The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Kirtley: Helion will bring 50MW fusion plant online for Microsoft in 2028
“We have a per, a power purchase agreement to build a power plant with them to come online in 20, 28. This is 50 megawatts.”
David Kirtley Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 21:15 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Kirtley: Helion aims for fusion power cost at one cent per kWh
“Our goal with these, with our approach to fusion, where we directly recapture the energy, is to get to a cent a kilowatt hour or less”
David Kirtley Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 24:04 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
Assertion Supported
Kirtley: Helion's Trenta exceeded 100M degrees, a private fusion first
“The light, latest one we call Trenta. That one exceeded a hundred million degrees. We're the first private company to do that.”
David Kirtley Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 18:51 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
Assertion Supported
Kirtley: Helion is first company to perform deuterium-helium-3 fusion
“We actually did D helium three fusion where we actually took rare helium three and fused it with deuterium. But again, we think we're the first company to ever do that.”
David Kirtley Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 19:00 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kirtley: Helion's energy recovery systems operate at 95% efficiency
“We have these beautiful energy recovery systems operating at 95% efficiency that cut the capex in half or more”
David Kirtley Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 37:28 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
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