The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2,594 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 67 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M
“He donated his dog coins to Future of Life. They ended up being worth six hundred million dollars. So by this- Almost like this accident, this Doomer think tank ends up with a six hundred million dollar war chest, and they've been funding these journalism fell…”
Sacks: Hundreds of anti-AI front orgs are funded by three billionaires
“She has shown that there are hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires. It's Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallinn, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Sacks: New York Times fabricated report of dinner with Jensen Huang
“There's just one problem with this narrative. There was no such dinner. We checked my schedule.”
Sacks: There will be no federal bailout for AI
“There's not going to be a federal bailout for AI. Not going to happen.”
Sacks: Blue states will dominate AI rules without federal preemption
“There's only one way to stop it, which is with federal preemption. Otherwise the states will do what they want and the blue states will basically dominate.”
Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers
“Three big tech billionaires who are on the left contributed over a billion dollars to these Doomer think tanks. Basically, it was Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallon, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Sacks predicts Democrats will abolish Senate filibuster upon regaining trifecta
“The next time the Democrats have the trifecta, they will absolutely get rid of the filibuster.”
Sacks: Socialists will take over in three years without Republican results
“Otherwise these socialists are going to take over in three years.”
Sacks: Restricting US tech access forces foreign allies onto China's AI stack
“If we deny the rest of the world the ability To participate in the American tech stack, then they will participate in the Chinese tech stack”
Sacks claims proxy firms ISS and Glass Lewis drove corporate DEI adoption
“A big part of the reason is that those initiatives came from glass Lewis and ISS.”
Sacks: Most San Francisco homeless individuals moved there from outside the city
“The homeless we have in San Francisco are not predominantly from San Francisco. They're from all over the country, all over the surrounding area. They come here for the benefits.”
Sacks: San Francisco homelessness NGOs lack incentive to solve the problem
“Well, they don't have an incentive to solve the problem because again, a lot of this money goes to NGOs and they get paid for every addict they can add to their flock.”
Sacks: Price floors are necessary to incentivize U.S. rare earth processing
“I just don't see another way to be able to create the incentives for investors because they know that if they invest a lot of money in rare earth processing, that all China has to do is slash the prices and drive them out of business.”
Sacks: Donald Trump ended seven wars in seven months
“President Trump has ended seven wars in seven months before this one.”
Sacks: US-China rivalry stems from US intolerance of peer competitors
“The U S and China are in a high tech competition. They're in a security competition, economic competition. And the reason is because China's become rich and powerful and the United States does not tolerate peer competitors.”
Sacks: AI developers must build DEI layers to comply with Colorado law
“The only way that I see for model developers to comply with this law is to build in a new DEI layer into the models to basically somehow prevent models from giving outputs that might have a disparate impact on protected groups.”
Sacks: Without federal preemption, blue states will bring back woke AI
“And if there is no federal standard, what you're going to see is that the blue states will drive this ban on quote unquote algorithmic discrimination, which will lead to DEI being Promoted in models, which is what the Biden administration wanted. You will see …”
Sacks: Palisades wouldn't have burned if Caruso were mayor
“Because I think it's pretty obvious that the Palisades wouldn't have burned to the ground if you had been the mayor, because you would have made sure that there was water in the fire hydrants.”
Sacks: The Biden administration deliberately opened the U.S. southern border
“It was done deliberately. They opened the border and you know that. Because remember when Texas tried to put up barbed wire to enforce their own border. The Biden Controlled Border Patrol got rid of it. They removed it. So this was done deliberately.”
Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder
“50% of left of center said yes. 14% of right of center said yes. Even that number is shocking to me.”
Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships
“Then they asked about destroying Tesla dealerships and protests, whether that could be justified, and roughly 60% of left of center said yes, and 23% of right of center said yes.”
Sacks: Charlie Kirk's assassination was an act of terrorism
“And I think actually this was an act of terrorism in the sense that it was designed to discourage other people from speaking out.”
Sacks: Trump's pressure on the Fed is not lawfare
“Well, this isn't lawfare. This is the president pushing back on, I think, a Fed that's been overly political.”
Sacks: Powell maintained transitory inflation narrative to secure his Biden renomination
“So in other words, he went along with this whole transitory narrative to get renominated by Biden. And then a week later on November 30th, he said it was time to retire the word transitory.”
Sacks: Powell's delayed rate hikes caused 2021 bubble, 2022 crash
“And it caused an asset bubble in twenty-twenty-one, it caused the nine percent inflation that we had the following year, and it caused the crash that we saw in twenty-twenty-two and 23.”
