The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Bass: Reid Hoffman initiated contact with Jeffrey Epstein around 400 times
“There's something around on the order of about 400 initiations by Hoffman to Epstein.”
Kevin Bass Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 1:18:46 Epstein Deep Dive: Prince Andrew Arrested, Global Network, Mythology, Reid Hoffman Files
Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Bass: Documents record 42 meetings between Reid Hoffman and Jeffrey Epstein
“There's something like 42 different meetings that are documented. Around 20 are absolutely confirmed.”
Kevin Bass Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 1:19:05 Epstein Deep Dive: Prince Andrew Arrested, Global Network, Mythology, Reid Hoffman Files
Assertion Supported
Tracey: Epstein was never accused of sex crimes against minors post-2005
“Jeffrey Epstein was never even accused of committing any illicit sexual acts against any person under the age of 18 after the year 2005.”
Michael Tracey Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 1:22:49 Epstein Deep Dive: Prince Andrew Arrested, Global Network, Mythology, Reid Hoffman Files
Assertion Supported
Sacks: All recent net job gains went to native-born Americans
“All the job creation has been enjoyed by native born Americans as well. All the job loss has been on non native born Americans, which is pretty Remarkable.”
David Sacks Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 56:18 Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Insider Trading, Booming Token Budgets, Ferrari's New EV
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files
“The number one person in the Epstein files from Silicon Valley, which is Reid Hoffman, mentioned 2600 times, had a multi-year relationship with Epstein.”
David Sacks Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 14:24 Epstein Files, Is SaaS Dead?, Moltbook Panic, SpaceX xAI Merger, Trump's Fed Pick
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Roughly $8 billion was stolen by Somali fraudsters in Minnesota
“The eight billion or so that was stolen by Somali fraudsters.”
David Sacks Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 16:44 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Assertion Contradicted
Sachs: Minnesota released roughly 470 convicted illegal immigrants last year
“Last year, there was something like 470 convicts, ok, illegal aliens, criminals. And I'm not talking about that their crime wasn't breaking into the country. I'm talking about subsequent crimes that were released In Minnesota, so they cannot be rounded up by I…”
David Sacks Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 42:24 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Assertion Supported
Kurtz: China directly hands stolen US trade secrets to its domestic companies
“The big thing with China is, there's a commercial aspect to what they do. So if the government breaks in and steals a trade secret from some company in the U.S., they'll just give it to another company in China.”
George Kurtz Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:03:13 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Assertion Supported
Dr. Oz: Socialized medicine causes six-month to year-long wait times
“So you can get the health care, like you do in socialized medicine countries, you just have to wait six months or a year or longer, or you don't get the care at all.”
Dr. Mehmet Oz Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 10:33 Dr. Mehmet Oz on Fixing American Healthcare + Fraud | Live from Davos
Assertion Supported
Dr. Oz: California undocumented immigrants receive coverage unavailable under Medicare
“If you're on Medicare, you don't get free dental, you don't get free vision. You do if you're an illegal immigrant in California.”
Dr. Mehmet Oz Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 54:46 Dr. Mehmet Oz on Fixing American Healthcare + Fraud | Live from Davos
Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Oz: Miami Mayor reduced homelessness 90% via mandatory rehab arrests
“Mayor Suarez in Miami dropped a number by 90% and he did it just by making sure that you got arrested every time you peed publicly and they don't put you in jail. They put you in, in rehab.”
