why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: DOGE mistakenly emailed air traffic controllers encouraging them to quit
“The doge we got sent an email to every air traffic controller in the country during an air traffic controller shortage and suggested they quit being an air traffic controller and get something, quote, more productive to do in the private sector, only later on …”
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: DOGE fired nuclear safety and health staff, then tried to rehire them
“The doge we got fired people in charge of making sure our nuclear weapons were safe and in charge of making sure that bird flu didn't spread, and then, whoops, You know, tried to hire him back in a hurry.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: 2017 tax cuts caused massive wealth transfer to the rich
“It's not terribly contested that the majority of the benefit of TCGA and OBBA went to wealthy people, and it's definitely not contested, or I'd say generally not contested, that OBBA represents one of the largest transfers of wealth from lower income people to…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: Republican coalition cannot coexist long-term without Donald Trump
“And I don't know that they can coexist for long if they're not held together by the awe of or fear of, you know, the personality of Donald Trump.”
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg claims citizens with accents or brown skin are detained without legal access
“We got citizens who just have an accent or look brown, getting picked up, sometimes getting detained without access to a lawyer for a frighteningly long amount of time, and that's citizens, let alone other people who, you know, maybe they shouldn't be here, bu…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Buttigieg: Most NEVI EV chargers will be installed in 2026 and 2027
“Most of the chargers would go in in 2026, 2027, but well ahead of 2030.”
Assertion Contradicted
Buttigieg: Outright fraud in federal spending is well below one percent
“Often in terms of outright fraud, you know, they're gonna come in a number that's well below one percent”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: The Laffer curve has collapsed empirically
“That has just never generated the growth that, you know, I mean, the Laffer curve has collapsed empirically, and it just doesn't work that way, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Buttigieg: U.S. productivity and GDP growth were higher under higher tax rates
“Well, look at the seventies and eighties, right? Sixties, seventies, eighties, look at GDP growth, productivity growth, and tax rates. I mean, I'm sure you're aware that those growth rates were higher, and the tax rates were higher too.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: No historical republic survived current US inequality levels
“One of the biggest problems we have as a society is this level of inequality we've hit. That like, historically, there's no evidence that any republic can reach this level of equality to hold onto it and continue to be a republic.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: The 2024 debate was the turning point on Biden's age
“I think the debate was a real turning point. Yeah, I mean, the debate was a turning point, right, where you just saw, I think everybody saw what everybody saw.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: Dismantled government agencies will not return to their original forms
“You know, if and when we get another chance, a lot of the things that he has burned down just aren't coming back the way they were. Why would we put him back the way they used to be if it was full of problems anyway?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: Some autonomous vehicle tech is already safer than human drivers
“I think we're at the point where at least some of these technologies right now already are safer than human beings, and that's only going to increase and improve.”
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: Trump administration deleted climate change references from government websites
“They've gone through, like, every government website, right, and deleted anything that could accidentally be a reference to climate change.”
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: U.S. commercial aviation had zero crash fatalities across 4 billion enplanements
“Just in the four years I was secretary, We had about four billion passenger employments, so four billion times somebody got on an airplane, right? And zero commercial airline crash fatalities out of that four billion.”
Assertion Partly supported
Buttigieg: The federal government literally invented the internet
“On the other hand, you know, when you talk about capital allocation, the federal government literally invented the internet, right?”
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: DOGE posted data off by three orders of magnitude and deleted it
“The doge we got was one that couldn't even count, that put information, sometimes that was wrong by three orders of magnitude on its own website, then erased its own information because they didn't believe in the transparency.”
Assertion Partly supported
Buttigieg: Fewer than 40 U.S. House seats are seriously competitive
“So we've got 435 seats in the house. Last time I checked, less than one out of 10 of them is considered to be seriously competitive. At best, like less than 40 are actually competitive, which means in nine out of 10 races, the primary is pretty much it.”