why aren't all 87 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls for an immediate ban on SSRIs
“The whole country is addled on drugs, and it's changing the nature of people, and making them into something that is less than people, and it should be banned immediately.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims US policy actively replaces native-born Americans with immigrants
“At exactly the moment when native-born Americans' birth rates are tanking, over a 100,000 people die of fentanyl ODs, and we're pushing euthanasia on the population, which we are, you're, you basically, you're saying, I've given up on the people who live here,…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims sexual orientation is driven primarily by nurture, not genetics
“Clearly it's not nature, at least primarily, or we wouldn't be having an absolute rise in it, and there would be some hint of a gene responsible for it. I mean, so many different you know, genetic manifestations have been isolated from the decoding of the huma…”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls NATO the most destructive force the US belongs to
“NATO is like the single most destructive force that we're a part of, way more than the UN.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: What has happened in Gaza does not help the US at all
“I do think what's happened in Gaza does not help the United States at all.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson claims Jeffrey Epstein was an intelligence asset involved in Iran-Contra
“Yes, well, no question. He was involved in Iran-Contra. American, French, Israeli, probably British.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Canada's MAID program funds suicide for non-terminal economic distress
“Native Canadians are encouraged to kill themselves at government expense for non-terminal illnesses up to and including economic distress. And that's sponsored by the government. It's called the Maids Program.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson warns the US is moving toward generational ethnic conflict
“The one thing you have to worry about in a multi-ethnic society is ethnic conflict, because it's enduring, it doesn't go away. It's generational, and we're moving toward that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson asserts Charlotte stabbing victim was targeted for being white
“She was stabbed because she was white, and everyone knows that, actually.”
Opinion
Carlson: Israeli government is severely mismanaging response in Gaza and West Bank
“I've never seen anybody mismanage anything the way the government of Israel is mismanaging the response to what's happening in Gaza and the West Bank.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: Drug cartels are involved in LA riots and control California
“I do think the drug cartels are involved, flexing their authority in California. They have a lot of control in California, as I'm sure you know.”
Opinion
Carlson: Mass immigration turned California into a slum
“But fundamentally the state is a slum. It's a Latin American country, and immigration did that.”
Opinion
Carlson: Most Senate Republicans are dumb, recalcitrant, and unaware of reality
“Most Republicans in the Senate are not even aware this is happening. They are the most recalcitrant people in the world, also the dumbest, so most of them, you know, don't accept any of this”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson argues that the United States is not a democracy
“This is not a democracy. It's not even a sort of decent facsimile of a democracy. It's, to call it a democracy is, like, It was ridiculous, actually.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Affluent middle-aged women disproportionately control American public debate
“Our politics, and not just our politics, but our public conversation, reflects the very specific and parochial concerns of a tiny, tiny group of people, which is middle-aged, affluent women, who tend to be very angry, and tend to mostly with their husbands, bu…”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Rhetoric inspiring racial hatred originates from the political left
“On the race stuff, which is what matters over time, if you convince people to hate others on the basis of their race, you've committed a massive sin, and you've done a lot to wreck our country, that's coming from the left.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Humans invent climate crises to reduce their prosperity
“We're not designed to be prosperous, and the second we are, we invent climate crises to make us less prosperous. I mean, that's really what that is, right?”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls global warming and climate crisis narrative propaganda
“I think the global warming bullshit is bullshit, okay? I mean, obviously it is. Climate crisis. It's propaganda”
Assertion Contradicted
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Donald Trump's prosecution is a political prosecution
“That's a political prosecution.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls Gavin Newsom the most evil person in Democratic Party
“He's by far the most evil person in the Democratic Party, and in the end, they just sort of rise to the peak, you know, oil and water, man.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Legacy news brands like CBS and CNN cannot win hearts and minds
“Buying CBS news is like buying RCA records or something. It, like, just doesn't have any effect, and only people who are not paying attention or pretty cut off think that you're going to win hearts and minds by being, buying CBS news or CNN. These are, these b…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson predicts identity politics in America will end in violence
“And in its absence, then we get a lot of people popping up and being like, well, all white people over here, and all black people, or Jewish people, or whatever. That's not gonna work. That will end in violence. Everyone knows that.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Practicing identity politics inevitably produces white identity politics
“You know, if you have identity politics, at some point you're going to get white identity politics. I think I wrote a book about this almost 10 years ago, which was totally ignored, but that's inevitable. It's inevitable.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: A regime change war in Iran would not benefit the US
“The prospect of a regime change war in Iran, and I just thought, man, there is no way that helps us in any way”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: AI displacement of lawyers and non-profit workers will trigger revolution
“If you do that to lawyers and nonprofit sector employees who I lived around in D.C., you will get a revolution, and I mean that.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Western demography will trigger totalitarian clampdown or severe reaction
“All of those nations, the Anglosphere specifically, but Western Europe in general, is poised for massive change, and I just hope it ends peacefully. But the story in the West is population change, period. That's the story. And following from that comes culture…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carlson: SSRIs restrict emotional range rather than fixing chemical imbalances
“They prescribe drugs which do not correct a chemical imbalance. They limit emotional range.”
