The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Calacanis: Musk will buy Twitter at a lower price by year-end
“My prediction is the Board tries to fight it. Stock collapses. Nobody thinks it's going to get done. Elon lowers his offer, and he wins it by the end of the year, and gives him a lower offer.”
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
Chamath: Twitter-Elon lawsuit will end in settlement or price cut
“The most likely outcome here is a settlement where you have to pay the economic difference between where the stock is now and 54 20, which is more than a billion dollars, or you close at some number below 54 dollars and 20 cents a share.”
Friedberg: Twitter board will reject offer and Musk will walk away
“They're gonna try and find the best price. They're gonna reject his offer. I don't think he's gonna up the offer significantly to the point to get it to get it done. They're gonna go out and run a long strategic process. Three months from now, we're still gonn…”