why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: Theoretical physics lost free speech protections to Restricted Data laws
“Theoretical physics is the only profession to have lost free speech because of something called restricted data, where I am not allowed to put pen to paper to write down a physics equation if in any way it affects nuclear weapons.”
Assertion Supported
Weinstein: Peer review is a modern concept retconned into science history
“Peer review is a fake story that was retconned into science. It is no, you can look it up on Google Ngrams, put quote, space peer review space, close quote. And you'll notice that there's really no mention of it before.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: Government special access programs definitely exist for UAPs
“There are definitely special access programs. That are all about this.”
Assertion Supported
Weinstein: 1971 Australian Intelligence Document Discloses 1960s Gravity Shielding Research
“There's a 1971 Australian intelligence document where Australia, which was the Testing ground for nukes that of the United Kingdom. Started seeing all these UAPs near their nuclear tests just the way we see them near ours. And the Australians revealed that all…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: Epstein falsely claimed he ran an FX fund on a 727
“He told me that he ran a multi-strategy FX hedge fund, and then he needed a seven, 27. Because it had a trading for, and he filled it with yeshiva students because they were the only ones you could trust. He was extremely specific about using trend following, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: US failure with Iran will trigger global nuclear proliferation
“And by the way, if the US fails with Iran, you're going to see a proliferation of countries acquiring nukes because we trusted the US.”
Assertion Supported
Weinstein: American and Russian scientists are relocating to China
“American scientists, Russian scientists, all sorts of scientists are going to China for some prestige, some money, and some freedom.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: Chinese science will excel until political taboos interfere
“And we are going to train them up and they are going to be frighteningly good up until the point that that freedom involves Tibet, Tiananmen Square, and Taiwan.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinstein: AI models will soon train on rejected 'trashcan' scientific papers
“The AIs are going to change soon. Right now, the AIs are trained on a corpus that privileges things like cell nature and science as the prestige journals of biology or in mathematics, it would be the Invenciones and the Al's and the Journal of the American Mat…”
Assertion Supported
Weinstein: Nature journal did not adopt peer review until the 1970s
“And by the way, not peer reviewed until the seventies.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Weinstein: Pati-Salam model will be proven correct first-order grand unification
“I believe that the Patti Salam model will be found to be the correct first order grand unification above where we are.”
Assertion Supported
Weinstein: Mansfield Amendment Banned Military Funding for Blue-Sky University Research
“The Mansfield amendment in six, nine, 71 named after Mike Mansfield of Montana said, okay, the military can no longer fund blue sky research inside of our university system, unless it has a direct military express military purpose.”