why aren't all 27 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: NASA's SLS rocket costs $4.5B per launch and faces an expiration date
“This rocket built on 60 year old technology that's four and a half billion dollars of launch has an expiration date.”
Opinion
Isaacman: Mining Mars propellant for SpaceX's Starship return requires 'a hundred consecutive miracles'
“Even when a Starship gets to Mars, you're betting on, like, you know, a hundred consecutive miracles happening to top, to mine propellant there and bring it back.”
Opinion
Isaacman agrees his NASA nomination withdrawal was likely aimed at Elon Musk
“I mean, you know, people can draw their own conclusions, but I think the direction that people are going is or thinking on this seems, seems to check out to me.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isaacman: I have only spoken to Elon Musk a couple dozen times
“I've only spoken to him you know, a couple dozen times, maybe over the years and almost entirely related to my commercial space missions, inspiration, Ford, and Polariston.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isaacman: US military fighter jet superiority gap vs adversaries shrank annually post-2015
“When we were replicating enemy tactics in 2015 in fighter jets, the gap between our capabilities and the bad guys was wide, and you felt very confident, and every year it started to shrink.”
What-if
Isaacman would have eliminated NASA's management layers, deputies, and review boards
“I would have deleted all that. Like not that people don't need to go, but they need to, you know, the amount of deputies, assistants, associate assistant to the deputy. The amount of committees, the meetings with 200 people on them. The review boards, like all…”
Opinion
Isaacman: China possesses an immense second-mover advantage across all technology
“They have this immense second mover advantage that is that is crushing across all technology.”
Disclosure
Isaacman: My largest political donation ever supported Trump's inauguration
“My single largest political donation ever was to president Trump in this you know for, to support his inauguration.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: NASA Mobile Launcher 2 has 500% to 600% cost overrun
“I think it's like five or 600% overrun to build the mobile launcher two for the next generation SLS.”
What-if
An earlier Trump budget release would have blocked Isaacman's committee confirmation
“And if that skinny budget had come out you know, again, a day or two earlier, I would never have made it out of committee”
Assertion Partly supported
Isaacman: NASA has paid for enough SLS hardware for 2-3 launches
“We've already got paid for enough SLS hardware that if you were to terminate for convenience now, you got enough to launch like two or three of them.”
What-if
Isaacman: Without SpaceX, the US would already be behind China in space launch
“Thank goodness for SpaceX, or we definitely be already behind in that regard.”
Opinion
Isaacman: NASA wastes resources on routine tasks private industry could perform
“The agency is doing a lot of littles, a lot of things that other agencies, departments, companies are capable of doing. That's not why the taxpayers fund NASA. Like NASA is funded to do the near impossible that no one else can do.”
Disclosure
Isaacman learned of Trump withdrawing his NASA nomination via a phone call
“I got a call Friday of last week that you know, the president has decided to go into a go in a different direction.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: Democratic donations were already public before NASA nomination withdrawal
“I know that, like, the news talks a lot about, like, the, you know, Democratic donations is the cause. That was not a new development. You just Google, you can, they're all public.”
Assertion Contradicted
Isaacman thinks Embry-Riddle graduates more Air Force pilots than the Air Force Academy
“Went to Emory-Riddle, because it's a, I mean, it's an aviation school I think he graduates more Air Force pilots every year than the Air Force Academy.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman's Draken assembled the world's largest private fleet of fighter jets
“We wound up assembling the world's largest fleet of fighter jets, jets just like this behind me.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpaceX offered Jared Isaacman the first chance to pilot Dragon in 2008
“Back in 2008, I actually got the, ah, the first offer to pilot the first Dragon spacecraft”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: NASA spends public funds on commercial jet engine efficiency programs
“NASA helps fund like engine efficiency programs for, you know, commercial jet engine providers.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: NASA's Orion spacecraft is 20 years old without crewed flight
“Orion is 20 years old, by the way, it hasn't flown humans yet.”
Disclosure
Isaacman planned to introduce 'time to science' as a NASA KPI
“I was going to introduce like time to science as a KPI.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: US spent over $100B over 35 years planning Moon return
“For 35 years, we said, we're going back and we spent over a hundred billion of taxpayer dollars saying we were going to do it.”
Disclosure
Isaacman: I am right-leaning and donated to Trump to support his agenda
“In, in, in terms of donations, I, I've always been, you know, somewhat of a moderate. I actually like, I am like a right leaning. I do support, you know, the president's agenda. That's why I made as big of a donation as I did to his cause.”
Disclosure
White House staff prepped Isaacman on his political donations before Senate hearings
“When you fill out your questionnaire for the Senate committee, which is public, it asks you to list every donation. Before you go in front of a single senator, before you do a hearing, you do these prep sessions at the White House, where people pretend to be s…”
Assertion Supported
Jared Isaacman: Inspiration4 raised $250M for St. Jude
“Be part of mission design and select a crew of inspiring individuals and raise a quarter of a billion dollars for St. Jude.”
Assertion Supported
Isaacman: China launches second most orbital rockets annually without reusability
“They launched the second most orbital rockets every year without reusability.”
Disclosure
Isaacman plans to return to Shift4 as executive chair, not CEO
“I'm sure I'm definitely gonna go back and help Shafur. I won't ever rob my CEO of his well-deserved, you know, title now. I'll probably be an exec chair or something.”