The Ledger

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why aren't all 220 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:36 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:45 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Bill Gates admits COVID-19 vaccines do not work
“Even Bill Gates admits now that the vaccine doesn't work. It's too short acting and it doesn't hold up against variants.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 6:00 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
David Sacks Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 1:22:06 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims a Democratic super PAC astroturfed the viral Rogan video
“If you kind of look at you know, who's behind this clip, it's pretty clear that it was a democratic super PAC, put this together, and sort of astroturfed it as a viral video.”
David Sacks Feb 12, 2022 ▶ 6:37 E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Biden administration AI policy leaders immediately joined Anthropic
“The leaders of the Biden administration's AI policy, not just one of them, but all of them, went to go work at Anthropic, like, the minute the Biden administration was over.”
David Sacks Jun 19, 2026 ▶ 1:05:22 World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gavin Newsom signed a bill making California election audits virtually impossible
“Gavin Newsom just signed a law making it virtually impossible to audit any of this stuff.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 1:21:51 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026
“First, we find out that from January first to March 31st, they grew from Roughly ten billion of ARR to thirty billion, so it tripled. And then in April, if anything, the rate of increase seemed to accelerate. They went from 30 to forty-four billion of ARR.”
David Sacks May 8, 2026 ▶ 14:34 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks asserts Iran's army, navy, and air force are destroyed
“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”
David Sacks Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 10:31 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Roughly $8 billion was stolen by Somali fraudsters in Minnesota
“The eight billion or so that was stolen by Somali fraudsters.”
David Sacks Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 16:44 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud
“For example, in California, we have twenty four billion dollars going to quote unquote homeless programs, and yet the number of homeless people keeps rising. And, you know, everyone knows it's called the homeless industrial complex. They can't pass an audit. T…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 21:50 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships
“Then they asked about destroying Tesla dealerships and protests, whether that could be justified, and roughly 60% of left of center said yes, and 23% of right of center said yes.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 19:00 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Steele dossier was a hoax and basis of Russia 2016 probe
“We also know that the Steele dossier was a hoax, and that was the whole basis once laundered through the FBI and that whole investigation, that somehow the Russians had interfered in the 2016 election.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 33:12 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24%
“A year ago, support for the war was in the sixties or seventies. Now it's collapsed to 24%. So the vast majority of Ukrainians now want a resolution to the conflict, even if it means making concessions.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 52:22 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Tim Walz rejected Donald Trump's offer to deploy National Guard
“He wanted to send in the National Guard to Minnesota. It was actually Waltz who rejected the National Guard.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 21:29 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Parker Conrad was the only person fined in Zenefits SEC probe
“There was only one person who was named as being aware of the misconduct, and there was only one person who was fined and held accountable by regulators. In fact, he was fined more than the company.”
David Sacks Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 1:12:18 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Chuck Todd revealed a cabinet official called Biden incapacitated two years ago
“Chuck Todd just said it on a podcast that a cabinet official, okay, in the Biden White House told him two years ago that he could not get a meeting with the president because the president was effectively incapacitated and his inner circle was keeping him shie…”
David Sacks Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 1:12:08 Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: 51 former intel officials published bogus letter suppressing Hunter Biden story
“Because 51 former intelligence officials who still maintain close relationships with the intelligence community published a bogus letter saying that it was Russian disinformation, which it wasn't, and then that caused our social media sites to suppress it.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 1:20:03 E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Former Stanford president's five Alzheimer's research papers were 'basically bogus'
“He had five papers about Alzheimer's research and, you know, related topics like that, where they found out that the papers are basically bogus.”
David Sacks Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 33:59 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US gave cluster bombs to Ukraine because conventional ammo ran out
“If you're wondering why did the U.S. Give cluster bombs to Ukraine, it's because we're out of ammo to give, and it's all we've got left are these stockpiles of cluster munitions.”
David Sacks Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 1:11:08 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Over seven million undocumented immigrants crossed U.S. border under Biden
“You've had seven million plus illegals come across it during the Biden administration, and the administration obviously doesn't have the will to do anything about it.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 1:03:59 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: 99% of homeless individuals suffer from mental illness or addiction
“Schellenberger's done the work. It's like he said, 99% of the people he talks to, it's either mental illness or addiction, but we keep using this word homeless to describe the problem.”
David Sacks Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 17:09 E111: Microsoft to invest $10B in OpenAI, generative AI hype, America's over-classification problem
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: Banks will soon take over San Francisco office towers
“I think office towers in San Francisco are, that is some serious toxic debt, 27% vacancy rates and growing as Lisa's role. I think that a lot of these buildings, maybe virtually all of the San Francisco downtown is going to be owned by the bank soon because no…”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 1:09:25 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Twitter suppressed Libs of TikTok despite admitting no policy violation
“There are conversations in the Slack that Barry Weiss exposed where, for example, Libs of TikTok, they admit in the Slack that we can't suppress Libs of TikTok based on our hate policy. Libs of TikTok hasn't violated it. We're going to suppress that account an…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 8:09 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Twitter suppressed Hunter Biden laptop story before 2020 election
“What he did was confirm that a completely true story by the New York Post about Hunter Biden that came out a month before the election was suppressed by Twitter executives, including at the behest of, you know, of FBI agents and former security state officials…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 33:15 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: FBI warned social networks to suppress authentic Hunter Biden laptop story
“A very important piece of this was the pre-bunking that the FBI went to Facebook and Twitter and social networks and said, be on the lookout for a story about Hunter Biden. It is Russian disinformation. And they primed these social networks to suppress that st…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 39:30 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Intelligence officials falsely claimed Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation
“There was a letter with this Hunter Biden thing. This is a 2020 election, Jason. We're not going back two elections ago. I wanted to talk about the most recent one. You had Clapper. You had Comey. You had 50 of these security state officials. They write a lett…”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 43:33 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Twitter's racist post surge was a 4chan bot attack
“What happened is that within hours of Elon taking over the company on Friday, there was a four Chan attack where basically people from this message board created bots to post hundreds of thousands of spam messages that contained Racist words and epithets.”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 2:35 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Prominent foreign policy figures historically warned against NATO expansion
“Back in the 19 nineties, you had people like George Kennan, who was the architect of our Cold War containment policy. You had William J. Perry was Bill Clinton's defense secretary. You had Henry Kissinger, you had John Mearsheimer, all warned that bringing NAT…”
David Sacks Oct 14, 2022 ▶ 24:21 E100: Reflecting on the first 100 shows, fan questions, nuclear threat, markets, Amazon & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: NATO expansion contradicted U.S. assurances given to Mikhail Gorbachev
“This was basically a contradiction of the verbal assurances that James Baker and President George Herbert Walker Bush had given Gorbachev that we would not expand NATO one inch eastward.”
