The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Calacanis: San Francisco DA's office investigated one of my portfolio startups
“The DA's office. You know what they contacted me about? They were investigating a startup that I had invested in. I won't say which one. And they wanted to interview me about my involvement with that startup because that startup had some complaint from a downs…”
Sacks: Chesa Boudin has not successfully prosecuted a single murder trial
“Listen, Chesa has not had time. He's almost two years in office now, and he has not had time to successfully prosecute one murder trial, not one, but his office has time to run down whatever they were trying to run down with J-Cal.”
Sacks: Chesa Boudin's top donor is Chris Larsen, currently under SEC indictment
“Even actually the biggest contributor to Chesa right now is a guy who's under SEC indictment for the Ripple scandal.”
Friedberg: Study shows COVID lockdowns had no effect on US reproduction rate
“A recent paper showed that lockdowns had no effect. On the reproduction rate in the United States”
Friedberg: Antibody therapy costs $5 to make while Biogen charges $56,000
“It costs roughly five dollars to make antibody therapy, just to be clear. So when you make them five bucks roughly is the cost, and they're charging 56,000 dollars for this treatment.”
Calacanis: Russia and China have 100-year plans to dominate humanity
“They have a hundred year plans to dominate humanity, and they are willing to put millions of people into concentration camps.”
Chamath Palihapitiya: Nuclear power is the fastest path to carbon neutrality
“Because it is the fastest way for us to get to carbon neutral.”
Sacks claims Gascón's campaign received $5M each from Soros, Hastings, BLM
“Five million came from Soros, five million came from Reed Hastings, five million came from BLM.”
Sacks claims actual outdoor COVID transmission rate is under one percent
“The CDC continues to suggest that outdoor transmission accounts for up to 10% of cases when the real number is certainly under one percent is probably under .1%.”
Sacks: CDC accepted all teachers' union suggestions on school reopening guidelines
“So, this guidance that the CDC put forward on school reopenings, the teachers unions were part of writing that guidance, and all of their suggestions were actually accepted and incorporated by the CDC.”
Sacks says San Francisco school board opened one day for $12M
“It's like the school board in San Francisco announcing they're going to open school for one day to qualify for incentives for reopening that Gavin Newsom gave them for twelve million bucks.”
Chamath: Nearly 80% of US COVID-19 hospitalizations involved clinically obese patients
“Almost 80% of every single person that was hospitalized because of COVID was clinically obese.”
Chamath: Bush traded China's WTO entry for a UN vote on Iraq
“All of a sudden, Bush comes along and says, Well, you know, this seems to be working out. Well, I want to go to war with Iraq, I need to basically get China to vote. Yes. And the Security Council. Okay, what's it gonna take? China's like, admit me to the WTO.”
Sacks: Data shows state lockdowns do not reduce COVID-19 death rates
“There's really no correlation between death rates for COVID per capita and the severity of lockdowns. Basically, the data shows that lockdowns don't have an impact on a state's success in battling COVID.”
Friedberg: Zero documented cases globally of fully vaccinated individuals transmitting COVID
“Besides the statistics on this you know, there is no documented proof that someone was fully vaccinated and transmitted COVID to someone else out of four hundred million total vaccinations globally.”
Chamath Palihapitiya: Bush traded China's WTO entry for a Security Council vote
“George Bush in 2001 had this really seminal decision, which is he had the ability to block China from entering the WTO and instead he left them in. And he traded that for a vote on the Security Council.”
David Sacks claims accounting for transfer payments drops US poverty to 2%
“The publicly reported stats are that 13.5% of the US population lives in poverty. Once you actually take into account all these programs and transfer payments it's more like two percent.”
Sacks: Boudin's trial convictions are one-tenth of Gascón's record
“The number of trials and convictions that he's gotten in the 14 months he's been DA is one-tenth of what Gascon got when he was DA.”
Friedberg: California spent $100M on a no-bid vaccine website contract
“There was a hundred million dollars spent on Accenture to build the vaccination website. No bid contract.”
Sacks: Over 30 prosecutors left Chesa Boudin's office during his tenure
“In addition to these seven veterans he purged, over 30 prosecutors, which is about a quarter of the whole office, have left under his reign because they don't like working for him.”
Tenev: Payment for order flow enabled commission-free trading for retail investors
“Payment for order flow enabled commission free trading, right? It helps cover the costs of the business that that, that leads to our ability to offer commission free trading. And moreover, it allows smaller investors to participate.”
Sacks: The GameStop short squeeze broke because Robinhood restricted buying
“Look, it was that Thursday where the short squeeze ended because WallStreetBets couldn't keep buying. They couldn't keep engineering their side of the trade. Right. Obviously, that's why it cracked, right? And Robinhood was a big part of that whole thing colla…”
Draymond Green: Racism in America is not at an all-time high
“Racism is at an all-time high. It's not at an all-time high. It's the same that it's been. It's just on the, it's being pushed to the forefront now, as opposed to it being on the back burner before.”
Friedberg: California EDD paid $30 billion in fraudulent unemployment claims
“There's a hundred and fourteen billion dollars in unemployment claims paid since COVID. This is an insane statistic, but it looks like roughly 27% or thirty billion dollars of fraudulent claims were paid by the EDD.”
