The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Newman predicts Trump will fire Fauci, Wray, and possibly Barr if re-elected
“Oh, I think you can count on it. Fauci and Christopher Wray, the FBI director, and increasingly maybe Bill Barr too.”
Michael Newman predicts five battleground states will face Florida-like election disputes
“Yeah, we're gonna have five Floridas.”
Michael Newman: Donald Trump will safely win Florida in 2020 election
“NBC has still not called Florida for Trump, but there's really no path for Biden to win that state. So you can put that safely in the Trump column.”
Michael Newman: Donald Trump and Thom Tillis will win North Carolina
“He has just taken the lead in North Carolina after trailing all night. We've got about 88% of the vote in now, and I suspect he's home free, as is the Republican incumbent senator there.”
Newman: Trump win would force Democrats toward Sanders-style economic populism
“If Trump's victory in 2016 laid waste to the Republican establishment, if he wins again tonight, it will lay waste to the Democratic establishment. And the theory of the case that they've had for 20 years, the sort of, ah, Share a emerging democratic majority …”
Michael Newman predicts Donald Trump will win the 2020 election
“I've increasingly think Trump is going to win.”
Michael Newman: Donald Trump will win Ohio in the 2020 election
“Unless all of Cleveland is outstanding, I would say that's a Trump state.”
Newman: Biden will win 2020 popular vote by four or five points
“I think we can safely say that Biden is going to win the popular vote, and it might be by four points, five points, which means that there is a discrepancy between the popular vote and electoral college.”
Newman: 2020 election results in key swing states could take until weekend
“Unfortunately, all four of those states are going to probably take at least a day. Arizona, three days, I think, to count. Maybe not this year because So much of the vote was early. Maybe it'll move faster, but they are notoriously slow counters. So settle in.…”