The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Palihapitiya: Musk will eventually donate Twitter to a foundation and trust
“I think he's going to donate it into a foundation and a trust.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 30, 2022 ▶ 1:31:15 E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2025
Chamath: Section 230 protections for major tech platforms are numbered
“But if I was a betting man, which I am, I think that section two 30 is, their days are numbered, and Facebook, Twitter, Google, all these companies are going to have to look more like newspapers and television stations.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 7:15 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Palihapitiya: Musk will acquire Twitter and double its valuation to $100B
“I think he's going to buy Twitter. I think he's going to clean it up. I think he's probably going to generate something like a two X on this. You know, we talked about how, you know, that's like a good terminal valuation in six or seven years that basically, y…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 30, 2022 ▶ 1:30:39 E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Calacanis: Twitter will re-IPO at five times its current valuation
“I think it goes public again at, and it goes to five times evaluation.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 30, 2022 ▶ 1:32:40 E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Chamath: Senate Intelligence Committee will summon Twitter over espionage
“Well, I think it's fair to say that the Senate Intelligence Committee is going to haul Twitter and have like a closed door meeting.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 25:30 E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 460 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.