why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Friedberg: Internet platforms are de facto publishers, not neutral access tools
“And in all these cases, from Google, to YouTube, to Twitter, and now to Spotify, the idea of being just an access, a platform for access is proving to be wrong. All of them are de facto publishers.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Spotify committed $100M to underrepresented groups following Rogan backlash
“And so what Spotify said when they explained the decision to not de-platform Joe Rogan was that they would take the exact equivalent economic value of what they were paying them, him, a hundred million dollars, and invested in underrepresented, historically un…”
Insight
Sacks: Media platforms defend free speech for bottom-line interest, not principle
“I don't completely trust these companies that if it wasn't massively in their bottom line interest, that they would have stood up for free speech.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson earned more on Spotify than YouTube AdSense in early 2025
“We were a part of the partner program For January and February, and we made more money from them with only 10% of our catalog uploaded than the entirety of our YouTube AdSense.”
What-if
Calacanis: Apple lowering App Store fee to 15% would end developer backlash
“If Apple just made the take rate 15%, this entire thing goes away. Epic Games feels great. Spotify's feel great.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Apple is 50-50 against Epic and effectively lost to Spotify
“So they're kind of fifty-fifty in their fight with Epic. They've basically lost against their fight with Spotify.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Spotify traded at or above its direct listing price
“Spotify went public via direct listing. The stock actually traded up after the direct listing. It went down a little bit after, but it continued to trade up, you know, into the 20, 21 era. And today it's trading at or above what it was trading at during the di…”