David Sacks Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 39:46 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Mar-a-Lago search warrant affidavit was not about nuclear secrets
“No, they've backed off that completely. It was not in the affidavit. It's not about nuclear. That was something they leaked to get them through a tough press cycle.”
David Sacks Sep 1, 2022 ▶ 48:48 E94: NFT volume plummets, California's overreach, FBI meddling, climate change & national security
Prediction Partly held up
David Sacks predicts Hispanic and Asian American voters flip Republican in 2022
“It's already the case in polling that Hispanics and Asian Americans now are swing voters, and I think you're gonna see in November, 20, 22, that they go for Republicans in big numbers, and so the idea that the Democratic Party can just coast to election based …”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 36:30 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims PayPal partners with ADL and SPLC to ban users
“Basically, PayPal is creating the equivalent of a no fly list with respect to their service. Well, for anybody who they put, they deem as deplorable or undesirable, basically they're working with the ADL, the Anti-Defamation League, and the Southern Poverty La…”
David Sacks Aug 6, 2021 ▶ 1:07:47 E43: Innovative venture strategies, Zymergen's implosion, Square acquires Afterpay & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims San Francisco spends $300,000 per homeless person annually
“In San Francisco, they're spending 60,000 dollars per tent per year. They're spending 300,000 dollars in social services per homeless person per year.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 1:07:05 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Chesa Boudin's top donor is Chris Larsen, currently under SEC indictment
“Even actually the biggest contributor to Chesa right now is a guy who's under SEC indictment for the Ripple scandal.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 56:59 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: CDC accepted all teachers' union suggestions on school reopening guidelines
“So, this guidance that the CDC put forward on school reopenings, the teachers unions were part of writing that guidance, and all of their suggestions were actually accepted and incorporated by the CDC.”
David Sacks May 13, 2021 ▶ 38:21 E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Boudin's trial convictions are one-tenth of Gascón's record
“The number of trials and convictions that he's gotten in the 14 months he's been DA is one-tenth of what Gascon got when he was DA.”
David Sacks Mar 13, 2021 ▶ 57:48 E25: Biden's vaccine mandate, "equity" in distribution, NFT speculation, impact of inflation & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: CDC published blatantly untrue guidance on masks and social distancing
“You have to, you know, you have on the CDC website things that, I haven't checked it today, but as of a few days ago are just blatantly not true. I mean, saying that you only needed a mask if you were actually taking care of a person with COVID-nineteen, that …”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 13:40 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Jaan Tallinn funds three AI groups and co-led Anthropic's Series A
“And all three of these groups are funded by Jan Talon, who is one of the top few of these EA Megadonor doomer types, who also happens to be a co-lead of the Anthropic Series A.”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 4:36 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Anthropic ARR is around $60B+ and OpenAI ARR is $47B
“We know that Anthropic's around sixty-something billion of ARR. Open AI is at forty-seven billion of ARR.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 27:30 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Lyndon B. Johnson got elected to Senate via ballot fraud
“Lyndon Johnson only got elected to the Senate. He got his start in politics through ballot fraud.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 1:28:53 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: McKinsey studies show 95% of enterprise AI pilots fail
“There's McKinsey studies showing that like, 95% of enterprise pilots aren't successful.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 28:32 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Future of Life Institute holds ~$1B, boosted by $600M Vitalik donation
“Future of Life is one of these EA-funded Doomer think tanks, and they've got something like A billion dollars. Vitalik Buterin donated six hundred million dollars of dog coins to the, anyway.”
David Sacks Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 1:00:46 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Trump rescinded Biden's AI regulations during his first week in office
“And the first thing President Trump did his first week in office was rescind all of those unnecessary regulations, which I think was absolutely critical.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 36:56 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims AI generated half of US GDP growth this year
“AI has been responsible for about half of GDP growth this year.”
David Sacks Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:16:23 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US-EU trade deal includes zero tariffs and $600B US investment
“The EU is going to open its markets to U.S. Products, no tariff on U.S. Products, but they will pay a 15% tariff coming into the U.S. They're going to be investing six hundred billion in the U.S. They're going to be buying seven hundred fifty billion of U.S. E…”
David Sacks Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:07:06 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: U.S. tariffs generate $300B annually in revenue
“What we're seeing now across the board is generating about three hundred billion a year of additional tariff revenue that goes to help balancing the budget. So three hundred billion a year over 10 years is three trillion.”
David Sacks Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:16:42 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: OpenAI must remove profit cap and convert to C Corp for round
“They have to remove the profit cap and do the C Corp.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 3:04 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
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