why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wolfram: Space is discrete and composed of fundamental atoms
“Space is discrete. There are atoms of space, so to speak, not like physical atoms like hydrogen, helium, and things.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wolfram: Space-time and gravity arise from computationally bounded observers
“And it turns out that exact same phenomenon is the origin of space-time and gravity, that these, all these atoms of space operating in this network, it's all this computationally irreducible process, but observers like us, observers who are computationally bou…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks asserts Ukraine's 2023 counteroffensive failed
“The counter offensive failed.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Migrants use YouTube and TikTok to game US asylum claims
“All the people that come to the southern border are trained in YouTube and TikTok and Instagram. Exactly what to say so that you have to accept the asylum claim.”
Assertion Partly supported
Henderson: White Democrats supported defunding police far more than minority Democrats
“There was another survey of just Democratic voters and found that white Democrats were far more supportive of defunding the police than black and Hispanic Democrats, ah, and so as a result, despite the fact that most people didn't want this, ah, many cities ac…”
Assertion Supported
Henderson: Childhood instability drives worse outcomes for kids than poverty
“Childhood instability is, is worse than childhood poverty for future outcomes. So, in terms of criminality or educational attainment growing up in a very unstable environment is actually worse than impoverishment, and even when you control for income instabili…”
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: TED hosted zero talks explaining why people voted for Trump post-2016
“And what disturbed me the most was that in the three years after he was elected, every TED conference had plenty of subjects, plenty of talks, and plenty of conversations about why society is falling apart, why Donald Trump is a key root cause of that, why so …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Trudeau's office knew the guest list and scapegoated Rota
“The prime minister who is the most important politician in the country doesn't show up someplace unless the office knows who else is going to be there. He knew that Zelensky was going to be there. He would have known who the guest list was. So this was just sc…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Ukrainian government incorporated Azov Battalion into its official military
“Far-right paramilitary organizations like Right Sector and like the infamous Azov Battalion start killing these ethnic Russian separatists, and a full-blown civil war breaks out, thousands of people get killed. Does the Kiev government suppress these neo-Nazi …”
Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong: SEC currently offers no mechanism to register crypto securities
“There is not currently a way to register, and so, they've been sort of talking out of both sides of their mouth, and then saying, hey, just come and register, and then you see these exchanges come in that have never traded a single coin as, like, you know, the…”
Assertion Supported
Gurley: FDA antigen test chief previously worked at Quidel and Abbott
“Now, he works for the FDA, and he runs the group that oversees which antigen test gets approved. I know this because he would write scathing letters to the ones he rejected that you can also look up online. Now, guess what? You're not going to be surprised. Fi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: Old Twitter suppressed right-wing voices at 10x the rate of left-wing voices
“You know, the suspensions of Candidates, or interests, or voices, was really at least 10 times the rate of suppression of left-wing voices on, you know, on old Twitter.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: Third-party analysis shows hate speech views on X declined
“And this is despite, you know, showing repeated, ah, analysis of the system, including third-party analysis of the system, which actually showed that, ah, the number of views of hateful content, ah, declined.”
Assertion Partly supported
Musk: Tesla FSD Beta miles are safer than unassisted human driving
“The miles we see driven under the FSD beta currently are much safer than the miles that are driven without it.”
Assertion Supported
Christie: Soros group is electing liberal prosecutors who refuse to prosecute
“This is the Soros group going around and electing these completely liberal prosecutors who say, no, I don't, I'm not going to prosecute these crimes anymore.”
Assertion Supported
Christie: Kushner and Ivanka made $40M+ yearly in White House, $2B from Saudis
“Jared and Ivanka making 40 plus million dollars a year while they were in the White House, getting two billion from the Saudis to invest after they leave the White House”
Assertion Partly supported
Christie: Save America PAC paid $60k to Guilfoyle and $208k to Melania's stylist
“That same organization paid Kimberly Guilfoyle's 60 grand to give a three-minute speech on January sixth and pay 208,000 dollars to Melania's stylist as political strategy.”