Insight
Carlson: Conflating a nation-state with an ethnic group is unsustainable
“Conflating a nation state with an ethnic group is not a long-term strategy. It's not wise, because you are tied to the temporal politics, the politics of the moment.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: Unrestricted interstate travel in US could end soon
“And I think the longer this continues, the greater the threat of disunion, the greater the threat of reaching a point where you, I don't know, you can't drive from New York to LA. We take a lot for granted in the country, and the main thing we take for granted…”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson: Nearly 50 million undocumented immigrants live in the US
“The real number is not twenty million, it's closer to fifty million, I think that's true illegals in the United States.”
Opinion
Carlson: Tom Cotton hates Donald Trump and frequently undermines him
“Tom Cotton spends an awful lot of time undermining Trump, like Tom Cotton, Hates Trump, actually, of course.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Engagement with Iran over two days would derail Trump presidency
“I think a protracted, meaning anything over a day or two engagement with Iran would derail the Trump agenda and the presidency. And I think it could really sink this administration.”
Assertion Supported
Carlson claims no U.S. intel shows Iran assembling a nuclear weapon
“There's no American intelligence, this is a statement of fact, that suggests Iran is in the process of assembling a nuclear weapon or within months of doing so.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims pharmaceutical TV ads are bought to shape news coverage
“Pharma's the biggest advertiser in television, as I know you know, and so, for sure, I mean, if, you know, Pfizer's sponsoring your show, you're not going to question the vax. I mean, it's kind of that simple. So absolutely, and of course, that's why they're t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Four Fox News staff resigned in protest over Carlson's January 6 coverage
“A number of people, including on-air people, four that I can think of, resigned in protest over my, over me suggesting that actually it was more complicated than it looked, and there were a bunch of federal agents in the crowd.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Affirmative action is immoral and leads to violence
“I think affirmative action is completely, not only immoral, because it's an insult to the idea of America, which is, like, the people who do the best get the most, But it is also a recipe over time for violence, and I made that case, I've made that case every …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Abandoning national unity sets America up for violent conflict
“I think that's we've set ourselves up for something really, really scary for, again, for violent conflict, because I don't see how that, that resolves itself.”
Prediction Held up
Tucker Carlson predicts Joe Biden will not be the 2024 Democratic nominee
“I don't think Biden can be the nominee. His only point was to You know, stop Bernie Sanders, basically, and he's outlifted his usefulness, so I think he'll be, I'm pretty sure he'll be replaced”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Nikki Haley has no chance of winning a free presidential election
“If you get to a place where you think that Nikki Haley has a shot of getting elected in a free and fair election, like, you have no idea what's going on in your own country.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: 2022 FBI raid was key to Donald Trump's primary surge
“And so I think that's the key to his surge. I really do think that.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Social media platforms were riddled with salaried intel officers
“They were all locked down, and they were all riddled with intel, in some cases, actual salaried intel officers. Matt Taibbi's amazing reporting has shown this. Not just American, either, from foreign countries.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Opponents will try to shut down X in next 12 months
“I think this election, if that platform stays free for the next 12 months, You know, I think we have a shot at least of a real election, but if it does, and I think they're gonna do whatever they can to shut it down.”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Andrew Ross Sorkin proves television media is not a meritocracy
“The fact that Andrew Ross Sorkin has a television job shows this is not a meritocracy.”
Disclosure
Tucker Carlson says he has no investors, no debt, and took no Qatari money
“I've never taken a dollar from Qatar or anyone else. I have no investors and no debt”
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Pre-Trump U.S. government made no effort to serve popular desires
“Clearly, we're on, sort of like, or were, up until Trump's election, sort of at one end, where there's no demonstrable effort by the government to meet, like, the basic desires of the population, doing just the opposite.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Economic populism will be the next major US political chapter
“I think this is a marker for what we're going to see a whole lot more of, which is economic populism. That's the actual next chapter. That's gonna scare the out of everyone in this room.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carlson: Trump told him 50 million uncounted people live in US
“Trump told me directly he thought it was fifty million.”