic oblivion
“I don't know a single person who's got a, any kind of plan to fix it. I think we're just gonna ride it into whatever the point of oblivion is.”
Assertion Supported
Carlson: Yale study estimates U.S. undocumented population over 22 million
“Yale University released a study last week by three researchers, all the liberal, I believe, who concluded that the actual number of illegal aliens in this country is not eleven million. It's north of twenty two million.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: American public debate will soon refocus on core material resources
“This can't last because it's just too stupid, and at some point very soon the country's going to revert to the place that all countries begin, which is in a conversation about things that matter, like who comprises the population? Do we have enough water? Wher…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson says he gets along with Donald Trump better than ever
“So no, I get along with him literally in 25 years better than I ever have.”
Assertion Supported
Tucker Carlson states South Korea's reproduction rate has dropped to 0.7
“It happens in South Korea with a .7 replacement, you know, reproduction rate.7.”