why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Friedman: U.S. dollar will remain the global reserve currency long-term
“I am a huge believer in dollar as a reserve currency, and the fact we will be persistent as a reserve currency over a long period of time.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adena Friedman: High U.S. national debt is starting to impact markets
“The amount of debt that we have in the country is something that is, we're starting to see manifest itself in the markets, and we'll make it so that they look for alternatives if they feel like the return characteristics of a treasury are different than what t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nasdaq processed 95 billion daily messages with 20-microsecond latency
“Today, we had ninety-five billion messages come into our systems today, and we had a median, you know, return time of 20 microseconds on from order to trade.”
Prediction Held up
Friedman: Official market open and close will persist in 24/5 trading
“The market open and the market close will continue to exist in a world of 24 five markets.”
Assertion Supported
Adena Friedman: Nasdaq grew from $2.5B revenue to over $2.5B EBITDA
“When I became CEO, we had about two and a half million billion dollars in revenue. Today, or as of the end of last year, we had a little over two and a half billion dollars of EBITDA.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedman: Nasdaq sells market technology to 135 other global markets
“We provide our technology to our 17 markets, And we sell it to a 135 other markets around the world.”
Assertion Supported
Friedman: Nasdaq's index business has $700B in tracking assets
“So our index business now has about seven hundred billion dollars of assets under management that are tied to those great innovators, in addition to creating better abilities for companies to navigate the public markets and investors to find find investments.”
Assertion Supported
Friedman: Nasdaq 100 has averaged a 14.25% annual return over 40 years
“And when we look at just the performance of the Nasdaq 100 over 40 years of its existence, the average return on the Nasdaq 100 over those 40 years is a 14.25% annual return.”
Assertion Supported
Friedman: US options markets feature 1.5 million strike prices today
“There's, by the way, a million and a half strikes in the options markets today.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedman: Nasdaq has migrated its markets to the cloud
“We've moved our markets to cloud.”