why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Eli Lilly CEO: Tirzepatide surpassed Keytruda as best-selling drug ever
“And then terzepatide, which you asked how much money we're making, but in, actually in Q-two, we reported global sales, which surpassed Keytruda to becoming the best-selling drug in the world, actually the best-selling drug in the world of all time.”
Prediction Held up
Dave Ricks predicts competitor's GLP-1 dementia study likely won't be positive
“Our competitor is going to read out a study in a few months on dementia risk. It probably won't be positive. That's my guess, but it will probably be in the right direction.”
Assertion Supported
Ricks: Three-year Mounjaro trial showed 94% reduction in diabetes diagnoses
“We just read that study out with Manjaro, which showed that three years on our drug, 94% fewer new diagnosis of outright diabetes.”
Assertion Supported
Under 5% of obese adults reach healthy weight via lifestyle changes alone
“Some studies show like less than five percent of people can reach a healthy body weight on diet and exercise once they're obese.”
Prediction Held up
Dave Ricks says Eli Lilly's GLP-1 weight-loss pill launches in 2026
“Yeah, that's ours. Coming next year.”
Assertion Supported
Eli Lilly reduced out-of-pocket GLP-1 medication costs to $499
“We've led in reducing the out-of-pocket costs, but from, it was originally a thousand dollars, now it's four 99 from us.”
Assertion Supported
Epic study links GLP-1 drug use to remarkably lower clinical depression rates
“There's an interesting study done by Epic. You know, they're the big health record company. Which is retrospective and not tightly controlled, but it showed people on GLP-I drugs, incretins, had remarkably lower rates of new clinical depression diagnoses, whic…”
Assertion Supported
Eli Lilly's Mounjaro demonstrated a 93% reduction in pre-diabetes conversion
“So we did that with Manjaro and showed a 93% reduction in conversion from pre-diabetes to diabetes.”
Assertion Supported
Eli Lilly and Genentech partnered to create the first-ever biotechnology product
“We had partnered with Genentech to do another first, which is create the first biotechnology product on planet earth, which was human insulin made in a bacterial cell.”
Assertion Supported
Eli Lilly oral GLP-1 shows efficacy matching high-dose semaglutide in trials
“In our hands, it, it's about as good as high dose semaglutide, and we, we're doing phase three right now. So that will start to read out next year.”
Assertion Supported
Dave Ricks: Eli Lilly gene therapy restored hearing in congenitally deaf children
“We've treated patients that have gone from like six, eight years of life, no hearing at all to now hearing.”
Assertion Supported
Dave Ricks: Eli Lilly has Phase 3 siRNA drug targeting Lp(a)
“We have a project in phase three right now that knocks down the production of something called LpA, which is a lipoprotein particle that's probably thought to be about 25% of the remnant reasons why we still have cardiovascular disease and there's no medicine …”
Prediction Held up
Eli Lilly's US expansion creates over 25,000 construction and manufacturing jobs
“So yeah, this is creating 20,000 construction jobs in this period, and ultimately five or 6000 manufacturing jobs.”
Assertion Supported
Ricks: Native GLP-1 has a half-life of minutes in medicine
“When you give it in its native form as a medicine, it has a half-life of like minutes.”
Assertion Supported
Ricks: GLP-1 glucose regulation triggers at lower doses than weight loss
“The glucose effect occurs at a lower dose than the weight loss effect.”
Assertion Supported
Ricks: Novo Nordisk's higher semaglutide dosing enabled obesity treatment
“So it was really Novo's insight that we could push up the dose of semaglutide that allowed the obesity Kind of threshold to be pushed.”