The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hellmuth: Shayne Coplan created Polymarket after a bet involving David Friedberg
“Shane came up with the idea of starting Polymarket because of a bet that Friedberg had with Diego.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 58:39 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Opinion
Hellmuth: Stu Ungar might have been the greatest poker player ever
“He might have been the greatest of all time.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 29, 2025 ▶ 44:53 Live Poker Match!: The Besties Vs. Phil Hellmuth, Alan Keating, and Jason Koon
Disclosure
Hellmuth passed on buying 4 percent of Polymarket for $30,000
“All I did was send in my 30,000 and I would have had four percent.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 59:19 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Assertion Supported
Hellmuth: Pollsters were miles off on the 2020 election
“But wow, the polls are, pollsters were miles off on this, and this is just amazing.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 7:15 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Contradicted
Phil Hellmuth: Donald Trump outworked Joe Biden in the 2020 election
“There's no doubt that he outworked Biden. I mean, this guy's going to seven rallies a day showing up with a ton of energy, and he has, you know, like him or not, he has a lot of charisma.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 53:57 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hellmuth: All-In Podcast brought at least 200,000 new players to poker
“At least a couple 100,000 people have come in because of these guys.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 29, 2025 ▶ 13:46 Live Poker Match!: The Besties Vs. Phil Hellmuth, Alan Keating, and Jason Koon
Assertion Partly supported
Hellmuth: Stu Ungar simultaneously dominated backgammon, gin rummy, and Texas Hold'em
“At one point, he finished in the top four in the world backgammon championships, was the best gin player in the world, no one played him, and was the best Hold'em player in the world all at the same time.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 29, 2025 ▶ 45:42 Live Poker Match!: The Besties Vs. Phil Hellmuth, Alan Keating, and Jason Koon
Opinion
Phil Hellmuth says Chamath Palihapitiya has the world's best poker game
“I'm gonna say that Chamath has the best poker game in the world.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 29, 2025 ▶ 50:45 Live Poker Match!: The Besties Vs. Phil Hellmuth, Alan Keating, and Jason Koon
Assertion Supported
Hellmuth: Donald Trump is a 3-to-1 favorite in betting markets
“Right now, if you want to bet, Trump is a three to one favorite and there's been billions of dollars bet in England, Australia, all over the world. He's a three to one favorite.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 16:26 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Partly supported
Hellmuth: Jenny Just's Poker Power has educated 400,000 women in poker
“She's educated 400,000 women on how to play poker.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 29, 2025 ▶ 12:05 Live Poker Match!: The Besties Vs. Phil Hellmuth, Alan Keating, and Jason Koon
Assertion Supported
Hellmuth: £368 million wagered on UK betting markets for 2020 election
“Three hundred and sixty-eight million pounds. Trump is now a three to 10 favorite.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:12 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Assertion Supported
Hellmuth: Betting markets favored Joe Biden for three straight months before election
“The betting odds, the markets were, have been in Biden's favor for three straight months.”
Phil Hellmuth Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:55 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
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