The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
China will iterate on eVTOLs faster due to forward-leaning regulations
“The regulatory pathway there is more forward-leaning, I think, as Adam pointed out. And I think you're gonna see more, more rapid iteration, iteration.”
JoeBen Bevirt Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 38:37 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bevirt: Joby will launch commercial service in UAE in 2025
“So I think we're on a timeline which we publicly announced to begin commercial service. In the UAE next year.”
JoeBen Bevirt Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 34:23 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Bevirt: Remote pilots will eventually manage multiple autonomous eVTOLs at once
“A pilot can, over time, begin to operate multiple aircraft at the same time.”
JoeBen Bevirt Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 21:07 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bevirt: eVTOLs will initially be game changers on select routes
“And so there's only going to be select routes where this is a game changer because of the multimodal nature.”
JoeBen Bevirt Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 27:47 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Upcoming FAA rules will accelerate small personal aircraft development
“I think the good news here in the US is that the FAA is in the process of releasing something called Mosaic. Which for aircraft that are smaller than ours aircraft with, like, two passengers in them, more of a personal ownership type of thing, that's gonna all…”
JoeBen Bevirt Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 38:49 Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024
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