The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2023
Hefets: US home price growth will slow in 12 to 18 months
“At some point there's gonna be enough inventory coming online, that there's going to be enough supply, and a decrease enough in demand that it will impact home prices. Now, I don't know that that's gonna be in the next six months. I actually think it's gonna b…”
Adena Hefets May 29, 2022 ▶ 18:19 #AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hefets: Divvy Homes expects an all-in profit margin around 25%
“Where we're almost probably going to be at about 25% all-in profit margin.”
Adena Hefets May 29, 2022 ▶ 16:24 #AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hefets: 3% mortgage rates are likely the lowest for a long time
“That is probably the lowest they're gonna be in a really, really long time.”
Adena Hefets May 29, 2022 ▶ 8:01 #AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hefets: Divvy Homes will deploy over $1 billion in capital in 2022
“This year alone will deploy over a billion dollars of capital.”
Adena Hefets May 29, 2022 ▶ 16:21 #AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market
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