The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Chamath: VC funds often return less than the S&P 500
“Why take on 15 year illiquidity for oftentimes funds that return less than the S and P, which is the dirty little secret of Silicon Valley.”
Chamath: S&P 500 will probably rally to 4200–4300
“The S and P. Yeah. Probably gets to 4243 hundred.”