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: DOJ sued SpaceX for hiring policies the DOJ itself follows
“The DOJ sued SpaceX basically for DEI foot faults. They said that there was not enough Refugees and asylum seekers that were being adequately considered and being hired by SpaceX. The problem with that, as it turns out, is that the DOJ is not even allowed to h…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The Russian regime is stable
“The Russian regime, whether you like it or not, is stable. It is not unstable.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Russia is winning the war in Ukraine
“Russia is winning the war, and you may hate Putin, but he is still a master of Russia, and eventually we're gonna have to deal with him.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Former Stanford president's five Alzheimer's research papers were 'basically bogus'
“He had five papers about Alzheimer's research and, you know, related topics like that, where they found out that the papers are basically bogus.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims Anthony Fauci funded gain-of-function research in Wuhan
“Fauci had funded gain of function research in the Wuhan lab.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy claims president has legal authority to eliminate federal regulatory agencies
“I have the legal authority to do that as the US President.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ramaswamy claims cartel vehicles run through tunnels under US border wall
“There are cartel finance tunnels underneath that wall that vehicles literally run through today.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: No evidence ballot fraud altered 2020 election outcome
“I have not seen any data to suggest that the ballot fraud or anything like that would have been sufficient to overturn the ballot count of the ballots. I have not seen any evidence to that effect.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Trump's speech does not meet Supreme Court incitement test
“When he tells people to peacefully make their way to the Capitol, that does not meet any Supreme Court test for what constitutes inciting violence in this country.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ramaswamy: Iran forces gay people to undergo gender conversion surgery
“Actually, Iran is a nation that if you are gay, they force you to undergo gender conversion surgery.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US gave cluster bombs to Ukraine because conventional ammo ran out
“If you're wondering why did the U.S. Give cluster bombs to Ukraine, it's because we're out of ammo to give, and it's all we've got left are these stockpiles of cluster munitions.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Over seven million undocumented immigrants crossed U.S. border under Biden
“You've had seven million plus illegals come across it during the Biden administration, and the administration obviously doesn't have the will to do anything about it.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Average low-skill immigrant household creates $20,000 net government fiscal deficit
“If you look at the cost of low-skill immigration, the average low-skill immigrant household receives approximately 30,000 dollars in direct benefits from the government. By contrast, these households only pay about 10,000 dollars in taxes. So even though Those…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks claims the West rejected a Russia-Ukraine peace deal in 2022
“A deal was available, but the West chose not to take it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks says China, Russia, and Iran out-manufacture the US in weapons
“They actually have more manufacturing capacity to produce weapons of war and munitions and ammo than the United States does.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath claims the COVID-19 vaccine is only 30 to 40 percent efficacious
“But because those things are lumped in with the same thing as a COVID vaccine that is at best, 30 or 40% efficacious.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Soros funds local DAs to alter laws via prosecutorial discretion
“He went into cities where he doesn't live. And flooded the zone with money to get his preferred candidate elected as DA. Now, the reason he did that was to change the law. And the way that he changed the law was not through legislatures, the way you're suppose…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks says Roger Ailes admitted TV networks blocked anti-pharma news
“He mentioned that he had been friends way back with Roger Ailes. And Roger Ailes specifically told him. That they could not post certain or televised certain content if it was too critical of pharma companies because they were the number one advertiser.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks notes an email shows intelligence letter was a Biden talking point
“There's an email now that just came out. Where Mike Morrell is corresponding with John Brennan, and Morrell specifically says, we're creating the letter to give Biden a talking point in the debate.”
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: US and Ukraine are hiding 300,000 Ukrainian soldier deaths
“There have been over 300,000. This is something that the U.S. Government and the Ukrainian government have worked hard to hide. The number of casualties, which has been catastrophic. This is the most violent conflict since World War II that's taken place proba…”
Assertion Supported
RFK Jr. asserts the US broke a pledge not to expand NATO east
“We gave our word that we would not expand NATO one inch to the east, and now we've gone into 13 countries.”
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: US spent $16 trillion on COVID lockdowns and got nothing
“We spent 16 trillion dollars on the pandemic, on the lockdown, and again, got nothing in return.”
Assertion Partly supported
RFK Jr.: 30 million Americans are starving
“There are thirty million Americans who are starving right now, and that to me is unacceptable, and it's hard to go to people like that.”
Assertion Partly supported
RFK Jr.: Lawsuit revealed EPA pesticide head secretly worked for Monsanto
“When we sued EPA we got discovery documents. That showed that the head of the pesticide division, Jess Rowland, had been secretly working for Monsanto for a decade. And, you know, sending memos back and forth with Monsanto, directing them, you need to kill thi…”
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: Federal law prohibits vaccine EUAs if an effective drug exists
“There's a little known federal law that says if there is a drug that is shown effective against the target disease, it is ill, a drug that is approved for any purpose. It is illegal. To issue an emergency use authorization for a vaccine.”
Assertion Partly supported
RFK Jr.: US chronic disease rate rose from 6% to 54% by 2006
“We went from having six percent of Americans affected by chronic disease to 54% by 2006.”
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: Bill Gates and WHO give DTP vaccine to 161M African kids annually
“We stopped it here, they stopped in Europe, but Bill Gates and WHO are still giving it to a hundred and sixty one million African children every year.”
Assertion Partly supported
RFK Jr.: US builds $1B stealth bombers that cannot fly in rain
“Right now we're making stealth bombers for a billion dollars that cannot fly in the rain.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
RFK Jr. claims over 320 medical experts fact-check all his posts
“So we have over 320 MD physicians, PhD scientists on my advisory board who see everything that goes out. And everything that I posted on Instagram was cited or sourced to a government database or peer-reviewed publication.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Leaked Pentagon papers show Ukrainian casualties 5x higher than admitted
“These new Pentagon papers that were leaked show that the Ukrainian casualties are at least five times greater than they've been publicly admitting.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: An AI company replaced a third of its workforce with AI
“I was flying home with somebody on Saturday. I won't say who it is, but they are right at the bleeding edge of a lot of this AI stuff. And they let go a third of their company, replaced it with an agent within six weeks of training it.”