why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Kalanick: Waymo takes 100x more energy to drive than a human
“The Waymo machine takes a hundred times more energy to drive a Waymo than a human does to drive a Waymo.”
Assertion Partly supported
Travis Kalanick calculates a $500B surplus using 2019 spending and 2024 revenues
“2009, if we took 2019 spend, right, the year before COVID, and put it up against 20, 24 revenues, five hundred billion dollar surplus.”
Assertion Contradicted
Travis Kalanick says all-EV ride-sharing would require doubling California's energy capacity
“If all of the miles in California went EV ride sharing, you would need to double the energy capacity of California.”
Prediction Partly held up
Travis Kalanick warns expanding California's grid by 10% will take years
“Even getting 20% more, 10% more is going to be a gargantuan five to 10 year exercise.”
Assertion Partly supported
San Francisco Threatened Kalanick With 90 Days in Jail Per Uber Ride
“I got threatened by the city of San Francisco and the state of California three months after we launched Uber with 90 days in jail for every ride that had occurred.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kalanick: 13% of San Francisco vehicle miles were Uber when he departed
“When I left Uber, 13% of all San Francisco miles were Uber miles.”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: Rare earth minerals are constrained by regulation, not physical scarcity
“Yeah, but it's not rare. It's what you have to do to the land is aggressive, and what's rare is the, is, is where the, where are the places they'll let you do it that you can also sort of get people to.”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: Uber Eats and DoorDash represent only 2% of US meals
“Uber Eats and DoorDash, they represent like 1.8% or two percent of all meals right now.”
Assertion Partly supported
Travis Kalanick reveals CloudKitchens operates tens of thousands of delivery kitchens globally
“We, of course we have the real estate, so we have kitchens, you know, tens of thousands of kitchens around the world.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kalanick: Average Uber driver worked eight hours weekly during his tenure
“And let's be clear, the average Uber driver during my, you know, let's say at the end of my tenure was eight hours a week.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kalanick: Uber turned $1.5 billion into an $8–$9 billion Didi stake
“So we turned a bill and a half into eight or nine. I can't remember the exact math, but it's something like that.”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: Lab37's food assembly machine produces 300 bowls per hour
“That machine right there does 300 bowls an hour.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kalanick: Tesla Hardware 5 will probably launch next year
“Hardware five is coming out on Tesla probably next year, which is going to make a big difference in what FSD can do.”
Assertion Contradicted
Travis Kalanick: Autonomous vehicle companies no longer use human data labeling
“You're some of the players in the autonomous software space, autonomous vehicle software space are no longer doing any labeling because the machines are doing it all.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kalanick: Uber launched ride sharing second to Lyft in almost every US city
“In almost every city in the US other than two, Portland, Vegas, We were number two in ride sharing for this reason.”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: Uber private funding round cleared at $17B valuation
“It was 17, but you know, no one's counting.”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: CloudKitchens operates in 30 countries
“So we operate in 30 countries.”
Assertion Supported
Travis Kalanick says Saudi Arabia invested $3.5B before the Vision Fund existed
“We did stuff with the Saudis, Before even Vision Fund existed, they stroked a three and a half billion dollar check when that was like the biggest thing that ever happened.”