The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Buttigieg claims citizens with accents or brown skin are detained without legal access
“We got citizens who just have an accent or look brown, getting picked up, sometimes getting detained without access to a lawyer for a frighteningly long amount of time, and that's citizens, let alone other people who, you know, maybe they shouldn't be here, bu…”
Machado: Cuban leadership selected Nicolás Maduro as Chávez's successor
“Well, Maduro was training in Cuba, so it was the Cubans who chose Maduro. It was a very easy option for them, totally loyal to the communist Castro regime.”
Sacks claims proxy firms ISS and Glass Lewis drove corporate DEI adoption
“A big part of the reason is that those initiatives came from glass Lewis and ISS.”
Manchin claims climate protesters at his houseboat were organized and paid
“Oh, no, that was organized. They were paid, Shamath, because a lot of my friends who live on the, down at the river, on the Potomac River with me, on the boat, They played like, how can I get a job with you? How can I do this if I want to protest? They said, I…”
Sramek: China's Zhongjing Island shipyard outproduced post-WWII US total last year
“Zhongjing Island shipyard in China built more ships last year than we have built collectively in the United States since the end of the Second World War.”
Sacks: Most San Francisco homeless individuals moved there from outside the city
“The homeless we have in San Francisco are not predominantly from San Francisco. They're from all over the country, all over the surrounding area. They come here for the benefits.”
Friedberg: San Francisco spends $5 million annually providing free beer in hotels
“Five million dollars per year out of the San Francisco city budget is spent on this program where you can walk into a hotel. They have free beer.”
Calacanis: San Francisco spends $52,000 per homeless person annually
“High estimate, like, eight hundred million, lower estimate, seven hundred million, and low estimate for homeless people is like 8000 high estimates, like, 20, if we cut in between these two, they're spending 52,000 dollars a year per homeless person.”
Bryan Johnson: Most All-In Summit attendees have mental health issues
“And if we're honest, the majority of you in this room have some moderate to serious mental health problem.”
Sacks: Donald Trump ended seven wars in seven months
“President Trump has ended seven wars in seven months before this one.”
Tsai: China has not started a war in 30 to 40 years
“China has not started a war in the last, how many years? You know, 30 years, 40 years.”
Sacks: US-China rivalry stems from US intolerance of peer competitors
“The U S and China are in a high tech competition. They're in a security competition, economic competition. And the reason is because China's become rich and powerful and the United States does not tolerate peer competitors.”
Ro Khanna: Outsourcing firms like Cognizant game the H-1B visa system
“Some of the outsourcing consulting companies, I don't want to go through all the names, but you know what they are, TaiDai Consulting or Cognizant or others, they've gamed the system and they get a bulk of those H-one B's”
Chamath: Trump pressured European regulators on Google's behalf after tech dinner
“One of the things that was mentioned was just the overwhelming pressure that the Europeans were putting on Google. I don't know if you remember this. And the day after, beyond making some calls, what he did was he put a pretty meaningful pressure campaign That…”
Sacks: The Biden administration deliberately opened the U.S. southern border
“It was done deliberately. They opened the border and you know that. Because remember when Texas tried to put up barbed wire to enforce their own border. The Biden Controlled Border Patrol got rid of it. They removed it. So this was done deliberately.”
Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder
“50% of left of center said yes. 14% of right of center said yes. Even that number is shocking to me.”
Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships
“Then they asked about destroying Tesla dealerships and protests, whether that could be justified, and roughly 60% of left of center said yes, and 23% of right of center said yes.”
Trump claims tariffs generated hundreds of billions without causing inflation
“No inflation. They said, oh, tariffs will cause inflation. They were, they've been wrong about everything, and these guys, and for the most part, they've admitted, they've said, you know, Trump was right, because we've taken in hundreds of billions of dollars …”
Gabbard: Intelligence uniformly assessed Putin lacked intent or capability to hack 2016
“The intelligence community almost uniformly assessed that, ah, Putin did not have either the intent or the capability to hack the outcome of the US election.”
Gabbard: 2016 intelligence emails between Clapper and Rogers discovered in a safe
“We discovered Some emails that were printed out literally in the back of a safe, I think they had been sitting there since 2017, that, that showed an email exchange between then Obama's DNI, James Clapper, and then the head of the National Security Agency Mike…”
Karp: Half of US cities meet the homicide threshold for war zones
“To be a civil war zone, to be a war zone, you have to have five, five deaths per 100,000. That's like half our cities.”
Carlson: SSRIs restrict emotional range rather than fixing chemical imbalances
“They prescribe drugs which do not correct a chemical imbalance. They limit emotional range.”
