why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Michael Newman: Donald Trump will safely win Florida in 2020 election
“NBC has still not called Florida for Trump, but there's really no path for Biden to win that state. So you can put that safely in the Trump column.”
Prediction Held up
Michael Newman: Donald Trump and Thom Tillis will win North Carolina
“He has just taken the lead in North Carolina after trailing all night. We've got about 88% of the vote in now, and I suspect he's home free, as is the Republican incumbent senator there.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Michael Newman predicts Donald Trump will win the 2020 election
“I've increasingly think Trump is going to win.”
Assertion Contradicted
Michael Newman: Donald Trump must win five specific states for victory
“He had to have those five, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, and Texas.”
Prediction Held up
Michael Newman: Donald Trump will win Ohio in the 2020 election
“Unless all of Cleveland is outstanding, I would say that's a Trump state.”
Prediction Held up
Newman: Biden will win 2020 popular vote by four or five points
“I think we can safely say that Biden is going to win the popular vote, and it might be by four points, five points, which means that there is a discrepancy between the popular vote and electoral college.”
Prediction Held up
Newman: 2020 election results in key swing states could take until weekend
“Unfortunately, all four of those states are going to probably take at least a day. Arizona, three days, I think, to count. Maybe not this year because So much of the vote was early. Maybe it'll move faster, but they are notoriously slow counters. So settle in.…”
Prediction Held up
Newman: Iowa will go to Donald Trump as election day votes trickle in
“As the election day vote starts to trickle in, that's going to Trump.”
Assertion Contradicted
Newman claims Biden lost Nebraska's 2nd congressional district in 2020
“Biden did not get that one district in Omaha, Nebraska, that he had targeted that Obama won his first time, that would give you one electoral vote in, in Nebraska”
Prediction Held up
Newman predicts 2020 presidential election winner will be known within a week
“I think we'll know within a week who won.”
Assertion Supported
Michael Newman: Clinton won Miami-Dade early vote by 29 points in 2016
“Hillary won it by 29 in 2016, and she lost the state.”
Assertion Contradicted
Michael Newman: Pennsylvania and Michigan cannot tabulate votes until polls close
“Pennsylvania, unfortunately, and Michigan as well, are states that aren't allowed to start tabulating until all the polls are closed.”