why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Aaron Levie predicts AI will expand software TAM by capturing offline services
“I just don't agree with the TAM compression because I think there's another kind of counter event that's happening that, that AI is, is really going after like services. And so that then conversely expands the TAM software where IT budgets weren't usually appl…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: AI token prices will fall to compute costs plus 10-20% margin
“You eventually have the underlying service with enough competition, you have the underlying service eventually trend toward the cost of the infrastructure. So, so what we should expect is that the price of a token in AI land, you know, basically will be whatev…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levie: Best AI models reach 90% accuracy on Box's single-pass document benchmark
“We send it 500 documents, and we ask for 40 data fields back from the documents, and so it has to get every single data field correct, and we only do a single pass, so we send the document to the model, we get a single pass back. Right now, the best score is a…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Voice AI will shape mobile computing over next couple years
“I think that the wave of voice AI I'm most compelled by right now as sort of the twenty-twenty-four kind of, you can see the semblance of, Actually, you know, a new paradigm for mobile. We've kind of had the same thing on mobile for 20 years, and so the abilit…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levie: Government contractors charge 2.5x the cost of direct employees
“By Congress, they have to hire contractors to do work and the contractors, the contracting firms charge them two and a half times the sort of cost of an individual employee that they could otherwise hire.”