Palihapitiya: Tech leaders Tim Cook and Bill Gates have embraced Donald Trump
“You saw some very truly hard cast liberals who have now completely embraced President Trump. Folks like Tim Cook, folks like Bill Gates, and I think that that's an incredible testament to him and his agenda.”
Paul: The Fed paid $188B in interest to banks not to lend
“We paid a hundred and eighty eight billion, the Fed did, in interest to banks not to loan money. Most of it went to five banks in New York, the big five, but 40% of it went to foreign banks.”
Rand Paul: Fauci privately admitted a 50-50 chance COVID originated from a lab
“In private, Anthony Fauci is saying, I'm fifty-fifty, whether this came from the lab or animals.”
Paul: An NIH foundation holds $1.2 trillion in Big Pharma vaccine revenue
“There's an NIH foundation that has 1.2 trillion dollars in it given from Big Pharma for their share of the COVID vaccine.”
Sacks: Powell maintained transitory inflation narrative to secure his Biden renomination
“So in other words, he went along with this whole transitory narrative to get renominated by Biden. And then a week later on November 30th, he said it was time to retire the word transitory.”
Sacks: Powell's delayed rate hikes caused 2021 bubble, 2022 crash
“And it caused an asset bubble in twenty-twenty-one, it caused the nine percent inflation that we had the following year, and it caused the crash that we saw in twenty-twenty-two and 23.”
Sacks: Powell initiated 50-bps rate cut after Elizabeth Warren demanded it
“Powell started the rate cutting cycle last fall with a 50 basis point cut right before the election shortly after Elizabeth Warren sent him a letter demanding a cut.”
Calacanis: RFK Jr. withdrew federal mRNA funding and altered CDC guidelines
“RFK withdrew federal funding for MRNA vaccine development, and he removed the COVID vaccine from the CDC recommendations for healthy children and pregnant women.”
Chamath: Reported venture capital IRRs are 'bullshit' unrealized paper markups
“They're not. These are all markups. Paper markups. These are not distributed. These are all bullshit numbers.”
Chamath: A top-performing VC fund has zero correlation with the next fund
“Having a killer fund has zero correlation with your ability to then have a next killer fund.”
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Schmitt: CISA partnered with Stanford and UW to flag social media posts
“Take CISA, which is the Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency. No one's ever heard of it. It was created effectively to protect infrastructure from cyber attacks. In that era when Trump was present underground, They work on, under the guise of Russian d…”
Schmitt: Fauci deposition revealed efforts to undermine Jay Bhattacharya over natural immunity
“When we had the opportunity to take Anthony Fauci's deposition at NIH that was mind blowing. It's only the second time his deposition was taken and we find out all the links that which he went to undermine people like, by the way, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, who was…”
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
Sacks: Steele dossier was a hoax and basis of Russia 2016 probe
“We also know that the Steele dossier was a hoax, and that was the whole basis once laundered through the FBI and that whole investigation, that somehow the Russians had interfered in the 2016 election.”
Schmitt: Released DNI documents show Clinton was Russia's preferred candidate
“Actually in the documents that were released by Tulsi Gabbard, the Director of National Intelligence, was that Hillary Clinton was the preferred candidate. They had the goods on her. They had her medical records, all this stuff. So Trump was not like this pref…”
Sacks: Declassified records show Brennan overrode analysts to include Steele dossier
“Brennan was like the head of the CIA. He received an intelligence assessment from the organization in which they said, look, there's nothing to this. It's bogus. We haven't. Not just the Steele d'Ossie, but the whole idea of somehow that the Russians had run t…”
Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24%
“A year ago, support for the war was in the sixties or seventies. Now it's collapsed to 24%. So the vast majority of Ukrainians now want a resolution to the conflict, even if it means making concessions.”
Friedberg: Kids using AI education in developing regions are outpacing American students
“And in these markets, there's a dearth of qualified teachers to stand in front of a class and teach folks. And so by using AI, these kids are now getting ahead of American kids.”
Chamath: Top venture fund performance has zero correlation with next fund success
“Having a killer fund has zero correlation with your ability to then have a next killer fund as an LP.”
Friedberg: Nearly half of Americans work directly or indirectly for government
“By my calculation from last year, I think nearly half of Americans are employed directly or indirectly by the government at this point”
Trump confirms he terminated Biden's AI executive order on day one
“That's why on day one, I very proudly terminated Joe Biden's order on woke AI effective immediately.”
Wright: All US batteries combined store five minutes of grid power
“If you take all the batteries in the United States, you could store five minutes of power.”
Lutnick: Japan committed $550 billion to finance U.S. infrastructure
“So they've committed five hundred and fifty billion dollars to finance Projects in America that are important to the president and to American infrastructure.”