The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Sacks: TikTok paying Oracle political protection money; deal will fail
“It's bite dance paying political protection money to Larry Ellison to be their bodyguard in this political process. But, and I, but that's why I don't think it's going to fly.”
Lutnick predicts an American buyer will acquire TikTok over a shutdown
“I think that deal will happen, and America will buy TikTok, because the alternative is It just shuts it off, and that just seems illogical.”
Swalwell: Trump will allow TikTok to operate in US
“I mean, I think Donald Trump is going to allow TikTok.”
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts TikTok will be acquired extremely cheaply under Donald Trump
“And I think that we'll probably find one. And I think that it probably happens under the Trump presidency and whoever gets their hands on it, gets their hands on an incredible asset. That they will be able to buy extremely cheaply, because there is no way that…”
Sacks: TikTok faces either divestiture or a US shutdown
“I think it is divestiture or shutdown for TikTok.”
Friedberg: TikTok will be forced to spin off to US investors
“I think they're probably gonna have to spin this thing out. And if they hold any equity, if the Chinese parent company holds any equity interest, it'll probably be non-voting shares. And there'll be a mandate that the majority of the shares and some degree of …”
Sacks predicts TikTok will not be destroyed by US-China competition
“I don't think Chamath is right that TikTok is going to be GPC roadkill.”
TikTok faces US ban unless ByteDance sells majority control to Americans
“I think that TikTok, unless they basically have ByteDance sell under 20 or 30% of the company and get it into the hands of Americans it will get banned.”
Friedberg: China will not force TikTok to shut down
“I don't agree that the Chinese government will shut it down.”
Calacanis: ByteDance internal probe confirmed employees accessed US reporters' data
“According to the New York Times, ByteDance, the Chinese parent company of TikTok, said on Thursday that an internal investigation found that employees had inappropriately obtained the data of US TikTok users, including that of two reporters.”
Khanna: 1.3 million people signed a petition against banning TikTok
“We had 1.3 million people sign a petition.”