why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Botez: Turning attention into capital is easier than turning capital into attention
“It's easier to turn attention into capital than it is to turn capital into attention.”
Assertion Supported
Botez: Chess.com found no evidence of Niemann cheating over the board
“Even when the chess.com report came out, chess.com said they found no evidence of cheating over the board, and there still has been no cheating, no evidence of cheating over the board, so that hasn't been proven.”
Assertion Partly supported
Botez: Netflix struggled with live sports streaming and faced $50M lawsuit
“Yeah, it was their first foray into live sports, and they just couldn't keep up with the streaming capabilities, and then they got hit with a fifty million dollar lawsuit.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Botez: Founders will increasingly partner with creators for distribution and product insights
“One of the trends that we're going to increasingly see is founders connecting with some kind of creator partner for organic distribution, but also to kind of get more insight into product development”
Insight
Botez: Platform-native content performs 10 to 100 times better than repurposed content
“When you actually want to grow on a platform, you have to make content that's organic for it, because it'll do 10 to a hundred times better.”
Assertion Contradicted
Botez: I won at least $200,000 from Phil Hellmuth in poker
“At least a couple 100,000.”
Insight
Botez: The personalities of great chess players align with poker success
“It's not like, because you're good at chess, you'll be good at poker, but it's more like the kind of people who are good at chess tend to be good at poker.”
Insight
Botez: Cheating in elite chess is extremely difficult to catch
“It's extremely difficult to catch people who cheat, because it could be as simple as an arbiter you're working with scratching their head when you have a winning move, and that's it. So it's really hard to catch.”
Assertion Contradicted
Botez: My live streams average about 6,000 viewers
“I think we have around, like, 6000 average people who tune into the live streams.”
Assertion Supported
Botez: Our Twitch chess event reached 100,000 concurrent live viewers
“We threw a chess event on Twitch that broke the record chip number, and we had almost a 100,000 live concurrents watching.”
Disclosure
Botez: I am co-founding a startup to reinvent chess with video game mechanics
“Right now, I, I'm one partnered with Chess.com, but I'm also working on a startup that's trying to reinvent Chess by adding some video game elements.”
Assertion Partly supported
Botez: Chess grandmasters only show superior memory for realistic game positions
“There's actually been studies, ah, where they went with one of the Polgar sisters, and they tested her memory, one with chess positions that came from actual games, and one with positions where the pieces were just randomly placed on the board, and when they w…”
Assertion Supported
Botez: David Sacks won outright in our simultaneous chess match
“Yeah, no, Sax won outright.”