The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

2resolved → 0open claims → 2supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Friedberg: Brian Niccol will simplify Starbucks' menu within his first year

“I think one of the first things you're going to see from nickel within the first year at Starbucks is a reduction in the complexity of the menu.”

David Friedberg Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 43:16 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

Prediction Held up

Chamath: Incoming CEO Brian Niccol will lower Starbucks' financial guidance

“I expect that Brian Nickel, if he is smart, will look at this forecast and shred it to give himself time.”

Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 36:18 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

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