The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Mearsheimer: China is building a blue-water navy for Indian Ocean power projection
“The second place, which is maybe even more dangerous, not at the moment, but will be over time, is the Indian Ocean, because the Chinese are imitating the United States. They not only want to be a regional hegemon, They want to develop power projection capabil…”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 37:16 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
Prediction Held up
Mearsheimer: Arab nations will not intervene militarily if Israel expands West Bank operations
“I think there is virtually no chance of what you described happening, which is if the Israelis were to go on a rampage in the West Bank, similar to what they've done in Gaza, that the Jordanians would come in, or the Egyptians, or the Saudis. They simply don't…”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 51:10 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
Prediction Held up
Mearsheimer: US will likely join if Israel enters war with Iran
“And if Israel gets involved in a war with Iran, we're going to come in, in all likelihood.”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 51:56 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
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