The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029

Dave Ricks expects to launch a mental health GLP-1 in 3-4 years

“So we'll get that drug in three or four years if it works, and I think it could really change some of these terrible mental health conditions.”

Dave Ricks Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 20:07 Inside the GLP-1 Gold Rush: Eli Lilly CEO on New Breakthroughs, Addiction & Mental Health, Pricing

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2039

Dave Ricks predicts Mounjaro revenues will drop to zero in the 2030s

“So, in 20, 30 something, Manjaro will go to zero.”

Dave Ricks Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 9:47 Inside the GLP-1 Gold Rush: Eli Lilly CEO on New Breakthroughs, Addiction & Mental Health, Pricing

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