The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Iran received $150 billion in cash from Obama administration JCPOA deal
“Iran was on a glide path to a nuclear weapon, having just been given a hundred and fifty billion dollars in cash through the disastrous JCPOA deal that that Kerry and Obama negotiated.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 34:25 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner predicts a one-state Israeli-Palestinian solution will never happen
“So number one is I don't think there's any viability to a one state, and I don't think that that's something that will ever occur.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:01:55 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner explicitly states that Israel is a nuclear power
“Israel's a nuclear power.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 22:04 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Palestinian state concept did not emerge until 1987-1988
“So the notion of a Palestinian state really didn't emerge till about 1987, 1988 which is the same time that Hamas actually, you know, came about and they came about really from, they were in offshoot of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 27:59 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Iranian oil exports fell from 2.6M to 100k daily barrels under Trump
“Under Obama, when he left, they were selling about 2.6 million barrels of oil a day. Under Trump, when he left office, they were selling a 100,000 barrels of oil a day.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 57:51 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Iran generated over $100B in oil revenue after Trump left
“They were dead broke. Now they're back up to three million barrels a day of sales. They've done over a hundred billion dollars of oil revenue since we left office.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 58:01 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Trump administration completed $500 billion in Saudi arms and investment deals
“Investments did over five hundred billion dollars of investments in arms sales with Saudi Arabia that created a lot of us jobs.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 34:57 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Trump administration got 95% of TPP's market access via bilateral deals
“Well, we ended up negotiating with Japan and Korea and everyone, and we got basically 95% of the market access that was in TPP without giving up any of the things that would have absolutely decimated our auto industry.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:14:06 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Older office buildings are trading below land value
“I think the office space right now is in for a massive change in the industry. I think you're going to see a lot of the older buildings get get transitioned. A lot of them are trading now for below land price, which is pretty remarkable.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:22:03 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Russia-Ukraine war has reached a point where little will change militarily
“It does seem like it's kind of reached the point where it's not much is going to change militarily.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:32:08 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Illegal immigration wasn't a top-five issue when Trump launched
“At that point in time, I remember seeing polls that, Illegal immigration was not like a top five issue when he started the campaign by, you know, the middle to end of the campaign, people were really seeing the craziness that was happening at the southern bord…”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 9:35 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Did not accept salary for Trump administration roles
“Again, I wasn't accepting money for any of these jobs, so it wasn't doing it for financial gain.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 11:00 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Over half of Gaza's population lived under the poverty line before October 7
“Before October seventh, I mean, over half the population lived under the poverty line.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 17:05 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: ISIS controlled territory the size of Ohio ruling eight million people
“ISIS had a caliphate the size of Ohio. They were ruling over eight million people.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 34:03 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Prediction Held up
Kushner predicts Israel's GDP will take a big hit in Q4 2023
“I think GDP will take a big hit there in Q four, but obviously, you know, in Israel, they do have a history of coming back right away.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 42:38 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Donald Trump's campaign operation overperformed its polling
“One thing with Trump, he won, you know, with his operation, we were able to overperform our polling.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:10:17 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Trump administration renegotiated NAFTA in 1.5 years with 80+ Senate votes
“In a year and a half, we renegotiated NAFTA, and it got over 80 votes in the Senate.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:14:24 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Both parties will likely avoid discussing national debt in 2024
“I think in the election cycle, I think both parties are going to Probably try to avoid talking about it”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:27:17 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Russia was second country to send U.S. COVID supplies
“When we were in kind of our worst moments in COVID, the second country that sent us a plane load of supplies and ventilators when New York looked like it was, you know, on the verge of going under was Russia.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:28:44 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Assertion Supported
Kushner: NYC residential rental rates are at historic highs
“And I will say in New York that the rental rates for residential, I think are at historic highs”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:24:46 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
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