The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2028
John Collison: Stripe is profitable on a fully loaded GAAP net income basis
“We are profitable, yeah. And profitable on like a fully loaded gap net income basis, not like a community adjusted EBITDA stuff.”
John Collison Feb 22, 2025 ▶ 1:39:29 The Stablecoin Future, Milei's Memecoin, DOGE for the DoD, Grok 3, Why Stripe Stays Private
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2024
Friedberg predicts Stripe will become the most valuable private company
“That's gonna be the most valuable, valuable company. That's private right now.”
David Friedberg Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 57:32 E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Calacanis: At least two major tech unicorns will file IPOs in 2026
“Anticipate one of the following two will file. SpaceX, Android, Stripe, Anthropic, and OpenAI. I think two of those file, and it is going to be gangbusters.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:20:27 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Calacanis predicts Stripe and Visa will launch their own stablecoins
“Stripe, Visa, everybody's gonna have their own stable coin.”
Jason Calacanis Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 23:03 Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom
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