The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Mark Pincus: Gavin Newsom's anti-Trump posture will fail if Trump proves popular
“The more that FDR style Trump and people get popular support, it's going to become a more and more isolating, lonely place in two years to still be Like, you know, California, Gavin, everyone's saying, don't worry, we're gonna protect you against these people.…”
Mark Pincus predicts DOGE will be more aggressive and overdeliver
“But I love what they're doing, and I just say that my own opinion, and this is not knowing anything I think that it's going to, I think it's going to over deliver not to set expectations, they don't want that, but I think it's going to be more aggressive and o…”
Mark Pincus: Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had a deep falling out
“Between Peter and Reed they've been friends for life, and they had a falling, deep falling out over all this”
Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending
“70% of the labor spend is for outside contractors, so I'm curious how far they can push that, because they might not have to go through all the legal labor side to cut. I think it's 1.2 trillion total spent on labor, and so, 70% of that, eight hundred billion …”
Pincus: Political campaigns will require authentic, long-form candidate media presence
“We're, we have a new way of doing politics after this election, that there's only authentic, like, only long form, and you, you're gonna have, you're, even the Democrats aren't gonna be able to field a candidate that isn't the full color”
Mark Pincus: MBA jobs at Meta and Google have dried up
“Everyone wants a job at Meta or Google, and that's the get rich quick place, and it's, I don't even think that's necessarily true anymore, and they can't get those jobs because those companies are now trying to get rid of middle management. So those jobs have …”
Mark Pincus: Rival Playdom once burned a mannequin of him on stage
“They hated me and my company so much that they burned a mark mannequin on stage”