why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Rollins: Taxpayer funds should not buy sugary drinks and junk food
“Taxpayer dollars be spent on sugary drinks and junk food that's making our kids sick? Absolutely not.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Investors will abandon Snap due to its lack of corporate governance
“Snap will be an example of where investors are going to abandon that company. Because it's just, there's no point. There's no governance. There's no ability to have a conversation. It's in the too hard bucket. So people will just leave it. It'll be stranded an…”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Snap paid employees 40x its 2023 free cash flow in stock comp
“They paid employees 40 times the free cash flow that was generated for shareholders during the year, which is also equivalent to 10% of the enterprise market value of this company.”
Assertion Supported
Dr. Oz: Federal law requires voter registration options with welfare programs
“It is by federal law, mandated that if you give a patient a welfare program, SNAP, Medicaid, you must also give them the ability to sign up to vote.”
Disclosure
Chamath refuses to analyze Snap due to lack of voting rights
“I've never taken more than one second to look at that company. And the reason is there's just zero ability for me to have any useful say. So I've never honestly looked at its performance. I've never studied a single characteristic. I've never trended it.”
Assertion Partly supported
Rollins: Food stamps account for 85% of Farm Bill, farmers get 15%
“The farmer part of the farm bill is 15%, one five. The food stamp part of the farm bill is 85%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Meta reduced headcount by 22% in 2023 while Snap cut only 3%
“Meta cut employee count by 22% and Snap cut employee headcount by three percent during the year.”
Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: Snap's active user growth remains extremely steady around 350M
“If you look at the MAU growth of snap, it's actually been extremely steady and they've had an incredible March forward. And I think that they're roughly around 300 and fifty million.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Snap's market capitalization collapsed from a $160B peak to $12B
“There were a hundred sixty billion market cap, and today they're trading at 12.”