Sacks: Powell initiated 50-bps rate cut after Elizabeth Warren demanded it
“Powell started the rate cutting cycle last fall with a 50 basis point cut right before the election shortly after Elizabeth Warren sent him a letter demanding a cut.”
Sacks: Jerome Powell will cut rates for Democrats but not for Trump
“He'll cut for Biden. He'll cut for Yellen. He'll cut for Kamala. He will not cut for Trump.”
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Sacks: Censorship of Hunter Biden laptop could have changed 2020 election
“There is a very plausible argument that the censorship of this story could have swung the results of the twenty-twenty election, okay?”
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
Sacks: Steele dossier was a hoax and basis of Russia 2016 probe
“We also know that the Steele dossier was a hoax, and that was the whole basis once laundered through the FBI and that whole investigation, that somehow the Russians had interfered in the 2016 election.”
Sacks: Declassified records show Brennan overrode analysts to include Steele dossier
“Brennan was like the head of the CIA. He received an intelligence assessment from the organization in which they said, look, there's nothing to this. It's bogus. We haven't. Not just the Steele d'Ossie, but the whole idea of somehow that the Russians had run t…”
Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24%
“A year ago, support for the war was in the sixties or seventies. Now it's collapsed to 24%. So the vast majority of Ukrainians now want a resolution to the conflict, even if it means making concessions.”
Sacks: Russia lacks intention and capability to invade another country
“I don't think the Russians have the intention to invade another country, and they don't have the capability.”
Sacks: AI chatbots are far more benign than social media
“If you just compare this so-called AI psychosis to the effects of social media, again, I think it's relatively benign because it's something that people are doing to inform themselves about things and they can go down rabbit holes, but it doesn't really trigge…”
Sacks: Federal police takeover will reduce D.C. crime quickly
“If you want to reverse this law system, DC, and I think it's going to have an impact very, very quickly. I think it's going to work very quickly.”
Sacks: Restricting AI training data could cost the US the AI race
“If you hamstring our AI models access to data by creating a whole bunch of new requirements for contract negotiations, like we could really lose the AI race.”
Sacks: Future politics limited to MAGA nationalism or Democratic socialism
“You're going to have a populist socialism in the Democratic Party, or you're going to have a populist nationalism in the Republican Party. And to all my friends on the tech right, your choices in the future are not going to be neoliberalism or neoconservatism.…”
Sacks: Tariff doom predictors proven out of touch by strong economic data
“Growth is back, inflation is low, and what you saw over the last few months was the elites in both parties, I'll give you that, they were scaremongering on tariffs and predicting doom, and they've been proven to be out of touch with Popular sentiment and reali…”
Sacks: Anthropic promotes sensationalist AI risks to grab headlines
“If you go back and look At Anthropik's announcement, or Dario's announcement, there is a pattern of trying to grab headlines by making the most sensationalist version of what could be a legitimate concern.”
Sacks: Restricting US AI innovation will lead to losing AI race to China
“If you hobble our own innovation, our own AI efforts in the name of stomping out every possibility of X risk, then you probably end up losing the AI race to China because they're not going to abide by those same regulations.”
Sacks: Single greatest dystopian AI risk is government control
“I actually think that probably the single greatest dystopian risk Associated with AI is the risk that government uses it to control all of us.”
Sacks: Biden administration AI policies undermined US competitiveness against China
“And the policies under the Biden administration were doing the opposite of all those things.”
Sacks: Winning the AI race means US retaining 80-90% market share
“I would define winning as the whole world consolidates around the American tech stack. They use American hardware in data centers that, again, are fundamentally powered by American technology. And, you know, just look at market share, okay? If we have, like, 8…”
Sacks: Biden AI policy was controlled by six staffers with zero Silicon Valley experience
“There was a group of very powerful staffers in the Biden administration, about half a dozen people who kind of controlled AI policy. And the interesting thing is none of them have ever worked in Silicon Valley.”
Sacks: US would be heading to World War III under Democrats
“I have no doubt that if the Democrats were still in office, we would be in an escalatory spiral right now with the destination being World War III.”
Sacks: Over 80% of Crimeans poll in favor of being part of Russia
“And if you look at what the people of Crimea want, and there's been a lot of Western polling on this, there's been man on the street interviews by NBC, the people of Crimea by something like over 80% say they want to be part of Russia.”