why aren't all 562 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic CEO refused White House request to take down Fable
“They tried to call Anthropic, They tried to call Dario, and there were a number of conversations, and the TLDR of it is Dario refused, meaning refused their request to take down Fable until this jailbreak could be fixed.”
Assertion Supported
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic iterated prompts over 200 times in AI blackmail study
“Remember when Anthropic did the whole blackmail study, you know, where supposedly an agent displayed independent goal-seeking behavior and then blackmail an employee. It turned out that actually they iterated on the prompt over 200 times to get to that result.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion
“They started the year at ten billion of ARR. They're now over seventy billion of ARR.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic CPO resigned from Figma board days before rival launch
“Anthropic's chief product officer had actually even served on Figma's board and didn't resign until three days before the launch of Claude Design.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Washington regulatory push will eventually ban open-source AI
“In terms of the red capture agenda that you're seeing in Washington, I think where it's all leading to is an effort to ban open source models or open weight models.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising
“They increased the amount of money that they were able to fundraise by eighty one million dollars. So that 270,000 dollar investment led to an eighty one million dollar return.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks asserts Anthropic lobbied against US-backed Gulf AI data center projects
“In the case of the GCC data centers, Anthropic was adamantly opposed to that, and they were lobbying against it, and they were, again, salting the earth against Those projects.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic has the fastest growing revenue run rate ever seen
“Third, Anthropix revenue run rate is based on what I can tell and what's been publicly released is the fastest growing revenue run rate at scale that I think we've ever seen.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: All recent net job gains went to native-born Americans
“All the job creation has been enjoyed by native born Americans as well. All the job loss has been on non native born Americans, which is pretty Remarkable.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files
“The number one person in the Epstein files from Silicon Valley, which is Reid Hoffman, mentioned 2600 times, had a multi-year relationship with Epstein.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social networks to censor content
“And I would say President Trump, because I do think that that, President Trump's election definitely changed the direction of free speech in the United States, never mind the rest of the world, because I think under the Biden administration, we now know from c…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M
“He donated his dog coins to Future of Life. They ended up being worth six hundred million dollars. So by this- Almost like this accident, this Doomer think tank ends up with a six hundred million dollar war chest, and they've been funding these journalism fell…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Hundreds of anti-AI front orgs are funded by three billionaires
“She has shown that there are hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires. It's Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallinn, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers
“Three big tech billionaires who are on the left contributed over a billion dollars to these Doomer think tanks. Basically, it was Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallon, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder
“50% of left of center said yes. 14% of right of center said yes. Even that number is shocking to me.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Powell initiated 50-bps rate cut after Elizabeth Warren demanded it
“Powell started the rate cutting cycle last fall with a 50 basis point cut right before the election shortly after Elizabeth Warren sent him a letter demanding a cut.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Declassified records show Brennan overrode analysts to include Steele dossier
“Brennan was like the head of the CIA. He received an intelligence assessment from the organization in which they said, look, there's nothing to this. It's bogus. We haven't. Not just the Steele d'Ossie, but the whole idea of somehow that the Russians had run t…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 80% of Crimeans poll in favor of being part of Russia
“And if you look at what the people of Crimea want, and there's been a lot of Western polling on this, there's been man on the street interviews by NBC, the people of Crimea by something like over 80% say they want to be part of Russia.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Ukraine has canceled elections, press freedom, and imprisoned political opponents
“They cancel elections, they cancel freedom of the press, they cancel freedom of religion. Zelensky's political opponents, their assets have been seized, they've been in prison.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Left-wing activists are firebombing Tesla dealerships to depress sales
“You have crazy leftists firebombing Tesla dealerships painting swastikas on Tesla cars, accosting Tesla drivers. Okay. Creating violence and chaos and trying to depress Tesla sales.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion
“You add up the cost of a compute cluster with 50,000 plus hoppers, and it's going to be over a billion dollars. So this idea that you've got this scrappy company that did it for only six million, just not true. They have a substantial compute cluster that they…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Joe Rogan's Trump interview was suppressed in YouTube search
“There's no question that just as a factual matter, this episode was suppressed in YouTube search.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: ABC News coverage was 100% positive for Harris, 93% negative for Trump
“And if you look at like, for example, ABC news, 100% of the coverage by ABC news is positive. Whereas something like 93% of their coverage on Trump is negative.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vladimir Putin publicly announced an endorsement of Kamala Harris
“Putin just came out today and announced his endorsement of Kamala Harris.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Media coverage was 84% positive for Harris, 89% negative for Trump
“The media's coverage of the Harris campaign was 84% positive, whereas the coverage of the Trump campaign was 89% negative.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman's political advisor claimed Trump shooting was staged
“Some people like Reid Hoffman's political hack was actually claiming that it was all staged, which is just unbelievably ridiculous.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden said days before shooting to put Trump in bullseye
“However, Biden himself, days before the shooting, said that it was time to put Trump in the bullseye.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Kamala Harris is the only candidate option if Biden exits
“We are gonna get President Kamala Harris. She's the only alternative.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims American cluster bombs killed Russian civilians in Crimea
“American cluster bombs were used to kill Russian civilians sunbathing on the beach in Crimea.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social media companies to remove user speech
“And basically what that case was about was the Biden administration was engaged in attempts To influence or pressure social media companies to take down speech. It's a practice known as jawboning.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DOJ heavily prosecuted hundreds of nonviolent January 6 participants
“They took hundreds of people who did not engage in any violence on January six. Many of them just wandered through an open door in the capital, and they were prosecuted to the hilt.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks confronts Khosla over his legal fight to block public beach access
“You are the one who is fighting a legal battle to kick some of those people, the public. Kick the public off of the public beach in front of your beach house.”
Assertion Supported
Internal NIH emails suggest COVID-19 leaked from a BSL-2 facility
“There are internal NIH emails that suggest that COVID leaked from a level two facility. They call it BSL two, which does not operate with the top level biohazard safeguards.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: DNC lawyers will fight to keep RFK Jr. off swing state ballots
“I think what you're gonna see is that lawyers from the DNC and the Biden campaign are gonna fight tooth and nail to keep this ticket off the ballot, at least in the major contested states, like the five or six states. Where the presidency will be decided in 20…”
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts US strikes in Yemen will trigger war with Iran
“So I don't think this is going to have any impact other than to escalate the conflict in the Middle East and put us on a path to war with Iran, which is really where the neocons want to take us. You've heard, obviously, the warmongers like Lindsey Graham are c…”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: US airstrikes won't deter Houthis, will trigger direct US retaliation
“I mean, the Houthis have been at war on and off With the Saudis for a decade, and the Saudis been backed by Western weapons, and we have not been able to defeat the Houthis. So this missile strike last night is not gonna deter them. It's not gonna stop them. T…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed 80 FBI agents sending platform takedown requests
“Once that censorship power was created, It attracted powerful entities from our government who wanted to co-opt and use that power. That's what we saw in the Twitter files with the 80 FBI agents sending takedown requests.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Trump will waltz into the White House in 2024
“By the way, I mean, at this rate, the way things are going in this country right now, both economically and internationally, he's gonna waltz into the White House. He's gonna spend all of his time in the next year in, in the courthouses battling all of these l…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Ukrainian government incorporated Azov Battalion into its official military
“Far-right paramilitary organizations like Right Sector and like the infamous Azov Battalion start killing these ethnic Russian separatists, and a full-blown civil war breaks out, thousands of people get killed. Does the Kiev government suppress these neo-Nazi …”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Prosecutions will send Donald Trump to prison or the White House
“They're either gonna send Donald Trump to the big house or to the White House.”