The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 144 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
Sacks: Ukraine is on track to collapse, probably next year
“And what we're on track for is, at some point, Probably next year, Ukraine is going to collapse.”
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
Sacks predicts second Biden term will force Elon Musk to divest X
“So I think that in a second Biden term, they will open an investigation and just start ratcheting up the pressure on Elon to get rid of X, because that's clearly what they want.”
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
Sacks predicts AI will increase demand for knowledge workers
“As you may recall on the prediction show for this year, my most contrarian belief is that AI would increase demand for knowledge workers, not put them out of business.”
Sachs: Minnesota released roughly 470 convicted illegal immigrants last year
“Last year, there was something like 470 convicts, ok, illegal aliens, criminals. And I'm not talking about that their crime wasn't breaking into the country. I'm talking about subsequent crimes that were released In Minnesota, so they cannot be rounded up by I…”
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
David Sacks: 50% of Stanford students claim disabled status for test accommodations
“At Stanford, they said that if you're disabled, you get more time on tests, and you can kind of be unproctored, and kind of... Accommodations. Right. So now, 50% of students at Stanford say they're disabled.”
Sacks: Most San Francisco homeless individuals moved there from outside the city
“The homeless we have in San Francisco are not predominantly from San Francisco. They're from all over the country, all over the surrounding area. They come here for the benefits.”
Sacks: Donald Trump ended seven wars in seven months
“President Trump has ended seven wars in seven months before this one.”
Sacks: Ukraine's military will collapse within one to six months
“I think that Ukraine within, it could be in the next month. It could be the next two months. It could be the next six months. I think they're eventually going to collapse. They're getting close to being combat incapable.”
Sacks: DOJ memo concluded Trump did not meet legal bar for January 6 incitement
“In the wake of January six, Merrick Garland's Justice Department did an analysis of whether Trump could be prosecuted for incitement, whether he incited that mob, and the legal memo came back, and they said, no, we don't have a case here. It does not meet the …”
Sacks: No net new US jobs created for native-born Americans in four years
“If you look at job creation over the last four years, there's been no net new job creation for native-born Americans. All the job creation has been foreign-born or-”
Sacks: Gold Star families will protest Tim Walz at campaign events
“If Walts doesn't drop from the ticket, I predict there'll be gold star families protesting all of their events, and that's gonna be a real headache from now till the election.”
Sacks: Democrats are more likely than not to keep Biden on ticket
“Whoa. I think it's more likely than not that they're not going to replace Biden because the only feasible alternative is Harris and should be worse, and I think it's more dangerous for the country, frankly.”
Sacks: US job growth is driven by public sector, not private
“The government is creating jobs like crazy, not in the private sector, but in the public sector, because it is an election year.”
Furin cleavage site proves SARS-CoV-2 was engineered in a lab
“The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and cleavage sites were engineered.”
Fauci personally reversed Obama-era gain-of-function research ban
“Moreover, Fauci was personally responsible for reversing an Obama-era decision To prohibit gain of function research because it was so risky.”
Democrats will not replace Joe Biden following Trump's conviction
“If you want to make a switcheroo and get a different candidate than Joe Biden, that's not going to happen now because Democrats in the media think that this is their salvation.”
Sachs claims real U.S. household net worth has declined under Biden
“If you adjust for inflation, in other words, you look at the real household net worth, you can see that household net worth during the Biden term has been flat. Actually, it's down.”
Sacks predicts TikTok will be shut down in US, not divested
“So I don't think they're going to be able to divest. I think they're just going to get shut down.”
Sacks predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in Q1 2024
“I think there will be a rate cut in Q-one, and I think this is the Biden bailout.”
Sacks: Leaked Pentagon papers show Ukrainian casualties 5x higher than admitted
“These new Pentagon papers that were leaked show that the Ukrainian casualties are at least five times greater than they've been publicly admitting.”
Sacks: Bob Lee was likely killed by a released repeat offender
“I would bet dollars to dimes, that the story is very similar to a case we had in LA recently, the Brianna Kupfer case, where a young woman was basically stabbed For no reason by a psychotic homeless person who had been through the revolving door of the jail an…”
Sacks predicts Garland will drop Trump document prosecution
“I think Merrick Garland now is going to have to drop the prosecution against Trump for the stolen documents, or at least that part of what they're investigating him for.”
Sacks: SBF gave zero donations to the Republican Party
“How many donations did he give to the Republican party? None.”
Sacks: California public workers earn 53% to 100% more than private sector
“The typical government worker in California makes 53% more than their private sector counterpart. And if you factor in all the pensions that have been promised, it's a hundred percent more.”
Sacks: 2024 US presidential election will be DeSantis vs. Newsom
“I think it's going to be DeSantis versus Newsom in 24.”
Sacks predicts Putin installs a puppet government and leaves within a year
“I don't think he wants this problem long term. It's probably gonna be more like the situation we had in Georgia in 2008. He goes in for a year. He institutes perhaps some sort of puppet government or some government that's more favorable to him, and then he ge…”
Sacks predicts a Democratic midterm landslide defeat if focused on Jan 6
“And if you and the Democrats keep talking about this and focus on it, on MSNBC, to the exclusion of the issues that really matter I'll see you in November because you're gonna get slaughtered in this midterm election. It's gonna be a landslide.”
David Sacks predicts a $13,000 California school choice voucher ballot initiative
“There's going to be a ballot initiative that says that any Parent who wants to send their kid to an accredited school can get a voucher for 13,000 dollars from the state.”
Sacks: Democrats will lose 40 to 50 seats in 2022 midterms
“You're going to see. 40 to 50 seat losses by the Democrats in 2022.”
Sacks claims Gascón's campaign received $5M each from Soros, Hastings, BLM
“Five million came from Soros, five million came from Reed Hastings, five million came from BLM.”
Sacks predicts California Governor Gavin Newsom will be recalled
“Look, this is why Newsom is going to get recalled is because crime and education are just fundamental issues.”
Sacks predicts Gavin Newsom will be recalled over closures and crime
“And if these two things don't turn around, I think Gavin Newsom is going to get recalled.”
Sacks: Pfizer delayed vaccine trial announcement to avoid influencing the election
“And so Pfizer had this news weeks ago. Now I understand their reason for not wanting to appear to be influencing the outcome of the election. So I, that's why they held onto it.”
Sacks predicts there will not be a second COVID lockdown
“There's not going to be a second lockdown.”
Sacks predicts no new U.S. gun control legislation for a generation
“There's not going to be any new gun control legislation for a generation because of the looting and writing that's going on Gun sales are at an all-time high.”
Sacks: High chance Biden's VP pick becomes president within two years
“There's a very high chance that this VP pick will become the president, given Biden's age and everything going on in the world. And we've just seen crisis after crisis this year. I think there's gonna be more shoes to drop. And this person that we don't even k…”
Sacks: Ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to stop exponential viral growth
“Wide-scale use of masks, sort of ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to control the virus, meaning to stop the exponentiality of the virus.”
Sacks: China Produces More Math and Science Graduates Than Rest of World
“They're graduating more math and science graduates every year than the rest of the world combined.”
Sacks: No other country in the world has birthright citizenship policy
“By the way, I don't think any country in the world has this policy. It's kind of a crazy policy.”
Sacks: Empty Minnesota daycare centers received millions in public funding
“All it took was a YouTuber with a video camera to actually show up at the Minnesota daycare centers that were receiving millions of dollars. Yeah, the Leering Center. They're all empty. Dozens of them. Each one's receiving millions of dollars.”