why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Martinis: Current quantum computers are not big or reliable enough yet
“They aren't really big enough to be useful yet. They have to get bigger, and they have to get better. Less noise.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Martinis: Useful quantum computers will arrive in 8 to 10 years
“And what we want to do, and it's a timeline of many other groups, is to do something in, let's say in the next eight, 10 years, something like that.”
Assertion Supported
Martinis: Chinese researchers successfully replicated Google's quantum supremacy experiment
“When I have read the papers that duplicated what we did at Google, On the quantum supremacy experiment. You know, they know what they're doing. I mean, they go through the theory, they talk about, a lot of it is very similar to what we're doing, but they know …”
Assertion Supported
Martinis: Google's 53-qubit experiment successfully demonstrated quantum supremacy
“We published this quantum supremacy experiment with 53 qubits, where we made a lot of qubits, and we made them really good, and, you know, fast and whatever, so that we could run some algorithm, mathematical algorithm, that what, we produced some output that w…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Martinis: General-purpose quantum computers will require one million qubits
“And because of that, you're talking about a million qubit quantum computers to be general purpose and solve really hard problems. There might be some million. A million is a good round number for it. Maybe a little bit more. And right now we're at, you know, a…”
Disclosure
Martinis: China lacks access to the 300mm fabrication tools for quantum
“We're going to be using applied materials and the modern fabrication processes that they have, which on 300 millimeter tools, you know, you can't get in China, for example.”
Disclosure
Martinis: Google offered the funding and retention needed for quantum hardware
“Although academia was great, it would be hard to get the team together and keep them together for a long time to build this complicated machine, and Google had the money, ok?”
Assertion Supported
John Martinis: Quantum tunneling occurs across barriers 10 to 20 atoms thick
“This is seen in everyday devices. This is not, if you build very small memory circuit, you have to worry about Electrons tunneling and charge leaking off your capacitor. They have magnetic memories that depend on these tunnel junctions. So this is a very well-…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Martinis: Thousands of global researchers are building superconducting quantum computers
“And what it led to right now is a thousand, maybe several thousand people around the world Doing research to build this superconducting quantum computer.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Martinis: Nobel committee evaluates scientific fields using specialized symposiums
“What happens is the Nobel system put together Nobel symposiums where they get together physicists in a certain field, which is quantum information and this kind of thing, and they give have all the scientists give talks and they want to kind of check on the vi…”