The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Calacanis: Every Tesla sold will include built-in Starlink connectivity
“So the piece there that's going to be explained probably in the next year or two is every single Tesla sold is going to have Starlink in it when they get that merger done. What that means is you're going to have wifi networks connecting any phone. To any Tesla…”
Jason Calacanis Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 31:56 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Laffont: Starlink will enable worldwide satellite phone calls within a few years
“I believe that within a few years, Starlink will power a device which will actually enable you to make a phone call anywhere in the world.”
Thomas Laffont Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 16:30 Thomas Laffont: The $4T AI IPO Wave Is Coming… and We’ve Never Seen Anything Like It
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Calacanis: Distributed compute in Tesla Powerwalls is the next AI move
“The Powerwall with compute in it, it's already online, right? And Starlink also gives them the ability to do distributed compute to people's homes. Again, you could be paying people to put Powerwalls with compute in it. That's going to be the next shoe to drop…”
Jason Calacanis May 8, 2026 ▶ 22:12 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Musk: Starlink revenue will enable a permanent moon base
“The revenue generated from Starlink is what can enable the of a permanently crewed base on the moon, which will be the next, you know, next step from Apollo”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 43:51 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
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