Dr. Mehmet Oz Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 1:00:23 Dr. Mehmet Oz on Fixing American Healthcare + Fraud | Live from Davos
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong estimates 20% of California billionaires left, creating $10B tax deficit
“My estimates would probably be 20% of the billionaires have already left in California, that it's already created a negative ten billion tax hole, even if, even with the amount that they hope to raise from the people who stay.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:33 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
Assertion Supported
Rogers: UK regulator Ofcom fines US websites that don't operate there
“Under the Online Safety Act, we now have active litigation by the relevant regulator Ofcom against several American websites. These are websites that don't reach into the UK. They're not, they're, these aren't websites dedicated to discussing the Queen. They'r…”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 4:48 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Assertion Supported
Rogers: UK sentenced a mother to 31 months for anti-migration tweet
“There was a thirty-one-month sentence handed down to a suburban mother named Lucy Connolly in the UK because after a man called Axel Rudabanka stabbed, I think it was a seven-year-old girl, an eight-year-old girl, and a nine-year-old girl at a birthday party, …”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 14:10 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social networks to censor content
“And I would say President Trump, because I do think that that, President Trump's election definitely changed the direction of free speech in the United States, never mind the rest of the world, because I think under the Biden administration, we now know from c…”
David Sacks Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 31:15 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Assertion Supported
Rogers: US House committee and CIA assessed COVID lab leak potential
“And another thing that was suppressed, was the assessment that the virus might have leaked from a lab, and we now know that was the same assessment of a House committee and the CIA.”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 34:08 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Assertion Partly supported
Rogers: Leaked emails show NGO's top priority was killing Musk's X
“We have emails that have leaked from some of these NGOs. So one of them, the Center for Countering Digital Hate, Which is a British NGO whose leader was the target of some of our visa sanctions. There are emails exchanged with Democratic politicians in the Uni…”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 35:26 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Assertion Partly supported
Makary: The Trump administration has not cut any NIH funding
“In the Trump administration, we have not cut one dollar of NIH funding.”
Dr. Marty Makary Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 45:19 Supercharging a New FDA: Marty Makary on Science, Power & Patients
Assertion Contradicted
Makary claims 14% of all NIH grants went to DEI research
“14% of any NIH grants went to DEI research.”
Dr. Marty Makary Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 47:59 Supercharging a New FDA: Marty Makary on Science, Power & Patients
Assertion Supported
Lutnick: Japan committed $550B to finance US infrastructure projects
“So what we came up with was Five hundred and fifty billion dollars. That this is not foreign direct investment. This is not Toyota building a factory in America. This is, they literally will finance Any project we want to build in America, as long as it's like…”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 31:43 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Tariff revenues fund proposed tax exemptions on tips and Social Security
“Who paid for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security. Right? Tariffs.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 35:18 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Ozempic and Mounjaro added to Medicare and Medicaid for $149
“So, the result is Ozempic and Munjara are on Medicaid and Medicare. For a hundred and 49 dollars instead of not on it.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 48:54 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Merck agreed to offer top drug free to Medicare and Medicaid
“One of the drug companies, Merck, said they're gonna just give us their number one drug in the world. They're gonna give it to Medicaid and Medicare for zero.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 49:35 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
Assertion Supported
Lutnick: TSMC agreed to increase US investment from $60B to $160B
“So instead of building sixty billion, you build a hundred and sixty billion. And we agreed.”
Howard Lutnick Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 1:14:24 Howard Lutnick: How America Can Hit 6% GDP Growth in 2026
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: 82 of 92 Minnesota feeding fraud defendants are Somali
“So, starting with that feeding our futures fraud in 2022, 82 of 92 people charged have been Somalian.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 2:44 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Supported
Shirley: Massive welfare fraud is being committed via Minnesota daycare centers
“Massive welfare frauds being committed. People are opening up these daycares, home healthcare clinics, you name it. Anything that has anything to do with like health, welfare, or even just like helping people in general, like with daycare or with healthcare, t…”
Nick Shirley Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 6:47 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud
“For example, in California, we have twenty four billion dollars going to quote unquote homeless programs, and yet the number of homeless people keeps rising. And, you know, everyone knows it's called the homeless industrial complex. They can't pass an audit. T…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 21:50 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: California loses $100B per year to pilfering and fraud
“It's probably a hundred billion dollars a year that's being just completely pilfered out of California.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 32:02 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 36:59 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shirley: Minnesota funds repeat fraudsters despite severe daycare violations
“Yeah, 100%, because a lot of these daycares, there's six, seven violations, and they're still continuing to give funding to these daycares. And they have the same name, the same person has opened up. I was in one of their fraud committee meetings, the same per…”
Nick Shirley Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 37:26 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Assertion Contradicted
Tony Hinchcliffe: Trump saw 20% Puerto Rican support bump in Pennsylvania
“20% Puerto Rican increase in the state of Pennsylvania.”
