The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Balaji: China is modern Nazi Germany, woke US is Soviet Russia
“China is like the new Nazi Germany woke America is like the new Soviet Russia and the decentralized center is going to be the new America.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 22:26 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Partly supported
Balaji: China has won every round of US war games
“The US military has a perfect record in its war games with China. China's won every round.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 46:29 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: US government control of Facebook will lead to backdoor surveillance
“But the US government gaining more control over Facebook is not a solution to Facebook's real problems. It's just going to mean backdoor surveillance of everything.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:04:08 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: SEC regulatory statutes for crypto will be invalidated or overturned
“I don't think they're going to be able to maintain the status quo of a hundred years ago, the statutes that they're citing. I think that's going to either get knocked down in court or going to be technologically invalidated.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 10:27 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Opinion
Balaji: The US government is a shambolic mess optimized for PR
“The US government is today in 2021, not the 1950 US government, the 2020 US government is like this shambolic, chaotic mess that can't really do anything, and is optimized for PR and yelling online.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 12:27 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: The future will feature a centralized East and decentralized West
“I think the future is a centralized East and decentralized West.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 44:36 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: China will establish a Monroe Doctrine over Asia
“I think that China does have some Monroe Doctrine-like thing that it gets to within Asia where basically it says, you know, just like the US said, hey, you know, we're running this hemisphere. They're saying, hey, we're running this sector of things.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 47:26 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Insight
Balaji: Legacy media will not reform; technology must replace it
“We didn't go and say, oh, Blackberry do better. Blockbuster do better. Barnes and Noble do better. We just replaced them, disrupted them with better technological versions. And so the idea that, oh, you know, New York Times do better. That's completely outmode…”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 52:39 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Official channels spread misinformation early in the COVID-19 pandemic
“Official disinformation early in COVID, which, you know, I had to like basically beat back with a stick. Fortunately, you know, got some of it out in time, but you know, people said the flu is more serious. The travel bans were overreactions that only Wuhan vi…”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:13:32 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Balaji: Blockchains are easier to index than the open or social web
“Blockchains are easier to index than either the open web or the social web.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:26:47 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Partly supported
Balaji: Assets added during his tenure drive >50% of Coinbase revenue
“And the other assets that we added after I joined Coinbase are more than 50% of Coinbase's revenue, again, in their filings.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 8:41 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Insight
Balaji: Cryptographic verification is replacing argument from authority
“I think truth is mathematical truth. It's cryptographic truth. It's truth that one can check for oneself rather than You know, argument from authority. It's argument from cryptography.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 50:45 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Opinion
Balaji: Facebook is probably more beneficial overall than critics acknowledge
“I actually think on net, it's probably being more beneficial than many people say, but I don't believe that the federal government is a solution to those problems.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:04:38 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Balaji: Blockchains offer 1,000x more simultaneous root users than traditional databases
“Blockchains, yes, they have lower transaction throughput, but they are a thousand X or more on another dimension, which is the number of simultaneous root users.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:21:47 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Coinbase Earn is on track for $100M in revenue
“Coinbase Earn is on track for a hundred million revenue.”
Balaji Srinivasan Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 8:29 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
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