Chamath: Robinhood trading halts cost retail investors billions of dollars
“It costs individuals, hundreds of millions, probably billions, maybe even tens of billions.”
Chamath: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev lied on TV about liquidity crisis
“Who cares about Vlad? He lied on television. He lied on CNN. He lied on Fox. Where did he not lie yesterday?”
Sacks: Adam Schiff introduced a bill creating a domestic Patriot Act
“Now we have in Congress a bill put forward by Adam Schiff that basically would create a domestic Patriot Act to create giant new surveillance powers for the state to go after people they deem to be traitors and seditionists and domestic terrorists.”
Chamath: Every big tech firm has foreign spies inside
“It is inconceivable. That inside of big tech at every single company that you define big tech is not at least one spy from Russia, China, India, Israel, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia.”
Sacks: SaaS providers discussing blacklisting Parler from basic cloud software
“There's a group of SaaS companies that are talking about de-platforming Parler as well from just using ordinary software as a service and other sites like it.”
Calacanis: San Francisco fentanyl deaths exceeded COVID-19 deaths fourfold to fivefold
“We've had more deaths from overdoses of fentanyl than we've had from COVID, ah, by a magnitude of four or five.”
Sacks: Donald Trump did not come close to succeeding in a coup
“If Trump's goal was a coup, you know, I think it's a strong word, but if it, like it totally failed, I mean, he didn't come close to succeeding in a coup.”
Sacks: COVID lockdowns do not work
“The politicians got to keep eating at French laundry, but it was the small business people who got absolutely decimated by these lockdowns, which don't even work.”
Sacks: Major tech platforms censor posts contradicting the WHO
“Google, YouTube, and even sites like LinkedIn or Nextdoor are now censoring People's statements if they contradict the WHO, apparently without irony, because nobody has contradicted the WHO more than the WHO itself.”
Sacks: Pfizer delayed vaccine trial announcement to avoid influencing the election
“And so Pfizer had this news weeks ago. Now I understand their reason for not wanting to appear to be influencing the outcome of the election. So I, that's why they held onto it.”
Sacks: Tech workers not explicitly endorsing Biden are likely Trump voters
“You know, if people aren't, if people in tech aren't explicitly endorsing Biden on Twitter, they're probably closet Trump voters.”
Sacks: California AB 5 was introduced at the Teamsters' behest
“The reason why AB five happened is it was at the behest of the Teamsters, right? They're trying to unionize the Uber and Lyft drivers, and they can't do it unless they're employees. And so, you know, the author of the bill, Lorena Gonzalez, who's sort of in th…”
Scientific organizations have definitively shown that glyphosate is non-carcinogenic
“A lot of scientific membership organizations very definitively and clearly show that glyphosate is non-carcinogenic.”
The US pandemic response defaulted to an undeclared herd immunity strategy
“I think that basically where the country is at is that we're an undeclared Sweden. You know, we've basically, the virus has become endemic. It's everywhere. You know, we've basically given up on trying to contain or stop it. And so now we're just on this path …”
Sacks: Facebook board wanted to oust Peter Thiel for supporting Trump
“I do remember the time when Peter supported Trump during the election, and the rest of the board wanted to run him off the board”
David Sacks claims official COVID fatality rate is overstated by 10x
“The official fatality rate has been over, which is about six percent. You know, it's a very high fatality rate. It's pretty scary, but we now know that that's overstated by probably at least 10 X.”
Sacks: Ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to stop exponential viral growth
“Wide-scale use of masks, sort of ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to control the virus, meaning to stop the exponentiality of the virus.”
Chamath Palihapitiya asserts Obama and Trump manipulated US unemployment statistics
“The unemployment numbers that we have had in the last probably seven or eight years. So during Obama and Trump have been completely manipulated because the number of people that are entirely leaving the workforce is quite high.”
Sacks: CDC published blatantly untrue guidance on masks and social distancing
“You have to, you know, you have on the CDC website things that, I haven't checked it today, but as of a few days ago are just blatantly not true. I mean, saying that you only needed a mask if you were actually taking care of a person with COVID-nineteen, that …”
Friedberg: High asymptomatic rate means actual COVID-19 fatality rate is much lower
“If you take that high level, you take that low level, call it somewhere between 25 and 86%, maybe even as high as 86% of patients are asymptomatic, which means that the actual fatality rate is much, much lower even in a large cohort that gets infected here.”
Sacks: Jaan Tallinn funds three AI groups and co-led Anthropic's Series A
“And all three of these groups are funded by Jan Talon, who is one of the top few of these EA Megadonor doomer types, who also happens to be a co-lead of the Anthropic Series A.”
Friedberg says IPCC forecasts in Al Gore's climate movie were disproven
“Al Gore published a movie called Inconvenient Truth. And he used these IPCC forecasts that as of now have been disproven, and many of the assumptions in those forecasts were not correct.”
Friedberg: New tech cuts AI power cost per token by 10,000x
“There are technologies now that are reducing the cost of power per token of output by 10,000 X.”
Sacks alleges Anthropic whistleblower coordinated rollout with AI safety groups
“We know he pre-briefed the Wall Street Journal, and I think we can also say that these major Doomer groups, by amplifying his tweet within 10 to 15 minutes of him posting it on an account that had no tweets and no followers, they were alerted to this and proba…”