Tony Hinchcliffe Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 19:09 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Assertion Contradicted
David Sacks: 50% of Stanford students claim disabled status for test accommodations
“At Stanford, they said that if you're disabled, you get more time on tests, and you can kind of be unproctored, and kind of... Accommodations. Right. So now, 50% of students at Stanford say they're disabled.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 1:13:07 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bessent asserts the executive branch has absolute authority to raise trade revenues
“The president has absolute ability or the executive branch has absolute ability through three of ones, two 32 and something called one 22 to raise revenue on trade.”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 15:01 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M
“He donated his dog coins to Future of Life. They ended up being worth six hundred million dollars. So by this- Almost like this accident, this Doomer think tank ends up with a six hundred million dollar war chest, and they've been funding these journalism fell…”
David Sacks Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 17:57 Bernie Sanders Says Stop All AI, China's Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Hundreds of anti-AI front orgs are funded by three billionaires
“She has shown that there are hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires. It's Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallinn, and Vitalik Buterin.”
David Sacks Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 20:53 Bernie Sanders Says Stop All AI, China's Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Multicultural policies slow Canada's GDP and foreign direct investment
“All of that indirection, trying to celebrate everybody's heritage, confuses and slows that country down. And you can see it in the GDP. You can see it in the FDI, foreign direct investment.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 44:39 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath claims specialized power grid electricians earn up to $800,000 annually
“These electricians now get paid five, six, seven, 800,000 dollars a year, which by the way, just FYI, is more than most engineers in Silicon Valley, ok?”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:10:06 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: New York Times fabricated report of dinner with Jensen Huang
“There's just one problem with this narrative. There was no such dinner. We checked my schedule.”
David Sacks Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 49:05 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
Assertion Partly supported
Palihapitiya claims offshore outsourcing firms systematically game H-1B visa lottery
“When the application window opens for what is a very small number of H-I-Bs, a company that has, you know, call it 300,000 employees abroad, Will apply on behalf of all 300,000, because they're all roughly the same kind of employee. Whoever gets it, gets to co…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 37:53 Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers
“Three big tech billionaires who are on the left contributed over a billion dollars to these Doomer think tanks. Basically, it was Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallon, and Vitalik Buterin.”
David Sacks Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 28:26 Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: Other social platforms reduced censorship after Twitter changed policy
“Once Twitter broke ranks, the others had to it became very obvious what the others were doing. And so they had to mitigate their censorship substantially as because of what Twitter did.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 39:35 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Assertion Contradicted
Musk: UK has 2,000 to 3,000 people imprisoned for social media posts
“My understanding is that in the UK, there's something like two or 3000 people in prison for social media posts.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 42:00 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: ISS and Glass Lewis effectively control half of stock market votes
“Effectively, Glass Lewis and ISS control the vote of half the stock market.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 45:12 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: Gates claimed long-range electric semi-trucks impossible while Pepsi drove them
“He came to visit me at the Tesla Gigafactory in Austin, and was telling me that it's impossible to have a long-range, ah, semi-truck. And I was like, well, but we literally have them and you can drive them, and Pepsi is literally using them right now”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 1:10:40 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Only a few hundred NEVI EV chargers deployed by 2025
“And as of this year, there's only a few hundred of these charging stations.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 10:43 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: DOGE mistakenly emailed air traffic controllers encouraging them to quit
“The doge we got sent an email to every air traffic controller in the country during an air traffic controller shortage and suggested they quit being an air traffic controller and get something, quote, more productive to do in the private sector, only later on …”
Pete Buttigieg Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 24:59 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
Assertion Supported
Buttigieg: DOGE fired nuclear safety and health staff, then tried to rehire them
“The doge we got fired people in charge of making sure our nuclear weapons were safe and in charge of making sure that bird flu didn't spread, and then, whoops, You know, tried to hire him back in a hurry.”
Pete Buttigieg Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 25:21 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buttigieg: 2017 tax cuts caused massive wealth transfer to the rich
“It's not terribly contested that the majority of the benefit of TCGA and OBBA went to wealthy people, and it's definitely not contested, or I'd say generally not contested, that OBBA represents one of the largest transfers of wealth from lower income people to…”
Pete Buttigieg Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 31:54 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
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