The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Coplan: Prediction markets offer a 10x improvement and will displace polling
“And it's like, the reality is after today, if things continue to trend in the direction that they're trending, like the idea of trusting an individual pollster and taking their word for it is now antiquated technology. Like Polymarket has arrived. It has prove…”
Coplan: Polymarket hit all-time high volume of hundreds of millions on Election Day
“I mean, today I think A couple hundred million dollars which is, you know, a lot by, I guess when you think about leveraged assets, it doesn't seem like a lot, but for prediction markets, it's probably an all time high, I guess, in history.”