The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Gerstner: Meta will launch major AI models and agents within six weeks
“Over the next four to six weeks. They're going to have massive launches out of the AI side of the business. I expect a lot more support for their open AI model or for their open LLM. I also think they're going to launch a bunch of agents on WhatsApp and Instag…”
Brad Gerstner Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 8:00 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Sequoia Capital led four consecutive preemptive rounds in WhatsApp
“Well, everybody learned from WhatsApp. And you know, shout out to the Sequoia team. Doug Leone, I think. And they did every round. Jim gets to know. Yeah. They did every round. So it was an internal round for, I think, four rounds in a row. So they just made p…”
Jason Calacanis Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 44:58 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
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