The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,712 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 67 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: Anthropic on track to become history's most powerful monopoly
“I'm saying something else, which is that unless something about their current trajectory changes, Anthropic will be the most powerful monopoly ever created in human history.”
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
Sacks: Re-electing Biden presents a serious risk of World War III
“I mean, what we're really talking about here is World War III. So if you want to have a serious chance of World War III in the next four years, then I would say go ahead and vote for Biden in November.”
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
Sacks: The US destroyed Nord Stream and shifted Europe to American gas
“We've prevented Russia from taking over Ukraine. We've prevented, we've basically shifted Europe onto American natural gas. We've destroyed Nord Stream. I think we're close to achieving our major objectives.”
Sacks: Anthropic CEO refused White House request to take down Fable
“They tried to call Anthropic, They tried to call Dario, and there were a number of conversations, and the TLDR of it is Dario refused, meaning refused their request to take down Fable until this jailbreak could be fixed.”
Sacks: California election results are statistically impossible and corrupt
“We know something crooked happened. It's statistically impossible. The only thing we don't know is whether it was illegal fraud or legal fraud, meaning they've created so many loopholes and so much corruption in the law that what they did is possibly legal.”
Sacks: Anthropic will reach $100B ARR by end of 2026
“I think it's pretty much a foregone conclusion that they will hit that forecast of Tenex this year, exiting the year, call it roughly a hundred billion of ARR, and now the only question is whether they hit a trillion in twenty-twenty-seven, and we can debate w…”
Sacks claims Anthropic allied politically with AI doomer and NIMBY groups
“Category number three ironically, again, is Anthropic itself. It has allied itself politically with a lot of the Doomer groups, a lot of the NIMBY groups.”
Sacks: Evidence shows Reid Hoffman lied about his relationship with Epstein
“The evidence shows that he's been bold faced lying. About every aspect of his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein.”
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence
“Last week we showed you plenty of data showing that there was three times as many people on the left who are celebrating or endorsing political violence.”
Sacks: Political violence and censorship will lead to civil war
“It's the antithesis, and it's not Western civilization. It's something different and destructive, and where it will lead to is a civil war that none of us should want on either side of the political spectrum.”
Sacks: Tesla stock drop driven partly by leftist attacks on dealerships
“One of the reasons why Tesla is down is because you've had crazy leftists engaging in terrorism, firebombing Tesla dealerships.”
Sacks: Ukraine is on track to collapse, probably next year
“And what we're on track for is, at some point, Probably next year, Ukraine is going to collapse.”
Sacks claims Biden administration provoked Ukraine war via NATO expansion talks
“I said the Biden administration provoked the war with talk of NATO expansion.”
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
Sacks predicts second Biden term will force Elon Musk to divest X
“So I think that in a second Biden term, they will open an investigation and just start ratcheting up the pressure on Elon to get rid of X, because that's clearly what they want.”
Sacks: Israel's war in Gaza is on track to be its Vietnam
“These protesters, their actions are gonna be judged in the fullness of time. I think there are actually good reasons to believe that Israel's war in Gaza, it's shades of Vietnam, and I think that over the long term, people may regard these protesters in a diff…”
Sacks: Russia sought Ukrainian neutrality, not complete conquest of Ukraine
“What was Russia demanding? They were demanding Ukrainian neutrality. They were not basically looking to conquer Ukraine. They wanted them to be neutral. So Ukraine did not have to give up its freedom. Okay. They just had to agree to be neutral.”
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
Sachs: Russia-Ukraine war has always been about NATO expansion
“There was a deal on the table to shut the war down. We just would have had to agree to make Ukraine neutral. And of course the Biden administration told them not to this war is and has always been about NATO expansion.”
Sacks: US made common cause with Ukrainian far-right groups before war
“If you look at U.S. Policy towards Ukraine, we have made common cause with a number of these far-right, ultra-nationalist groups. Frankly, neo-Nazi groups. And this occurred before the current war.”
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
Sacks: Bill Gates admits COVID-19 vaccines do not work
“Even Bill Gates admits now that the vaccine doesn't work. It's too short acting and it doesn't hold up against variants.”
Sacks: Gensler and Warren formed an alliance to destroy US crypto
“What's clear is that Gensler and Elizabeth Warren have an alliance to destroy crypto in the US.”
Sacks: Soros's Open Society Foundations foments regime change and revolutions worldwide
“Soros has this thing called the open society foundation, which sounds like it's spreading democracy and liberal values, but in fact is fomenting regime change. All over the world. And he's been sponsoring and funding color revolutions all over the world.”
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Sacks: Putin seized Crimea in direct retaliation for a U.S.-backed coup
“If you're wondering why Putin seized Crimea, it was in direct retaliation for the coup that we backed in Ukraine in 2014. This is the origin of the conflict.”
Sacks: Russia will likely use a tactical nuke if Ukraine retakes Crimea
“With the result that I think is quite likely that the Russians will be willing to use a tactical nuke to prevent their total defeat.”
Sacks: Biden FTC would allow Big Tech to buy Twitter over Musk
“I think this administration does not want to see Twitter become a free speech company again. And so the political winds will blow towards letting, I think, Twitter be acquired by a big tech company, even if it means big tech gets bigger. Wait a second. So I th…”
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
Sacks: 2014 removal of Yanukovych was a US-backed coup
“They had this basically pro-Russian democratically elected Prime Minister, President Yukinovich who was deposed in a coup in 2014, a coup that was supported by our State Department and probably the CIA, ok?”
Sacks: Chesa Boudin has done nothing except release perpetrators of anti-Asian violence
“Chase Boudin has done nothing except release the perpetrators.”
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
Sacks claims a Democratic super PAC astroturfed the viral Rogan video
“If you kind of look at you know, who's behind this clip, it's pretty clear that it was a democratic super PAC, put this together, and sort of astroturfed it as a viral video.”
Sacks: Trump has disqualified himself from running for national office again
“I think he's disqualified himself from being a candidate, you know, at a national level again.”
Sacks predicts a federal AI agency will effectively ban open source
“I mean, no, look, this is a doomer psyop and the ultimate target is open source. That's what it all comes down to, because that is what An FDA AI will ultimately ban. They won't call it a ban. They'll just say, look, we have to apply the same standards to open…”
Sacks: US will get smoked by China if AI faces pre-release regulation
“And yes, we will get smoked by China because they will not subject all their companies to these constraints.”
Sacks predicts an open-source AI ban disguised as uniform safety standards
“An open source ban is coming. They're not going to call it that. You know what they're going to say? They're going to say that we simply have to apply the same standards to open models that we apply to close.”
Sacks: AI Boom Shows No Evidence of Job Loss, Only Job Creation
“There is no evidence of that. We're now years into the AI boom, and there's no evidence of that. We only see that job creation.”
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
Sacks: New AI data center scaling will rely entirely on natural gas
“The green stuff can't scale in the short term. It's all gas powered for the new data centers. That's the only way to kind of get the amount of scale that you need in the next year or two.”
Sacks: Anthropic surpassed $80B ARR and will beat year-end targets early
“The latest we heard is Anthropic is now over eighty billion of ARR. Started the year at 10. It had forecast a hundred billion as exit ARR for the year, and most people said that that would be impossible to achieve. Now it looks like they're gonna do it with a …”