why aren't all 23 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Left-wing activists are firebombing Tesla dealerships to depress sales
“You have crazy leftists firebombing Tesla dealerships painting swastikas on Tesla cars, accosting Tesla drivers. Okay. Creating violence and chaos and trying to depress Tesla sales.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Exxon is a top-ranked ESG company while Tesla is excluded
“Here's all you have to know about ESG is that Exxon is like the number seven, like top-ranked company according to ESG, and Tesla isn't even on the list.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Proposed EV tax credit gives non-union Tesla $4,500 less
“The 12,000 dollar credit that they're giving to or they're proposing to give to all EV manufacturers is only if you have union employees It's 4500 less to Tesla.”
Assertion Supported
Tesla's camera-only autonomy strategy trades hardware savings for software difficulty
“Elon is doing camera only. Tougher on the software, cheaper for the hardware, ok?”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Meta spent more on Reality Labs than Apple spent building iPhone
“Look, Tesla's reinventing an entire category, trillions of dollars of energy generation and transportation, but they did it on in one year of meta reality lab spend. Apple reinvented an entire compute platform on one quarter of Meta's Reality Lab spend.”
Prediction Held up
Chamath predicts Tesla car prices will increase by 20 to 30 percent
“And so the cost of Tesla's are going to go up by 20 or 30%.”
Assertion Supported
Tesla currently intends to launch its robotaxi network independently without Uber
“At this point they're looking to go it alone”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Direct sunlight on cameras triggers emergency Tesla FSD disengagements
“Well, there's a lot of videos getting posted on Twitter of FSD being on and then the car drives into the sunlight and at a certain angle when the sun hits the cameras, the car goes into an emergency disconnect on FSD. And I've had that happen. So I know it's t…”
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk: Tesla has about 4M cars on the road with AI inference chips
“We've got somewhere in the order of four million cars that have high-speed AI inference computers in them.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Elon Musk leads companies with female top executives across Tesla, Twitter, SpaceX
“He has a female chairman at Tesla, a female CEO at Twitter, and a female president at SpaceX.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Singapore investor made $7B in two years trading Tesla calls
“There's a gentleman, a 66 year old man in Singapore, who's a billionaire, right? So he was successful in his own right. However, he had made in his entire career about one or two billion. And he has made seven billion in the last two years, speculating on Tesl…”
Assertion Supported
Benioff: Tesla is sole foreign automaker in China without local partner
“Elon has Tesla in China. No partnership. He's the only one.”
Assertion Supported
Applied Intuition supplies software to legacy automakers lagging behind Tesla
“It's a company that supplies software primarily to all the legacy car manufacturers that have not managed this transition to being software first, like Tesla has shown the way and this startup.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Omid Afshar leads Tesla manufacturing and sales in North America
“I think he's in charge of all manufacturing and sales in North America.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: 73% of Tesla shareholders approved Musk's 2018 pay package
“In 2018, Tesla's board approved a performance-based compensation package for Elon. It was approved by 73% of shareholders.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Tim Cook famously refused to meet with Elon Musk about acquiring Tesla
“Tim Cook famously wouldn't take the meeting. Elon said it. He wouldn't meet with them.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Saudi Aramco made $48B net profit in a single quarter
“Saudi Aramco reported their earnings. The largest earnings ever for a company Forty-eight billion dollars of net profit in a quarter. That is more profit than Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, and Tesla combined in a single quarter.”
Assertion Supported
Musk: Tesla closed 2008 round on Christmas Eve hours before bouncing payroll
“And then we closed that round at six PM Christmas Eve, 2008. It was last hour of the last day that it was possible because after that people were like, I'm breaking for the holidays and we would have bounced payroll two days after Christmas.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Average employee tenure is under 3.5 years at Uber, Tesla, Google
“The average tenure at Uber is 1.8 years. The average tenure at Tesla is 2.1 years. The average tenure at Google is 3.2 years.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Larry Ellison's $1B Tesla investment grew to over $10B
“Larry Ellison bought a billion dollars of Tesla stock less than two years ago that is now worth over ten billion dollars”
Assertion Supported
Loeffler claims Tesla received SBIC government-backed funding
“SBIC money was in Tesla, for example.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Tesla spent ~$1B on AI infrastructure capex in Q1 2024
“He spent about a billion of capex this quarter on AI infrastructure.”
Assertion Supported
JCal: Seven tech stocks drive most of 2023 stock market gains
“Seven stocks make up the mo- most of the gains this year. Meta, Tesla, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple.”